Pricing Unemployment Insurance in Iran
Subject Areas : Financial Economicsreza ofogi 1 , ramyar ebne abas 2
1 - - Assistant Professor, ECO College of Insurance, . . tehran.iran.AllamehTabataba'i University
2 - - ECO College of Insurance, AllamehTabataba'i . tehran.iran. University
Keywords: C13, CAPM, H21, Equivalence Principle, Weibull distribution, Iran’s UI scheme, Keywords: Unemployment Insurance, Job search theory. JEL Classification: J65, C73,
Abstract :
Abstract Employees always concern about losing their job, or in other word, losing their income resources. For this purpose, governments require strong protection system for covering these concerns. The Unemployment Insurance (UI) program’s can be used for achieving this goal. Based on article five of Iranian unemployment Insurance law, premium is four percent of employee’s salary while employer and government’s contribution is four percent and one percent, respectively. Hence, there are great concerns about the financial pressure on the government regarding implementing this law. In this paper, we price UI based on the insurance history of employee and the duration of being unemployed. We use the Weibull distribution for finding duration of unemployment, and finally equivalence principle applied for finding the fair UI premium rate. Our findings indicate that the UI rate is less than 4% which is lower than current UI rate in Iran which has been set by law. Consequently, government’s contribution can be eliminated which reduces concerns about providing required budget by the government.
References
1) Atkinson, A. B. and J. Micklewright (1991). "Unemployment Compensation and Labor Market Transitions: A Critical Review." Journal of Economic Literature29(4): 1679-1727.
2) Beenstock, M. and V. Brasse (1986). "USING OPTIONS TO PRICE MATURITY GUARANTEES." Journal of the Institute of Actuaries (1886-1994)113(1): 151-166.
3) BIAGINI, F. and J. WIDENMANN (2012). "PRICING OF UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE PRODUCTS WITH DOUBLY STOCHASTIC MARKOV CHAINS." International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance15(04): 1250025.
4) Blake, D. and M. Beenstock (1988). "The stochastic analysis of competitive unemployment insurance premiums." European Economic Review32(1): 7-25.
5) Bronars, S. G. (1985). "Fair Pricing of Unemployment Insurance Premiums." The Journal of Business58(1): 27-47.
6) CHUANG, H.-L., YU, Min-Teh (2010). "Pricing Unemployment Insurance-An Unemployment-Duration-Adjusted Approach." ASTIN Bulletin40(2): 519-545.
7) Cozzi, M. (2012). "Optimal Unemployment Insurance in GE: a RobustCalibration Approach." Queen’s Economics Department WorkingPaper No. 1272.
8) EGEL, D. and D. SALEHI-ISFAHANI (2010). "YOUTH TRANSITIONS TO EMPLOYMENT AND MARRIAGE IN IRAN: EVIDENCE FROM THE SCHOOL TO WORK TRANSITION SURVEY." Middle East Development Journal02(01): 89-120.
9) Fairley, W. B. (1979). "Investment Income and Profit Margins in Property-Liability Insurance: Theory and Empirical Results." The Bell Journal of Economics10(1): 192-210.
10) Hill , R. D. a. M., F (1987). "The Massachusetts Model of Profit Regulation in Non-Life Insurance." Fair Rate of Return in Property-liability Insurance: 27-51.
11) Lancaster, T. and S. Nickell (1980). "The Analysis of Re-Employment Probabilities for the Unemployed." Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A (General)143(2): 141-165.
12) Launov, A., Wolff, Joachim and Klasen, Stephan (2004). "Unemployment Benefits and Unemployment Rates of Low-Skilled and Elder Workers in West Germany: A Search Equilibrium Approach." IZA DiscussionPaper No. 1161.
13) Meyer, B. D. (1990). "Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Spells." Econometrica58(4): 757-782.
14) Moffitt, R. (1985). "Unemployment insurance and the distribution of unemployment spells." Journal of Econometrics28(1): 85-101.
15) Mueller, A. B. K. a. A. (2008). "Job Search and Unemployment Insurance:New Evidence from Time Use Data." CEPS Working Paper175.
16) Myers, S. C. a. R. A. C. (1981). "A Discounted Cash Flow Approach to Property-Liability Insurance Regulation, in Cummins and Harrington (eds.)." Fair Rate of Return in Property-Liability Insurance, Boston:Kluwer-Nijhoff Publishing, 1987.
17) Sepahanbank. from http://www.sepahanbank.ir.
18) TAŞÇI, H. M. (2005). "DETERMINANTS OF UNEMPLOYMENT DURATION FOR THE FIRST-TIME JOB-SEEKERS IN TURKEY." Administrative Sciences3(2).
Notes