ارزشگذاری اقتصادی هزینهها و منافع ویروس کرونا بر سلامت جامعه و آلودگی هوا (مطالعه موردی: شهر تهران)
الموضوعات :
علیرضا نظریان
1
,
زهرا عابدی
2
,
امیر اشکان نصیری پور
3
,
علیرضا حاجی سید میرزا حسینی
4
1 - دانشجوی گروه تخصصی مدیریت میحط زیست- اقتصاد محیط زیست، دانشکده منابع طبیعی و محیط زیست، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران.
2 - استادیار، گروه مدیریت محیط زیست، دانشکده منابع طبیعی و محیط زیست، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران. *(مسوول مکاتبات)
3 - دانشیار، گروه مدیریت خدمات بهداشتی و درمانی، دانشکده علوم و فناوری های پزشکی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران.
4 - استادیار، گروه تخصصی مهندسی محیط زیست، دانشکده منابع طبیعی و محیط زیست، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران.
تاريخ الإرسال : 27 السبت , شوال, 1443
تاريخ التأكيد : 17 الأربعاء , رجب, 1444
تاريخ الإصدار : 29 الثلاثاء , شعبان, 1444
الکلمات المفتاحية:
سالهای عمر از دست رفته,
ویروس کرونا,
آلودگی هوا,
روش ارزشگذاری مشروط,
ملخص المقالة :
زمینه و هدف: مقاله حاضر با هدف بررسی پژوهشهای علمی مرتبط با آلودگی هوا و مرگهای ناشی از ویروس کرونا و هزینههای ناشی از مرگ زودرس افراد و سالهای از دست رفته عمر میباشد.
روش بررسی: روش پژوهش حاضر مطالعه مروری است. جامعه آماری پژوهش تمام مطالعات انجام شده موجود در پایگاههای علمی بین المللی و ملی بر اساس شاخص (DALY) و رابطه آن با ذرات آلاینده با تاکید بر آلاینده ذرات معلق با قطر 5/2 میکرون (PM2.5) ، همچنین میزان اثرگذاری آلودگی هوا بر ویروس COVID-19 و میزان تمایل به پرداخت (WTP) آنها در ایران و جهان است. یافتههای پژوهش با استفاده از تکنیک کدگذاری بر اساس کلید واژههای آلودگی هوا، ارزشگذاری مشروط، سالهای عمر از دست رفته (DALY) و COVID-19 مورد تجزیه و تحلیل قرار گرفت.
یافتهها: بررسی مطالعات بار بیماریهای محیطی نشان دهنده سهم عوامل خطرزای محیطی از جمله PM2.5 هوای آزاد بر حسب شاخص تعداد سالهای از دست رفته به واسطه مرگ یا ناتوانی (DALY ) بوده است. همچنین بیشتر مطالعات در مورد تحلیلهای آماری بر غلظت اندازه گیری شده برای آلاینده PM2.5 و دادههای ابتلا و مرگ ناشی از COVID-19 در کشورهای مختلف میباشد.
بحث و نتیجه گیری: نتایج مطالعات نشان دهنده همبستگی قوی و معنادار بین غلظت آلاینده PM2.5 و نرخ ابتلا و مرگ ناشی از ویروس کرونا است. این امر نشان میدهد که با کنترل غلظت آلایندههای میشود نرخ ابتلا و مرگ ناشی از ویروس کرونا را کاهش داد.
المصادر:
Tavakoli A, Vahdat K, Keshavarz M. Novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): An Emerging Infectious Disease in the 21st Century. Iran South Med J. 2020; 22 (6) :432-450 . http://ismj.bpums.ac.ir/article-1-1222-fa.html. (In Persian)
Currie, C.S.M., Fowler, J.W., Kotiadis, K. \How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19", J. , 14(2), pp. 83-97 (Apr., 2020). DOI:10.1080/17477778.2020.1751570
Contini, D. and Costabile, F. \Does air pollution inuence COVID-19 outbreaks?", Atmosphere, 11(4), p. 377(Apr., 2020). DOI:10.3390/atmos11040377
Devara, P., Kumar, A., Sharma, P.B. and et al.\Infuence of air pollution on coronavirus (COVID-19): Some evidences from studies at AUH, Gurugram, India", SSRN Electron. J., 29, p. (2020). DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3588060
Asna-ashary, M., Farzanegan, M.R., Feizi, M. and et al.\COVID-19 outbreak and air pollution in Iran: A panel VAR analysis", Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (2020)
Ciencewicki, J. and Jaspers, I. \Air pollution and respiratory viral infection", Inhal. Toxicol., 19(14), pp. 1135-1146 (Jan., 2007).
Remuzzi, A. and Remuzzi, G. \COVID-19 and Italy: what next?", The Lancet, 395(10231), pp. 1225-1228(Apr., 2020). DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30627-9
Yao, Y., Pan, J., Wang, W. and et al. \Spatial correlation of particulate matter pollution and death rate of COVID-19", Epidemiology, preprint (Apr., 2020). DOI:10.1101/2020.04.07.20052142
Wang, B. Liu, J., Fu, Sh. and et al. \An e_ect assessment of Airborne particulate matter pollution on COVID-19: A multi-city Study in China", Occupational and Environmental Health, preprint (Apr., 2020). DOI:10.1101/2020.04.09.20060137
Chen, Z.-L., Zhang, Q., Lu, Y. and et al. \Distribution of the COVID-19 epidemic and correlation with population emigration from Wuhan, China", Chin. J. (Engl.), 133(9), pp. 1044-1050 (May, 2020). DOI:10.1097/CM9.0000000000000782
Setti, L., 2020, COVID-19: Link with Air Pollution? Italy’s and China’s Experience, https://impakter.com/covid-19-link-with-air-pollution-italys-and-chinas-experience
Zhu, Y., Xie, J., Huang, F. and et al. \Association between short-term exposure to air pollution and COVID-19 infection: Evidence from China", Total Environ., 727, p. 138704 (Jul., 2020). DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138704
Wu, X., Nethery, R. C., Sabath, M. B., Braun, D., & Dominici, F. (2020). Air pollution and COVID-19 mortality in the United States: Strengths and limitations of an ecological regression analysis. Science advances, 6(45), eabd4049.
Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network.Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 (GBD 2017) Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME); 2018.
Burnett R, Chen H, Szyszkowicz M, Fann N, Hubbell B, Pope CA, et al. Global estimates of mortality associated with long-term exposure to outdoor fine particulate matter. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018;115(38):9592-97.
Faridi S, Shamsipour M, Krzyzanowski M, Künzli N, Amini H, Azimi F, et al. Long-term trends and health impact of PM2.5 and O3 in Tehran, Iran, 2006- Environment International.2018;114:37-49
Neira M, Prüss-Ustün A, Mudu P. Reduce air pollution to beat NCDs: from recognition to action. The 2018;392(10154):1178- 9.
Naddafi K, Hassanvand MS, Yunesian M, Momeniha F, Nabizadeh R, Faridi S, et al. Health impact assessment of air pollution in megacity of Tehran, Iran. Iranian Journal of Environmental Health Science & 2012;9(1): doi:10.1186/735-2746-9-28.
Naghavi M. Ministry of Health & Treatment and Medical Education. National Study on Pathology and Diseases Burden. Tehran; 2007. p.26, 36-37,47. (In Persian)
Vanderlig D, Rinold G. Health Economics. Translated by Tofighi SH, Ahmad Kia A. 1st ed. Tehran: Vajeh Pardaz Publications; 2009. p.343. (In Persian)
Asefzade S. The basis of economics in health. 3rd ed. Qazvin: Qazvin University of Medical Sciences; 2009. p.220. (In Persian)
Garcia, L. Y., & Cerda, A. A. (2020). Contingent assessment of the COVID-19 Vaccine, 38(34),5424-5429. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.06.068
Catma, S.; Varol, S. Willingness to Pay for a Hypothetical COVID-19 Vaccine in the United States: A Contingent Valuation Vaccines 2021,9,318. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9040318
Ito, K. Zhang, S. Willingness to Pay for Clean Air: Evidence from Air Purifier Markets in China. 2019. University of Chicago DOI: 10.1086/705554
Karimzadegan, H., Rahmatian, M., Farhud, D. D., & Yunesian, M. (2008). Economic Valuation of Air Pollution Health Im pacts in the Tehran Area, Iran. Iranian journal of public health, 20-30.
Persico, C. and Johnson, K.R. \Deregulation in a time of pandemic: Does pollution increase coronavirus cases or deaths?", IZA Institute of Labor Economics (2020).
Piazzalunga-Expert, A. \Evaluation of the potential relationship between Particulate Matter (PM) pollution and COVID-19 infection spread in Italy", mimeo (2020).
Lionetto, M.G., Guascito, M.R., Caricato, R.& et “Correlation of oxidative potential with ecotoxicological and cytotoxicological potential of PM10 at an urban background site in Italy", Atmosphere, 10(12), p. 733 (Nov., 2019). DOI:10.3390/atmos10120733
HEI, H. "perspectives 3: Understanding the health effects of ambient ultra_ne particles (HEI review panel on ultra_ne particles)", Health Eff Inst. Boston Mass. (2013).
Abbaspour, M., and Abedi, Z., and Ahmadian, M., and Zafari, F. (1392). Economic evaluation of market functions of Arjan-Parishan Lake environmental resources with emphasis on aquatic species. Environmental Science and Technology, (Series56),75-89. (In Persian) sid.ir/fa/journal/ViewPaper.aspx?id=214927
Abbaspour, M., and Abedi, Z., Shariatmadari, A., Economical, Heritage and Existential Evaluation of the National Park and Tandureh Protected Area Using the Conditional Method, 2014, European Online Journal of Natural and Social Sciences, vol3, No3.
Haghparast, M., Haji Seyed Mirza Hosseini, S., Mansouri, N., Ghodousi, J. (2019). Prediction of Air Pollution Index by the GIS Tools During Cold Seasons in the Commercial Zones of Tehran. Environmental Energy and Economic Research, 3(3), 241-260. doi:10.22097/eeer.2019.192247.1095
Apte JS, Brauer M, Cohen AJ, Ezzati M, Pope III Ambient PM2.5 reduces global and regional life expectancy. Environmental Science & Technology Letters. 2018;5(9):546-51.
Naddafi K, Hassanvand M, Faridi S. Review of studies on air quality status and its health effects in Iran. 2019;12(1): 151-172. (In Persian) http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6209-fa.html
Bayat R, Ashrafi K, Shafiepour Motlagh M, Hassanvand M, Daroudi R. Estimation of Tehran's particulate matter 2.5 micrometers or less in diameter (PM2.5) health effects, using BenMAP-CE. ijhe.2019;12(3):365-82. (In Persian) http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6274-fa.html
Bayat, R., Ashrafi, K., Motlagh, M. S., Hassanvand, M. S., Daroudi, R., Fink, G., & Künzli, N. (2019). Health impact and related cost of ambient air pollution in Tehran. Environmental research, 176, 108547. org/10.1016/j.envres.2019.108547
Brajer V, Hall J, Rahmatian M. Air Pollution, Its Mortality Risk, and Economic Impacts in Tehran, Iran. Iran J Public Health. 41(5):31-3
Voorhees, S.S., Sakai, R., Araki, S. et al.Cost-benefit analysis methods for assessing air pollution control programs in urban environments—A review. Environ Health Prev Med 6, 63–73 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02897948
Priel, Dan. "COVID-19: Cost-Benefit Analysis and Politics." Osgoode Hall Law Journal 57.3 (2021): 537-565. https://digitalcommons.osgoode.yorku.ca/ohlj/vol57/iss3/2
Rowthorn, R., & Maciejowski, J. 2020. A cost–benefit analysis of the COVID-19 disease. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 36(Supplement_1), S38-S55
Thunström, L., Newbold, S. C., Finnoff, D., Ashworth, M., & Shogren, J. F. (2020). The benefits and costs of using social distancing to flatten the curve for COVID-19. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 1-27.
Moridi A, Yarahmadi R, Abedi Z. Prioritization of modern air pollution control technologies (gases and vapors) based on the CBA method. ioh. 2020; 17 (1):63-7 URL: http://ioh.iums.ac.ir/article-1-2435-fa.html. (In Persian)
_||_
Tavakoli A, Vahdat K, Keshavarz M. Novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): An Emerging Infectious Disease in the 21st Century. Iran South Med J. 2020; 22 (6) :432-450 . http://ismj.bpums.ac.ir/article-1-1222-fa.html. (In Persian)
Currie, C.S.M., Fowler, J.W., Kotiadis, K. \How simulation modelling can help reduce the impact of COVID-19", J. , 14(2), pp. 83-97 (Apr., 2020). DOI:10.1080/17477778.2020.1751570
Contini, D. and Costabile, F. \Does air pollution inuence COVID-19 outbreaks?", Atmosphere, 11(4), p. 377(Apr., 2020). DOI:10.3390/atmos11040377
Devara, P., Kumar, A., Sharma, P.B. and et al.\Infuence of air pollution on coronavirus (COVID-19): Some evidences from studies at AUH, Gurugram, India", SSRN Electron. J., 29, p. (2020). DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3588060
Asna-ashary, M., Farzanegan, M.R., Feizi, M. and et al.\COVID-19 outbreak and air pollution in Iran: A panel VAR analysis", Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics (2020)
Ciencewicki, J. and Jaspers, I. \Air pollution and respiratory viral infection", Inhal. Toxicol., 19(14), pp. 1135-1146 (Jan., 2007).
Remuzzi, A. and Remuzzi, G. \COVID-19 and Italy: what next?", The Lancet, 395(10231), pp. 1225-1228(Apr., 2020). DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30627-9
Yao, Y., Pan, J., Wang, W. and et al. \Spatial correlation of particulate matter pollution and death rate of COVID-19", Epidemiology, preprint (Apr., 2020). DOI:10.1101/2020.04.07.20052142
Wang, B. Liu, J., Fu, Sh. and et al. \An e_ect assessment of Airborne particulate matter pollution on COVID-19: A multi-city Study in China", Occupational and Environmental Health, preprint (Apr., 2020). DOI:10.1101/2020.04.09.20060137
Chen, Z.-L., Zhang, Q., Lu, Y. and et al. \Distribution of the COVID-19 epidemic and correlation with population emigration from Wuhan, China", Chin. J. (Engl.), 133(9), pp. 1044-1050 (May, 2020). DOI:10.1097/CM9.0000000000000782
Setti, L., 2020, COVID-19: Link with Air Pollution? Italy’s and China’s Experience, https://impakter.com/covid-19-link-with-air-pollution-italys-and-chinas-experience
Zhu, Y., Xie, J., Huang, F. and et al. \Association between short-term exposure to air pollution and COVID-19 infection: Evidence from China", Total Environ., 727, p. 138704 (Jul., 2020). DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138704
Wu, X., Nethery, R. C., Sabath, M. B., Braun, D., & Dominici, F. (2020). Air pollution and COVID-19 mortality in the United States: Strengths and limitations of an ecological regression analysis. Science advances, 6(45), eabd4049.
Global Burden of Disease Collaborative Network.Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 (GBD 2017) Seattle, United States: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME); 2018.
Burnett R, Chen H, Szyszkowicz M, Fann N, Hubbell B, Pope CA, et al. Global estimates of mortality associated with long-term exposure to outdoor fine particulate matter. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 2018;115(38):9592-97.
Faridi S, Shamsipour M, Krzyzanowski M, Künzli N, Amini H, Azimi F, et al. Long-term trends and health impact of PM2.5 and O3 in Tehran, Iran, 2006- Environment International.2018;114:37-49
Neira M, Prüss-Ustün A, Mudu P. Reduce air pollution to beat NCDs: from recognition to action. The 2018;392(10154):1178- 9.
Naddafi K, Hassanvand MS, Yunesian M, Momeniha F, Nabizadeh R, Faridi S, et al. Health impact assessment of air pollution in megacity of Tehran, Iran. Iranian Journal of Environmental Health Science & 2012;9(1): doi:10.1186/735-2746-9-28.
Naghavi M. Ministry of Health & Treatment and Medical Education. National Study on Pathology and Diseases Burden. Tehran; 2007. p.26, 36-37,47. (In Persian)
Vanderlig D, Rinold G. Health Economics. Translated by Tofighi SH, Ahmad Kia A. 1st ed. Tehran: Vajeh Pardaz Publications; 2009. p.343. (In Persian)
Asefzade S. The basis of economics in health. 3rd ed. Qazvin: Qazvin University of Medical Sciences; 2009. p.220. (In Persian)
Garcia, L. Y., & Cerda, A. A. (2020). Contingent assessment of the COVID-19 Vaccine, 38(34),5424-5429. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2020.06.068
Catma, S.; Varol, S. Willingness to Pay for a Hypothetical COVID-19 Vaccine in the United States: A Contingent Valuation Vaccines 2021,9,318. https://doi.org/10.3390/vaccines9040318
Ito, K. Zhang, S. Willingness to Pay for Clean Air: Evidence from Air Purifier Markets in China. 2019. University of Chicago DOI: 10.1086/705554
Karimzadegan, H., Rahmatian, M., Farhud, D. D., & Yunesian, M. (2008). Economic Valuation of Air Pollution Health Im pacts in the Tehran Area, Iran. Iranian journal of public health, 20-30.
Persico, C. and Johnson, K.R. \Deregulation in a time of pandemic: Does pollution increase coronavirus cases or deaths?", IZA Institute of Labor Economics (2020).
Piazzalunga-Expert, A. \Evaluation of the potential relationship between Particulate Matter (PM) pollution and COVID-19 infection spread in Italy", mimeo (2020).
Lionetto, M.G., Guascito, M.R., Caricato, R.& et “Correlation of oxidative potential with ecotoxicological and cytotoxicological potential of PM10 at an urban background site in Italy", Atmosphere, 10(12), p. 733 (Nov., 2019). DOI:10.3390/atmos10120733
HEI, H. "perspectives 3: Understanding the health effects of ambient ultra_ne particles (HEI review panel on ultra_ne particles)", Health Eff Inst. Boston Mass. (2013).
Abbaspour, M., and Abedi, Z., and Ahmadian, M., and Zafari, F. (1392). Economic evaluation of market functions of Arjan-Parishan Lake environmental resources with emphasis on aquatic species. Environmental Science and Technology, (Series56),75-89. (In Persian) sid.ir/fa/journal/ViewPaper.aspx?id=214927
Abbaspour, M., and Abedi, Z., Shariatmadari, A., Economical, Heritage and Existential Evaluation of the National Park and Tandureh Protected Area Using the Conditional Method, 2014, European Online Journal of Natural and Social Sciences, vol3, No3.
Haghparast, M., Haji Seyed Mirza Hosseini, S., Mansouri, N., Ghodousi, J. (2019). Prediction of Air Pollution Index by the GIS Tools During Cold Seasons in the Commercial Zones of Tehran. Environmental Energy and Economic Research, 3(3), 241-260. doi:10.22097/eeer.2019.192247.1095
Apte JS, Brauer M, Cohen AJ, Ezzati M, Pope III Ambient PM2.5 reduces global and regional life expectancy. Environmental Science & Technology Letters. 2018;5(9):546-51.
Naddafi K, Hassanvand M, Faridi S. Review of studies on air quality status and its health effects in Iran. 2019;12(1): 151-172. (In Persian) http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6209-fa.html
Bayat R, Ashrafi K, Shafiepour Motlagh M, Hassanvand M, Daroudi R. Estimation of Tehran's particulate matter 2.5 micrometers or less in diameter (PM2.5) health effects, using BenMAP-CE. ijhe.2019;12(3):365-82. (In Persian) http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6274-fa.html
Bayat, R., Ashrafi, K., Motlagh, M. S., Hassanvand, M. S., Daroudi, R., Fink, G., & Künzli, N. (2019). Health impact and related cost of ambient air pollution in Tehran. Environmental research, 176, 108547. org/10.1016/j.envres.2019.108547
Brajer V, Hall J, Rahmatian M. Air Pollution, Its Mortality Risk, and Economic Impacts in Tehran, Iran. Iran J Public Health. 41(5):31-3
Voorhees, S.S., Sakai, R., Araki, S. et al.Cost-benefit analysis methods for assessing air pollution control programs in urban environments—A review. Environ Health Prev Med 6, 63–73 (2001). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02897948
Priel, Dan. "COVID-19: Cost-Benefit Analysis and Politics." Osgoode Hall Law Journal 57.3 (2021): 537-565. https://digitalcommons.osgoode.yorku.ca/ohlj/vol57/iss3/2
Rowthorn, R., & Maciejowski, J. 2020. A cost–benefit analysis of the COVID-19 disease. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 36(Supplement_1), S38-S55
Thunström, L., Newbold, S. C., Finnoff, D., Ashworth, M., & Shogren, J. F. (2020). The benefits and costs of using social distancing to flatten the curve for COVID-19. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 1-27.
Moridi A, Yarahmadi R, Abedi Z. Prioritization of modern air pollution control technologies (gases and vapors) based on the CBA method. ioh. 2020; 17 (1):63-7 URL: http://ioh.iums.ac.ir/article-1-2435-fa.html. (In Persian)