Stability Analysis of a Malaria Transmission Model for the Effect of Infected Immigrants with Temperature and Rainfall Dependent Parameters
الموضوعات : فصلنامه ریاضی
Victor Yiga
1
(Department of Mathematics, Faculty of science, Kyambogo University)
Hasifa Nampala
2
(Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Kyambogo University, Kyambogo, Uganda)
Julius Tumwiine
3
(Department of Mathematics, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Mbarara, Uganda)
الکلمات المفتاحية: numerical simulation, Global stability, Local stability, Equilibrium points,
ملخص المقالة :
A human host-mosquito vector model for transmission of malaria with infow of infected immigrants is formulated. The mosquito population includes aquatic stages (eggs, larvae, and pupae) and mature stages which have highly temperature and rainfall dependent life cycles. Model analysis reveals that the model only attains two (2) endemic equilibria; one in absence of the vector population and the other in presence of the vector population. The endemic equilibrium without the mosquito vector population is unstable. The endemic equilibrium with the vector population is locally stable and globally unstable. Numerical simulations of the model reveal that the proportion of infected humans introduced into the community does not significantly change the pattern of malaria transmission.
