• الصفحة الرئيسية
  • بررسی اثر توسعه تکنولوژی بر رشد اقتصادی و کنترل انتشار آلودگی در بخش کشاورزی (با اجرای قانون هدفمندی یارانه انرژی)

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عنوان URL للمقالة


رقم المقالة : JAE-2105-2242 (R1) زيارة : 30 الصفحة: 13 - 28

10.30495/jae.2023.27979.2242

نوع المخطوط: ابحاث

بررسی اثر توسعه تکنولوژی بر رشد اقتصادی و کنترل انتشار آلودگی در بخش کشاورزی (با اجرای قانون هدفمندی یارانه انرژی)

الموضوعات : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی

فاطمه طایی سمیرمی 1 (دانشگاه تربیت مدرس- دانشکده کشاورزی)
صادق خلیلیان 2 (دانشیار- دانشگاه تربیت مدرس- دانشکده کشاورزی)

تاريخ الإرسال : 25 الجمعة , رمضان, 1442 تاريخ التأكيد : 19 الأحد , محرم, 1445 تاريخ الإصدار : 05 الأحد , محرم, 1445

الکلمات المفتاحية: بخش کشاورزی, یارانه انرژی, منحنی زیست‌محیطی کوزنتس, مدل خودرگرسیونی ‌برداری توضیحی (ARDL),

ملخص المقالة :

استفاده از فناوری‌های جدید سبب کاهش انتشار آلودگی می‌شود؛ اما، به‌ دلیل وجود اثر بازگشتی نیاز به بررسی بیشتر دارد. هدف از این مطالعه بررسی تاثیر توسعه فناوری (اثر کارایی انرژی و اثر جانشینی) بر میزان آلودگی با بررسی اثرات القایی رشد اقتصادی و آزمون منحنی کوزنتس زیست‌محیطی است. در این مطالعه از اطلاعات سری‌زمانی سالانه 1360 الی 1396 و روش خودرگرسیونی‌ برداری توضیحی استفاده شده است. یافته‌‌های تحقیق دلالت بر این دارد که با افزایش قیمت انرژی ناشی از اجرای قانون هدفمندی یارانه در ایران، فرضیه زیست‌محیطی کوزنتس مورد تأیید قرار نمی‌گیرد. نتایج شبیه‌سازی سناریوی رشد اقتصادی بخش کشاورزی، نشان داد که هر یک درصد افزایش این متغیر به طور متوسط باعث افزایش 31/0 درصدی اثر کارایی انرژی بر کاهش آلودگی و افزایش 92/18 درصدی اثر جانشینی انرژی بر افزایش آلودگی در دوره شبیه‌سازی گردیده است

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