Stochastic programming model for gas resources allocation in Iran with emphasis on energy security cost approach.

Subject Areas : Futurology

Reza Alikhani ¹ ( مسئول مکاتبات )
Adel Azar ² ( ندارد )
Alireza Rashidi Komijan ³ ( ندارد )

Received: 2011-03-30 Accepted : 2011-03-30 Published : 2012-11-21

Keywords: stochastic programming, energy security, gas, Allocation,

Abstract :

The purpose of this paper is to present a model for gas allocation to different sub-sectors inIran by means of Non-Linear Programming method. Stochastic programming approach isapplied to obtain the optimal system configuration meeting the gas demand in different subsectorsbased on available gas produced. The model considers possible threats would occur innatural gas supply. The solutions provide gas allocation to different sub-sectors at macro leveltaking the possible threats in to consideration. Research results show the significant percentageshare of gas should be assigned to residential-commercial, power plants, industries, natural gasinjection, exportation, petrochemical, rich gas injection, transportation and agriculturerespectively. The novelty of this work is its ability to quantitate possible threats using stochasticprogramming approach in order to provide more holistic point of view on energy securityfactors impacting gas allocation in Iran.