به کارگیری امید ریاضی رشد صندوق های سرمایه گذاری در سنجش رشد خالص شاخص های بهره‌وری کل با رویکرد شاخص بهره‌وری مالم کوئیست
محورهای موضوعی : مدیریت بازرگانی
علی منصوری
1
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هما درودی
2
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نرگس سعادتی
3
1 - عضو هیات علمی گروه مدیریت دانشگاه زنجان
2 - استادیار،گروه مدیریت بازرگانی، واحد زنجان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،زنجان،ایران
3 - کارشناس ارشد، گروه مدیریت بازرگانی، واحد زنجان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،زنجان،ایران
کلید واژه: تحلیل پوششی داده ها, صندوق های سرمایه گذاری مشترک, شاخص بهره وری مالم کوئیست و امید ریاضی رشد سود,
چکیده مقاله :
سرمایه گذاری مطلوب نقش به‌سزایی در رشد و توسعه اقتصادی یک کشور ایفا می کند. از آنجایی که صندوق های سرمایه گذاری نقش کلیدی در هدایت سرمایه و سرمایه گذاری دارد، این پژوهش با هدف ارزیابی رشد خالص عملکرد صندقهای سرمایه گذاری شکل گرفت. روش توصیفی و پس رویدادی برای اجرای این تحقیق مورد استفاده قرار گرفت. و برای ارزیابی تغییرات بهره وری کل، شاخص بهره وری کل مالم کوئیست با توجه به قابلیت آن در سنجش رشد(پسرفت) بهره وری کل و اجزای آن به کار رفت. براساس تحقیقات پیشین و نظر خبرگان از ضریب بتای صندوق، هزینه و ارزش خالص دارایی ابتدای هر سال به عنوان متغیر ورودی و میانگین بازدهی سالانه از ابتدای تأسیس، بازده و ارزش خالص دارایی انتهای هر سال، به عنوان متغیر خروجی استفاده گردید. بر همین اساس شاخص بهره‌وری کل مالم کوئیست برای 19 صندوق سرمایه گذاری مشترک فعال در طی بازه زمانی 1391 تا 1393 مورد سنجش قرار گرفت. در این میان، امید ریاضی رشد صندوق های سرمایه گذاری با وضعیت رشد (پسرفت) هر صندوق سرمایه گذاری مقایسه گردید تا ضمن خنثی سازی تاثیر عوامل محیطی رشد عملکردی شاخص های بهره وری در مقایسه با همدیگر مورد سنجش قرار گیرد. نتایج حاصل از بررسی نشان داد که با در نظر گرفتن امید ریاضی رشد(پسرفت) صندوق های سرمایه گذاری، صندوق سرمایه گذاری مشترک یکم بانک کشاورزی با 314 درصد رشد عملکردی در تغییرات بهره وری کل، از بیشترین رشد و صندوق سرمایه گذاری مشترک امید سهم با 38 درصد پسرفت عملکردی در تغییرات بهره وری، از بیشترین افت را در طول دوره داشته است.
The favorable investment funds play a suitable role in economic growth and development of a country. Thus, the investment fund has a key role in guiding the capital investment. The study aimed at the performance net growth of investment funds. The research method was casual-comparative. In order to assess the total productivity changes the malamaqeist, s total productivity index in regard to its assessment growth regression was used. According to the previous researches, the beta coefficient of the fund, expenses and net asset value (NAV) at the beginning of each year was selected as input variable, and the average annual return on investment (ROI) from the time of establishment, and the end of the year (NAV) were used as output variable. Accordingly the total malmaqueist,s productivity index was applied to the 19 common investment funds in 2013 and 2014 respectively. At the same time, mathematical expected growth of investment funds was compared with the status of each investment funds growth (regression) to neutralize the impact of environmental factors and assess the productivity performance growth in relation to each other. The results showed that the first mutual funds of agricultural bank with 314percent growth performance was in the first rank and gained the greatest growth rate and the joint funds of omid-saham with 38 percent regression had the greatest decline.
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