فرآیند تصمیم گیری کشاورزان در شرایط تغییر اقلیم: توسعه یک چارچوب مفهومی

Subject Areas : Decision-making

طاهر  عزیزی‌خالخیلی ¹ (استادیار، گروه ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی ساری، ساری، ایران)
توماس  آئنیس ² (رئیس گروه ارتباطات و ترویج کشاورزی، دانشکده علوم زیستی، دانشگاه هومبولت، برلین، آلمان)
میثم  منتی زاده ³ (دکترای ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، دانشگاه شیراز، ایران)
غلامحسین  زمانی ⁴ (استاد ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، بخش ترویج و آموزش کشاورزی، دانشگاه شیراز، شیراز، ایران)

Received: 2020-01-04 Accepted : 2020-10-11 Published : 2021-03-01

Keywords: تغییر اقلیم, تصمیم گیری, کشاورزان خرده مالک, سازگاری کشاورزان,

Abstract :

در دهه­های اخیر، تغییر اقلیم و خشکسالی اثر زیادی بر نظام­های کشاورزی داشته و چالش­های جدی برای کشاورزان، خصوصاً کشاورزان خرده مالک، جهت سازگاری با این قبیل اثرات ایجاد کرده است. بخاطر اثرات نامطلوب وقایع شدید آب و هوایی بر جهان به ویژه در مناطق خشک، سازگاری بخش کشاورزی با این تغییرات بسیار حیاتی است. بنابراین کشاورزان بایستی تصمیمات پیچیده­ای برای کاهش اثرات نامطلوب تغییر اقلیم و کسب مزیت از فرصت­های پیش رو اتخاذ کنند. یکی از جنبه­های مهم برای سیاستگذارن جهت یاری رساندن به کشاورزان در راستای سازگاری با اثرات تغییر اقلیم مثل خشکسالی، فهم دقیق از فرآیند تصمیم­گیری کشاورزان و شناخت سازه­های تاثیرگذار بر تصمیمات شان در مواجه با تغییر اقلیم می­باشد. این مقاله در تلاش است تا چارچوبی مفهومی از سازه­های موثر بر الگوی تصمیم­گیری کشاورزان جهت سازگاری با تغییر اقلیم و ارتباط بین این سازه­ها فراهم آورد. باتوجه به نتایج بدست آمده، سازه­های اقتصادی، دانش، انگیزه­ها و اهداف، نتایج محسوس سازگاری، هنجارهای اجتماعی و شخصی، درک از تغییر اقلیم، درک از ریسک و موانع، نگرش نسبت به تغییر اقلیم، درک آتی از تغییر اقلیم، و ارزیابی ذهنی از تغییر اقلیم و فعالیت های سازگاری می­تواند تصمیم­گیری کشاورزان برای سازگاری با تغییر اقلیم را تحت تاثیر قرار دهد.

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