Effects of Changing Agricultural Subsidies on Production and Exports in Iran
الموضوعات :
حسین بدیع برزین
1
(دانشجوی دکترا اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده علوم زیست محیطی و کشاورزی پایدار، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان)
محمد نوروزیان
2
(دانشجوی دکترا اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده علوم زیست محیطی و کشاورزی پایدار، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان)
سید مهدی حسینی
3
(استادیار و عضو هیات علمی گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشکده علوم زیست محیطی و کشاورزی پایدار، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان)
امیر تقوی
4
(دانشجوی دکترا اقتصاد، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان، ایران)
الکلمات المفتاحية: Computational general equilibrium, Accounting Matrix, Effect of Reducing Subsidies Social,
ملخص المقالة :
Subsidy is a tool used by governments as a form of financial aid to support specific economic sectors. Today subsidy is common in several countries such as Iran due to different political and economic reasons. This study has examined the effects of changing agricultural subsidies on, production and exports. For this purpose, a computable general equilibrium model (CGE) for the year 2012 was used in social accounting matrix form in 2001 as the statistical basis. For the extraction and transportation of nonlinear programming model "mixed complementary problem" (MCP) was used. Social Accounting Matrix was divided into main sectors: agriculture, oil and gas, textiles, energy, industry and services. Then, the effect of agricultural subsidies and its effect on endogenous variables were investigated. Results showed that reducing agricultural subsidies, decreases the level of agricultural production by 21.3 percent and increases prices which in turn causes deviation of real exchange rate from equilibrium that prevents the exports in this sector. Moreover, by reducing subsidies the unemployment rate increases and welfare decreases.
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