Measuring the Impact of Possible Actors on Future Land Wars in the Eastern and Southern East of Iran

Subject Areas : Futurology

سیدعلیرضا  قاضی میرسعید ¹ (دانشجوی مالک اشتر/ شاغل دانشگاه امام علی(ع))
حمیدرضا  فرتوک زاده ² (دانشیار دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر)
حسین  ولیوند زمانی ³ (استادیار دانشگاه فرماندهی و ستاد آجا)
سید اصغر  GH ⁴ (استادیار دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر)
ابوالفضل  باقری ⁵ (استادیار دانشگاه صنعتی مالک اشتر)

Received: 2017-09-24 Accepted : 2018-04-23 Published : 2018-04-21

Keywords: Actor Analysis, Future Studies, Future Earthquake War, Influence Matrix - Level of Interest, Actors of War,

Abstract :

One of the characteristics of future wars is the plurality and diversity of actors and forces involved in the war, and the analysis of actors is a process by which actors are identified; their role and contribution in the intended program and the relationships of the actors are determined. To make Therefore, this research has been conducted with the aim of analyzing the main actors in the eastern and southeastern parts of the country to formulate controversy and possible ground warfare in the future.This research was exploratory and futuristic. In this regard, a panel of experts consisting of 11 tables of experts and experts in the field of war was formed and then interviewed with 9 senior officials associated with the situation in the region. Then, using the actor analysis method, the main actors in the future ground warfare in the area were identified and classified, and then the role of the actors and the relationship between them was identified.