ارزیابی بهره وری، کارایی و رتبه بندی نیروگاه های حرارتی: یک رویکرد مبتنی بر تحلیل پوششی داده های تصادفی
الموضوعات :
1 - استادیار گروه مدیریت، واحد دهاقان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، دهاقان، ایران
الکلمات المفتاحية: تحلیل پوششی دادههای تصادفی, کارایی متقاطع تصادفی, خروجی نامطلوب تصادفی, معیار رتبهبندی میانگین, اولویت رتبهبندی تصادفی ,
ملخص المقالة :
در تحلیل پوششی داده ها (DEA) مدل های مختلف در زمینه های گوناگون با داده های مختلف برای ارزیابی و رتبه بندی واحدهای تصمیم گیرنده (DMU) طراحی شده است. حال آنکه در بسیاری از مسائل کاربردی، مدیران واحدها با داده هایی تصادفی روبرو هستند و آنها برای ارزیابی واحدهای تحت نظارت خود به روشی نیاز دارند که بتواند اینگونه DMU ها را ارزیابی و رتبه بندی کنند. در کار کردن با دادههای تصادفی با در نظر گرفتن احتمالی برای وقوع حالت های پیش بینی نشده (سطح خطا)، که از طرف مدیران ارائه می شود، DMU ها ارزیابی می شوند. در این مقاله با استفاده تکنیک های آمار و احتمالات و توزیع نرمال و مدلBCC دارای خروجیهای نامطلوب و با در نظر گرفتن خطای مشخص یک مدل تصادفی جدید تحت عنوان معیار رتبهبندی میانگین جهت ارزیابی کارایی دادههای تصادفی پیشنهاد می شود. بر اساس آن کارایی متقاطع تصادفی محاسبه گردیده است. از آنجایی که وزن های بهینه در ارزیابی کارایی متقاطع تصادفی منحصر به فرد نیستند برای رتبهبندی بهتر و اولویت دادن به آنها روش خودخواهانه پیشنهاد می شود. نهایتاً مدل های پیشنهاد شده برای 32 واحد نیروگاه حرارتی که دارای ورودی ها و خروجی های مطلوب و نامطلوب تصادفی هستند پیاده سازی شده است.
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