Developing optimal scenarios of creative regeneration of gorgan city

Subject Areas : Architecture and urbanism

kazem taghinejad ¹ , saeed yazdani ² , Ali Reza Sheikholeslami ³ , Abbas Malek Hosseini ⁴

1 - PhD student, Department of Urban, Borujerd Branch, Islamic Azad University, Borujerd, Iran.
2 - Assistant Professor, Department of Urban, Malayer Branch, Islamic Azad University, Malayer, Iran. *(Corresponding Author’s)
3 - Assistant Professor, Department of Urban, Borujerd Branch, Islamic Azad University, Borujerd, Iran.
4 - Associate Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, Malayer Branch, Islamic Azad University, Malayer, Iran.

Received: 2019-07-09 Accepted : 2019-09-18 Published : 2022-03-21

Keywords: Future Studies, Creative Recreation, Historical Context of Gorgan, Scenario,

Abstract :

Background and Objective: in order to address the problems and problems of city monuments, the urban knowledge is obliged to replace it in a creative and creative way to recreate it. Therefore, future futures studies have emerged as a new paradigm for long - term view on issues facing cities, with the aim of responding to unpredictable problems, futures futures and desirable futures in recent decades. In this regard, the present study attempts to formulate the optimal scenarios of creative regeneration of the city of gorgan city.Material and Methodology: in this study, first with the environment scan and Delphi method, 40 primary factors are extracted in four different social - cultural fields, management and planning, physical factors and economic factors, and then by using the Delphi method. In the next step, using structural analysis in MICMAC software has been attempted to analyze the matrix.Findings: Based on the results of the Wizard Scenario, Scenario Nos. (2, 3, 4, 6, 11, 12, 14, 15 and 16) are obtained as static or unbelievable scenarios. The historical context of Gorgan is imaginable.Discussion and Conclusion: Thus, in the short term (1404), the scenario of gradual decline in the quality of historical texture in Gorgan, with the short-term improvement of management factors and the decline of economic factors, is the most likely scenario, but in the long-term future, the cross-sectional improvement of management factors and policy inefficiencies may provide the opportunity to enhance economic factors. Do not allow this scenario to move to a disaster scenario.

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