تاثیر پویایی مالی، شاخص بهداشت عمومی و سلامت جامعه و عدم تعادل اقتصاد کلان با تاکید بر کیفیت حکمرانی خوب
محورهای موضوعی : -مدارک پزشکیمهین آذرند 1 , مرجان دامن کشیده 2 * , منیژه هادی نزاد 3 , شهریار نصابیان 4
1 - گروه اقتصاد،واحد تهران مرکزی،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،تهران،ایران
2 - گروه اقتصاد،واحد تهران مرکزی،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،تهران،ایران
3 - گروه اقتصاد،واحد تهران مرکزی،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،تهران،ایران
4 - گروه اقتصاد،واحد تهران مرکزی،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی،تهران،ایران
کلید واژه: مالی, پویایی مالی, شاخص بهداشت عمومی و سلامت جامعه, عدم تعادل اقتصاد کلان, کیفیت حکمرانی خوب, مدل سیستم معادلات همزمان.,
چکیده مقاله :
مقدمه: سلامت جامعه و بهداشت عمومی از جمله شاخصهاي ملي است كه متأثر از متغيرهاي كلان اقتصادي ميباشد و هر يك از متغيرهاي اقتصاد كلان به نوعي بر آن تأثير ميگذارند. سلامت مانند بسياري از شاخصهاي ملي، مستقل از ديگر متغيرهاي كلان اقتصادي به اهداف مورد نظر نميرسد؛ زيرا هر يك از متغيرهاي ملي به نوعي بر آن تأثير ميگذارد كه اگر آنها ناديده انگاشته شود، به صرف تخصيص بودجههاي كلان و رشد سالانة آن و نيز ايجاد ظرفيتهاي فيزيكي کشور را به اهداف مورد نظر نميرساند. هدف مطالعه حاظر بررسی تاثیر پویایی مالی، شاخص بهداشت عمومی و سلامت جامعه و عدم تعادل اقتصاد کلان با تاکید بر کیفیت حکمرانی خوب می باشد.
روش پژوهش: در مطالعه حاضر به بررسی تاثیر پویایی مالی، شاخص بهداشت عمومی و سلامت جامعه و عدم تعادل اقتصاد کلان با تاکید بر کیفیت حکمرانی خوب برای دوره زمانی 2022-2000 و با بکارگیری مدل سیستم معادلات همزمان پرداخته می‌شود.
یافته‌ها: مطابق نتایج یک واحد افزایش در حجم نقدینگی، حساب جاری، حجم تجارت و شاخص بهداشت عمومی و سلامت جامعه، پویایی بخش مالی به ترتیب 33/0، 07/0، 46/0 و 36/0 واحد افزایش و یک واحد افزایش در شکاف تولید، نرخ سود تسهیلات و بدهی عمومی، به ترتیب پویایی بخش مالی به میزان 16/0، 4/0و 01/0 واحد کاهش می‌یابد. در مدل دوم نیز، افزایش تسهیلات پرداختی بانک‌ها، حجم تجارت و شاخص بهداشت عمومی و سلامت جامعه به ترتیب به میزان 52/0، 46/0 و 22/0 واحد شکاف تولید را کاهش و در مدل سوم پویایی بخش مالی، کیفیت حکمرانی، حجم تجارت و شاخص بهداشت عمومی و سلامت جامعه به ترتیب پویایی بخش پولی را به میزان، 17/0، 01/0، 11/0 و 18/0 واحد افزایش می‌دهد.
نتیجه‌گیری: باید نگاه برنامه ريزان اقتصادي در كـشور به گونهاي باشد كه برنامههاي سلامت و بهداشت و رفاه عمومي كشور، هماهنگ با سـاير سياستگذاريهاي بخش اقتصاد كلان صورت گيرد تا تحقق برنامههاي توسعه و به طور خاص برنامههاي بخش سلامت كشور، با درصد موفقيت بيشتري پيش رود. حکمرانی خوب نیازمند شفافیت در سیاست‌ها و فرآیندهای مالی است. وقتی سیستم مالی کشور از پویایی و نظم مناسبی برخوردار باشد، امکان نظارت دقیق‌تر بر منابع مالی، هزینه‌ها و سرمایه‌گذاری‌ها فراهم می‌شود. این امر به جلوگیری از فساد، سوء استفاده از منابع و تأمین مسئولیت‌پذیری دولت کمک می‌کند.
Introduction: Community health and public health are among the national indicators that are affected by macroeconomic variables, and each of the macroeconomic variables affects it in some way. Like many national indicators, health does not reach the desired goals independently of other macroeconomic variables; Because each of the national variables affects it in a way that if they are ignored, simply allocating large budgets and its annual growth and also creating the physical capacities of the country will not reach the desired goals. The aim of the current study is to investigate the impact of financial dynamics, public health index and community health and macroeconomic imbalance with emphasis on the quality of good governance.
Methods: In this study, the impact of financial dynamics, public health and community health index, and macroeconomic imbalance is investigated with emphasis on the quality of good governance for the time period of 2000-2022 and by using the system of simultaneous equations model.
Results: According to the results of one unit increase in the amount of liquidity, current account, trade volume and public health and community health index, the dynamics of the financial sector increased by 0.33, 0.07, 0.46 and 0.36 units respectively. The increase in the production gap, interest rate of facilities and public debt, respectively, the dynamics of the financial sector decreases by 0.16, 0.4 and 0.01 units. In the second model, the increase in banks' payment facilities, trade volume and public health and community health index reduced the production gap by 0.52, 0.46 and 0.22 units, respectively, and in the third model, the dynamics of the financial sector, the quality of governance, Trade volume and public health index and community health increase the dynamics of monetary sector by 0.17, 0.01, 0.11 and 0.18 units, respectively.
Conclusion: Public health and community health, like many national indicators, do not reach the desired goals independently of other macroeconomic variables; Because each of the national variables affects it in a way that if they are ignored, simply allocating big budgets and its annual growth, as well as creating physical capacities, will not bring the country to its desired goals. Therefore, it is necessary that the view of the economic planners in the country should be such that the health and public welfare programs of the country are coordinated with other policies of the macroeconomic sector in order to realize the development programs and specifically the programs the health sector of the country is progressing with a higher percentage of success.
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