An Analysis of the Impact of Corporate Foresight on Innovation in Startups
Subject Areas : FuturologyVahid Makizadeh 1 , Fatemeh Sharaei 2
1 - Business Management, Management and Accounting, University of Hormozgan, Bandarabbas, Iran
2 - Business management, Faculty of management and economy, Tarbiat Modares University
Keywords: Organizational Learning, Technology Roadmapping, Corporate Foresight, innovation,
Abstract :
The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact of corporate foresight on innovation in start-ups businesses. This research is applied in terms of purpose and it is descriptive-survey in terms of method. The statistical population is senior executives of startups. A researcher-made questionnaire based on theoretical literature was used for data collection. Hypotheses were tested using structural equation modeling approach and Smart PLS software. The results of this study indicate that corporate foresight has a positive impact on innovation. The positive impact of corporate foresight on organizational learning and technology roadmapping was also confirmed. The analysis of the impact of mediating variables also showed that corporate foresight impacts innovation through organizational learning and technology roadmapping. Finally, the moderating impact of organizational support in relation among technology roadmapping and organizational innovation, and the moderating impact of integrative capabilities in relation between corporate foresight and organizational learning were also confirmed.
مراجع
دادخواه، سهیل؛ بیات، روح الله؛ فضلی، صفر؛ کشاورز ترک، عین الله؛ ابراهیمی، ابوالقاسم. (1397). طراحی مدل مطلوب آینده نگاری شرکتی (مطالعه موردی: شرکتهای مدیریت صادرات). آینده پژوهی مدیریت, 29(4)، 31-46.
سیاح مفضلی، اردشیر؛ جهانگیری، کتایون، عیوضی، محمدرحیم. (1395). تحلیل روند تکاملی الگوهای اجرایی آینده نگاری جهان یک مطالعه تطبیقی. آینده پژوهی مدیریت, 26(3)، 9-24.
طاهری دمنه، محسن؛ طایفه هاشمی، شیدا؛ حیدری دارانی، زهرا. (1398). آیندهنگاری شرکتی در سازمانهای دولتی با رویکرد سناریونگاری مورد مطالعه: شرکت گاز استان اصفهان. فصلنامه علمی مدیریت سازمانهای دولتی, 7(4)، 79-96.
کشاورزترک، محسن؛ مقیمی، سید محمد؛ ابویی اردکان؛ محمد، عیوضی؛ محمد رحیم. (1397). ارائه چارچوب آیندهنگاری شرکتی مبتنی بر سناریوپردازی در راستای ارتقای مدیریت نوآوری (مورد مطالعه: صنایع هوا و فضا). آیندهپژوهی دفاعی, 2(5), 57-82.
مشعلی، بهزاد؛ شیبانی، حسن؛ حاجیانی، ابراهیم؛ قنبری، علی اله. (1397). خاستگاه آیندهنگاری و جایگاه آن در سیاستگذاری بخش عمومی. آینده پژوهی مدیریت. 29(4)، 119-136.
مظفری, علی. (1388). آینده پژوهی، بستر عبور از مرزهای دانش. نظم و امنیت انتظامی, 2(4), 26-47.
Battistella, C., De Toni, A.F. (2011). A methodology of technological foresight: a proposal and field study. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (6), 1029–1048.
Edmondson, A. (1999). Psychological Safety and Learning Behavior in Work Teams. Administrative Science Quarterly, 44:350–383.
Eisenberger, R., Stinglhamber, F., Vandenberghe, C., Sucharski, I.L., Rhoades, L., 2002. Perceived supervisor support: contributions to perceived organizational support and employee retention. Journal of Applied Psychology. 87, 565–573.
Habegger, B. (2010). Strategic foresight in public policy: Reviewing the experiences of the UK, Singapore, and the Netherlands. Future. 42, 49-58.
Griffith, T. L., and J. E. Sawye. ( 2010). Multilevel Knowledge and Team Performance. Journal of Organizational Behavior, 31,1003–1031.
Kaserer, M. (2015) . Exploring Corporate Foresight in the Start-up Context. Master’s Thesis. University of Twente, Berlin, Germany.
Kogut, B., and U. Zander. (1992). Knowledge of the Firm, Combinative Capabilities, and the Replication of Technology. Organization Science, 3, 383–397.
Linton, J.D., Walsh, S.T. (2004). Roadmapping: from sustaining to disruptive technologies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71 (1), 1–3.
Martino, J.P. (2010). Some recent advances in technology foresight. International Journal of Foresight Innovation Policy, 6 (1–3), 79–87.
Muse, L.A., Stamper, C.L. (2007). Perceived organizational support: evidence for a mediated association with work performance. Journal of Management, 19 (4), 517–535.
Preacher, K.J., Rucker, D.D., Hayes, A.F. (2007). Addressing moderated mediation hypotheses: theory, methods, and prescriptions. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 42 (1),185–227.
Phaal, R., Farrukh, C.J., Probert, D.R. (2004). Technology roadmapping—a planning framework for evolution and revolution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71 (1), 5–26.
Phaal, R., Muller, G. (2009). An architectural framework for roadmapping: towards visual strategy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 76 (1), 39– 49.
Portaleoni, C. G. Marinova, S. ul-Haq, R. Marino. (2013). Corporate Foresight and Strategic Decisions. USA. PALGRAVE MACMILLAN.
Porter, A.L. (2010). Technology foresight: types and methods. International Journal of Foresight Innovation Policy, 6, 36–45.
Ramírez, R., L. Roodhart, and W. Manders. (2011). How Shell’s Domains Link Innovation and Strategy. Long Range Planning, 44 (4), 250–270.
Rohrbeck, R. (2010). Corporate Foresight: Towards a Maturity Model for the Future Orientation of a Firm. Germany: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
Rohrbeck, R., and Gemünden, H. G. (2011). Corporate Foresight: Its Three Roles in Enhancing the Innovation Capacity of a Firm. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (2), 231–243.
Rohrbeck, R. Battistella, C. Huizingh. (2015). Corporate forsight: An emerging field with a rich tradition. Technological forcasting & Social Change.101. 1-9.
Rohrbeck, R. Thom, N. Arnold, H. (2013). IT tools for foresight: The integrated insight and response system of Deutsche Telekom Innoviation Laboratories. Technological forcasting & Social Change. Article in Press.
Ruff, F. (2015). The advanced role of corporate foresight in innovation and strategic management—reflections on practical experiences from the automotive industry. Technological forcasting & Social Change, 101, 37–48.
Sarpong, D., M. Maclean, and E. Alexander. (2013). Organizing Strategic Foresight: A Contextual Practice of ‘Way Finding.’. Futures, 53: 33–41.
Spanos, Y. E., Vonortas, N, S., and Voudouris, I. (2015). Antecedents of Innovation Impacts in Publicly Funded Collaborative R&D Projects. Technovation, 36-37, 53–64.
Sutherland. W.J. Woodroof, H.J. (2009). The need for environmental horizon scanning. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24(10), 523-529.
Thorpe, R., R. Holt, A. Macpherson, and L. Pittaway. (2005). Using Knowledge Within Small and Medium-Sized Firms: A Systematic Review of the Evidence. International Journal of Management Reviews, 7 (4), 257–281.
Vecchiato, R., Roveda, C. )2010(. Strategic foresight in corporate organizations: handling the effect and response uncertainty of technology and social drivers of change. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77 (9), 1527–1539.
Vishnevskiy, K., Karasev, O., & Meissner, D. (2015). Integrated roadmaps and corporate foresight as tools of innovation management: the case of Russian companies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 433-443.
Von der Gracht, H.A., Vennemann, C.R., Darkow, I. (2010). Corporate foresight and innovation management: a portfolio-approach in evaluating organisational development. Futures, 42 (4), 380–393.
Yoon, J., Kim, Y. J., Vonortas, N. S., & Han, S. W. (2017). A moderated mediation model of technology roadmapping and innovation: The roles of corporate foresight and organizational support. Journal of Engineering and Technology Management,13(2).
Yoon, J., Kim, Y., Vonortas, N. S., & Han, S. W. (2018). Corporate foresight and innovation: the effects of integrative capabilities and organisational learning. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 30(6), 633-645.
_||_مراجع
دادخواه، سهیل؛ بیات، روح الله؛ فضلی، صفر؛ کشاورز ترک، عین الله؛ ابراهیمی، ابوالقاسم. (1397). طراحی مدل مطلوب آینده نگاری شرکتی (مطالعه موردی: شرکتهای مدیریت صادرات). آینده پژوهی مدیریت, 29(4)، 31-46.
سیاح مفضلی، اردشیر؛ جهانگیری، کتایون، عیوضی، محمدرحیم. (1395). تحلیل روند تکاملی الگوهای اجرایی آینده نگاری جهان یک مطالعه تطبیقی. آینده پژوهی مدیریت, 26(3)، 9-24.
طاهری دمنه، محسن؛ طایفه هاشمی، شیدا؛ حیدری دارانی، زهرا. (1398). آیندهنگاری شرکتی در سازمانهای دولتی با رویکرد سناریونگاری مورد مطالعه: شرکت گاز استان اصفهان. فصلنامه علمی مدیریت سازمانهای دولتی, 7(4)، 79-96.
کشاورزترک، محسن؛ مقیمی، سید محمد؛ ابویی اردکان؛ محمد، عیوضی؛ محمد رحیم. (1397). ارائه چارچوب آیندهنگاری شرکتی مبتنی بر سناریوپردازی در راستای ارتقای مدیریت نوآوری (مورد مطالعه: صنایع هوا و فضا). آیندهپژوهی دفاعی, 2(5), 57-82.
مشعلی، بهزاد؛ شیبانی، حسن؛ حاجیانی، ابراهیم؛ قنبری، علی اله. (1397). خاستگاه آیندهنگاری و جایگاه آن در سیاستگذاری بخش عمومی. آینده پژوهی مدیریت. 29(4)، 119-136.
مظفری, علی. (1388). آینده پژوهی، بستر عبور از مرزهای دانش. نظم و امنیت انتظامی, 2(4), 26-47.
Battistella, C., De Toni, A.F. (2011). A methodology of technological foresight: a proposal and field study. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (6), 1029–1048.
Edmondson, A. (1999). Psychological Safety and Learning Behavior in Work Teams. Administrative Science Quarterly, 44:350–383.
Eisenberger, R., Stinglhamber, F., Vandenberghe, C., Sucharski, I.L., Rhoades, L., 2002. Perceived supervisor support: contributions to perceived organizational support and employee retention. Journal of Applied Psychology. 87, 565–573.
Habegger, B. (2010). Strategic foresight in public policy: Reviewing the experiences of the UK, Singapore, and the Netherlands. Future. 42, 49-58.
Griffith, T. L., and J. E. Sawye. ( 2010). Multilevel Knowledge and Team Performance. Journal of Organizational Behavior, 31,1003–1031.
Kaserer, M. (2015) . Exploring Corporate Foresight in the Start-up Context. Master’s Thesis. University of Twente, Berlin, Germany.
Kogut, B., and U. Zander. (1992). Knowledge of the Firm, Combinative Capabilities, and the Replication of Technology. Organization Science, 3, 383–397.
Linton, J.D., Walsh, S.T. (2004). Roadmapping: from sustaining to disruptive technologies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71 (1), 1–3.
Martino, J.P. (2010). Some recent advances in technology foresight. International Journal of Foresight Innovation Policy, 6 (1–3), 79–87.
Muse, L.A., Stamper, C.L. (2007). Perceived organizational support: evidence for a mediated association with work performance. Journal of Management, 19 (4), 517–535.
Preacher, K.J., Rucker, D.D., Hayes, A.F. (2007). Addressing moderated mediation hypotheses: theory, methods, and prescriptions. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 42 (1),185–227.
Phaal, R., Farrukh, C.J., Probert, D.R. (2004). Technology roadmapping—a planning framework for evolution and revolution. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 71 (1), 5–26.
Phaal, R., Muller, G. (2009). An architectural framework for roadmapping: towards visual strategy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 76 (1), 39– 49.
Portaleoni, C. G. Marinova, S. ul-Haq, R. Marino. (2013). Corporate Foresight and Strategic Decisions. USA. PALGRAVE MACMILLAN.
Porter, A.L. (2010). Technology foresight: types and methods. International Journal of Foresight Innovation Policy, 6, 36–45.
Ramírez, R., L. Roodhart, and W. Manders. (2011). How Shell’s Domains Link Innovation and Strategy. Long Range Planning, 44 (4), 250–270.
Rohrbeck, R. (2010). Corporate Foresight: Towards a Maturity Model for the Future Orientation of a Firm. Germany: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.
Rohrbeck, R., and Gemünden, H. G. (2011). Corporate Foresight: Its Three Roles in Enhancing the Innovation Capacity of a Firm. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 78 (2), 231–243.
Rohrbeck, R. Battistella, C. Huizingh. (2015). Corporate forsight: An emerging field with a rich tradition. Technological forcasting & Social Change.101. 1-9.
Rohrbeck, R. Thom, N. Arnold, H. (2013). IT tools for foresight: The integrated insight and response system of Deutsche Telekom Innoviation Laboratories. Technological forcasting & Social Change. Article in Press.
Ruff, F. (2015). The advanced role of corporate foresight in innovation and strategic management—reflections on practical experiences from the automotive industry. Technological forcasting & Social Change, 101, 37–48.
Sarpong, D., M. Maclean, and E. Alexander. (2013). Organizing Strategic Foresight: A Contextual Practice of ‘Way Finding.’. Futures, 53: 33–41.
Spanos, Y. E., Vonortas, N, S., and Voudouris, I. (2015). Antecedents of Innovation Impacts in Publicly Funded Collaborative R&D Projects. Technovation, 36-37, 53–64.
Sutherland. W.J. Woodroof, H.J. (2009). The need for environmental horizon scanning. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 24(10), 523-529.
Thorpe, R., R. Holt, A. Macpherson, and L. Pittaway. (2005). Using Knowledge Within Small and Medium-Sized Firms: A Systematic Review of the Evidence. International Journal of Management Reviews, 7 (4), 257–281.
Vecchiato, R., Roveda, C. )2010(. Strategic foresight in corporate organizations: handling the effect and response uncertainty of technology and social drivers of change. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 77 (9), 1527–1539.
Vishnevskiy, K., Karasev, O., & Meissner, D. (2015). Integrated roadmaps and corporate foresight as tools of innovation management: the case of Russian companies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 90, 433-443.
Von der Gracht, H.A., Vennemann, C.R., Darkow, I. (2010). Corporate foresight and innovation management: a portfolio-approach in evaluating organisational development. Futures, 42 (4), 380–393.
Yoon, J., Kim, Y. J., Vonortas, N. S., & Han, S. W. (2017). A moderated mediation model of technology roadmapping and innovation: The roles of corporate foresight and organizational support. Journal of Engineering and Technology Management,13(2).
Yoon, J., Kim, Y., Vonortas, N. S., & Han, S. W. (2018). Corporate foresight and innovation: the effects of integrative capabilities and organisational learning. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management, 30(6), 633-645.