ملخص المقالة :
تورم و تغییرپذیری مداوم قیمت کالاهای کشاورزی، از جمله عاملهایی هستند که میتوانند اثرات منفی بر هر دو گروه تولیدکننده و مصرف کننده داشته باشند. از این رو، شناسایی ارتباط میان این متغیرها، نقشی مهم در اتخاذ سیاستهای مناسب اقتصادی ایفا میکند. بمنظور بررسی ارتباط علی میان تغییرپذیری قیمتهای نسبی کالاهای کشاورزی و نرخ تورم، طی دوره ی 1387- 1369، از آزمون علیت گرنجر و بمنظور شناسایی رابطه ی میان متغیرها، از آزمون جوهانسون و مدل تصحیح خطای برداری استفاده شده است. نتایج بدست آمده نشان میدهد که در کوتاهمدت، ارتباط دو طرفه ی مثبت و معنیداری میان تورم و تغییرپذیری قیمت نسبی کالاهای کشاورزی وجود دارد، اما در بلندمدت، تنها متغیر تورم تاثیری مثبت و معنیدار بر تغییرپذیری قیمتهای نسبی داشته است.
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