Regional Development with Foresight Approach (Case Study: Kordestan Province)

Subject Areas : Futurology

Abolfazl Ghanbari ¹ (Associate Professor, Dept. of Geographical Research, University of Tabriz. Email: [e-mail])
Akbar Asghari Zamani ² (Tabriz)
Zahra Amjadi ³ (Tabriz)

Received: 2023-04-25 Accepted : 2023-09-21 Published : 2024-08-24

Keywords: Regional Development, Development Components, Foresight, Cross-impact Analysis, Kordestan Province,

Abstract :

This research discusses future development of Kordestan province by using of strategic management approaches and future studying and it's main aim is identification of regional development's key components of Kordestan province with the point of foresight. The theoretical framework of this research is normative paradigm, it is functional in the case of goal and in terms of nature it is based on new methods of descriptive-analytical future studies. The data and information collection method is documentary and field study and their processing models are SWOT, Factor Analysis, Delphi and Cross-impact analysis which data processing has been done by MICMAC software. In this research, development criteria were classified in six categories such as social, economic, infrastructural, bio environmental, settlement structural and links by using of regional development studies. At first stage, between 240 effective factors on province development, 40 factors were identified by specialist experts by the use of SWOT method. Then by using of Delphi method the effects of these factors on each other were measured by experts and direct and indirect influences of these factors on each other were measured which result in identification of 13 key factors between 40 factors, that Gross domestic product outweigh and capital social if a low grade is effective factors on Kordestan province development.