رابطه سرریز شبکه ای بازدهی بازارهای سرمایهگذاری با رویکرد دیبولد و یلماز
الموضوعات :سیدامیرمهدی هاشمی 1 , محمد خدایی وله زاقرد 2 , عباس معمارنژاد 3 , اصغر ابوالحسنی 4
1 - گروه مدیریت مالی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
2 - گروه مدیریت مالی، واحد تهران شمال، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
3 - گروه اقتصاد،واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
4 - گروه اقتصاد و حسابداری، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: بورس, سر ریز نوسانات نامتقارن, خودرگرسیون برداری,
ملخص المقالة :
بازار سرمایه یکی از مهترین منابع تامین مالی بنگاه های اقتصادی در بلندمدت است. از آنجاییکه بازار سرمایه همواره از موضاعات مدنظر سیاستگذاران و سرمایهگذاران بوده است پرداختن به عوامل اثر گذار بر آن از اهمیت بالایی برخوردار است.اثرات سرریز و سرایت در بین بازارهای مالی باتوجه به ارتباط و حساسیت سرمایه به رخدادهای اقتصادی و غیر اقتصادی در دهه اخیر از اهمیت بالایی در مطالعات انجام شده در حوزه ادبیات مالی و اقتصادی برخوردار شده است. مطالعه حاضر نیز به بررسی اثرات سرریز در بازدهی بازارهای ارز، طلا، نفت، شاخص جهانی فلزات، مسکن و بخش بانکی برشاخص بورس اوراق بهادار طی دوره زمانی 1385 تا 1398 و به صورت ماهانه پرداخته است. به منظور افزایش دقت در تحلیل روند رشد اقتصادی ایران، افزایش انعطاف پذیری نتایج و برآورد اثرات سر ریز به صورت نامتقارن از مدل سرریز نوسانات با استفاده از رویکرد دیبولد و یلماز بهره گرفته شده است.
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