Evaluation of the influencing factors of border markets on the growth of smart cities in border areas With a future Study approach, a case study: Zabul city
Subject Areas : Journal of Radar and Optical Remote Sensing and GISSeyed gholamreza Miri 1 , Masoumeh Hafez Rezazadeh 2 , Zahra Sarabandi 3
1 - aDepartment of Geography and Urban Planning, Zahedan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Zahedan, Iran
2 - Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Zahedan Branch, Islamic Azad University, Zahedan, Iran
3 - گروه جغرافیاو برنامه ریزی شهری،واحد زاهدان،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،زاهدان،ایران
Keywords: بازارچه های مرزی, رشد هوشمند, آینده پژوهی, زابل.,
Abstract :
The development process attempts to improve the quality of people’s lives. The demand of Iran is quite evident in the process of evolving the border cities in which the nature of border interactions of the residents in such urban areas with those on the other side of the border will have specific economic, social, cultural, and security effects. Additionally, taking advantage of the border markets acts as a significant lever in developing the border cities, leading to population growth in the areas and considerable positive effects in the development of the border cities. The present study aims to identify the key factors influencing the border areas in Zabol and illustrate the smart and managed city growth with a futurist approach in the horizon of 2044. The study is practical, and its research method is descriptive-analytical. Due to the futuristic approach, it is analytical-exploratory. The required data is gathered through documentaries and survey methods. The research included a statistical population of 30 experts, specialists, and elites. Initially, the Delphi method was used to analyze 7 indices with 94 criteria. After three rounds, 81 criteria were identified. In the second step, the interactive and structural effects were analyzed using the MicMac software. The results show that 20 key factors affecting the border markets influence the future development of the cities in the border areas which offer further growth and development. However, regarding smart growth, they form a sustainable system indicating that in the future, the border markets will not change the formation of smart development in the city of Zabol; thus, the city will experience an urban development with no smart growth. The most effects will be in the variables of welfare condition and social security, the unemployment condition, the physical expansion of the city, the rate of tourist attraction, the production condition of the manufacturing units and firms, the condition of the rail communication, the rate of mutual relations and trust between tribes, the possibility of using electronic services, the condition of water crisis and drought, border security, and transportation.
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