The Effective factors on Probability of Divorce in Iran with Using Pseudo-Panel Data Method

Subject Areas : Quarterly Journal of Woman and Society

ZahraMila Elmi ¹ (Professor/University of Mazandaran)

Received: 2019-05-18 Accepted : 2020-03-31 Published : 2020-04-20

Keywords: Divorce, Logit Model, Provinces of Iran, quasi-panel data, The micro data of Household Expenditure and Income Survey,

Abstract :

In this paper, with the purpose of better understanding of the relationship between education and the employment of women with their divorce, the socio-economic factors which affect on divorce are investigated in the provinces of Iran by using the micro data of Household Expenditure and Income Survey in 2014 which covers 18885 households and the application of pseudo-panel data method. At first step, a subset of the data was collected include male and female who were divorced or married (16503 breadwinner) and categorized them on the base of the provinces. Data was analyzed based on the initial classification. Then On the base of Deaton(1985), and Goaed and Ghazouani (2001) the logit model of this research with pseudo-panel data and including explanatory variables; household size, the occupation of the head and his/her literacy and household income, age and age square of head, with emphasis of female education and occupation; was regressed by using the Maximum Likelihood method.
On the base of results, household size, the occupation of the head and his/her literacy and household income reduces the probability of divorce, while the effect of women's higher education on the probability of divorce is positive. Also, the relationship between age and divorce is U inverted. It means in the early years of their household common life, and in the latter years, the probability of divorce is less than the average age of the head of household.

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