Designing a model for evaluating technological innovation capabilities with a dynamic modeling approach
Subject Areas : Futurology
Shahram Mohammadi
1
(Ph. D. Student in Faculty of Management and Accounting, Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran, Iran ,)
abbas toloieashlaghi
2
(Full Professor, faculty of management and economics, Industrial management department, science and research branch, Tehran, Iran)
Soleyman iranzadeh
3
(Prefessor in Faculty of Management and Accounting, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz Branch, Tehran, Iran)
mohammad reza motadel
4
(Department of Management, Central Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran)
Keywords: Technological innovation, innovation capabilities, dynamic modeling, Delphi technique,
Abstract :
Abstract The current research sought to design a model for evaluating technological innovation capabilities with a dynamic modeling approach. The nature of the research was quantitative and qualitative, and in the qualitative part, technological innovation capabilities were extracted using interviews with experts and then refined using the Delphi technique. In the quantitative part, the designed model was simulated using the system dynamics approach. The effect of 18 factors on innovative capabilities was shown to be completely positive and effective. In other words, it can be said that the 18 determined factors can lead to innovation in technology in the automobile industry, and it is definitely effective in this industry. But in addition to the general effect, if we want to go into details, we can see that the 18 factors have an effect on the six state variables, namely profitability, customer satisfaction, innovation improvement, human resource management, productivity and quality. The shape of this effect varies from one variable to another. The shape of the work was meant to be linear or exponential. The effect of the model on profitability and customer satisfaction variables was completely significant and exponential. In this way, at the end of the period, cumulative effects and growth of profitability or customer satisfaction were witnessed, and this effect was not clear at the beginning of the period.
