Presenting Conceptual Model of Urban Resilience in Coping with Earthquake (Case study: Bam City)

Subject Areas : environmental management

Pooya Farhani ¹ (Ph.D. Student of Environmental Management, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran. )
sahar Rezaian ² (Associate Professor, Department of Environmental Engineering, Shahrood Branch, Islamic Azad University, Shahrood, Iran. *(Corresponding Author))
Mojgan Zaeimdar ³ (Assistant Professor, Department of Environment, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.)
seyed ali Jozi ⁴ (Full Professor, Department of Environment, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran.)

Received: 2022-12-22 Accepted : 2023-02-08 Published : 2024-06-21

Keywords: Earthquake, Analytic Network Process, Stella, Bam.,

Abstract :

Background and Objective: Cities are complex systems that are vulnerable to natural hazards. This research was conducted with the aim of identifying and analyzing the indicators affecting the urban resilience of Bam city and modeling the state of urban resilience in dealing with earthquakes. Material and Methodology: To achieve the objectives of this study, with the help of 19 experts and completing two rounds of the Delphi questionnaire, 13 criteria, and 35 sub-criteria were selected in the form of four dimensions including economical, social, ecological, and infrastructure, as the first step. Analytical Network Process (ANP) and Super Decisions software were used to perform pairwise comparisons and determine the final weights. As the next step, the 15-year statistics of the research criteria were collected to complete the equations for the urban modeling stage. And finally, the Bam urban resilience model was designed using Stella architect 3.2 software for a period of 30 years from 1385 to 1415. Findings: The results showed that the ecological dimension with a weight of 0.439 plays the most important role in the resilience of Bam city. Also, the modeling results revealed that Bam urban resilience index in 1401 is estimated at 44.96%. Discussion and Conclusion: According to the final results, it can be concluded that Bam city does not have ideal conditions in terms of urban resilience in dealing with earthquakes, and in case of similar incidents, this city will not have the ability to be resilient in critical situations.

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