Futurology of Territorial Legal Challenges of Ethnicity in Relation to the National Security of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Subject Areas : International Legal Research

Hossein Torki ¹ , Mohammad Ali Khosravi ² , Ali Ghorban Poor ³

1 - Faculty memeber
2 - Faculty member
3 - Faculty member

Received: 2022-01-28 Accepted : 2022-02-08 Published : 2020-08-22

Keywords: National Security, challenges, ethnicity, Futurism,

Abstract :

Occasional challenges ethnicities, especially in the southern regions, especially in the Arab regions of Khuzestan province, require that more attention be paid to the issues and developments in this region and their effects on national security be measured. Accordingly, in order to predict the security situation in the country in the coming years, it seems absolutely necessary to pay attention to the ethnic situation and ethnic challenges. This research is applied in terms of nature and purpose and descriptive-survey in terms of method and due to the futuristic nature of the research, it is also exploratory. In the present study, environmental monitoring method was used to identify key variables and form questionnaire items. The statistical population of the study is in the form of a panel of experts according to the futures research approach. The key variables of this research were identified by cross-matrix method using Mick Mac software. Wizard scenario software was used to identify possible scenarios. Findings from this study showed seven variables: huge oil and gas reserves, underdevelopment, Saudi and UAE support for the opposition, the eight-year imposed war, Wahhabi current activity, the presence of dust and regional rivalries as key variables extracted from Mick Mac software is one of the most challenging factors in the future of Arab nationalism in relation to the national security of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The results show that 6 challenging scenarios with high compatibility and score are ahead of the future of the Islamic Republic of Iran.