رتبهبندی استانهای کشور از نظر ایجاد ارزش افزوده زیر بخشهای اقتصادی بر اساس مدل تصمیمگیری چند معیاره (VIKOR)
محورهای موضوعی :
فصلنامه علمی برنامه ریزی منطقه ای
قهرمان عبدلی
1
,
راضیه کاردگر
2
,
ابوطالب کاظمی
3
,
محمد مولائی قلیچی
4
1 - استاد گروه اقتصاد، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
2 - دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، دانشگاه مازندران، بابلسر، ایران
3 - دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، دانشگاه یزد، یزد، ایران
4 - دانشجوی دکتری جغرافیا و برنامه ریزی شهری، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران
تاریخ دریافت : 1394/04/21
تاریخ پذیرش : 1396/04/11
تاریخ انتشار : 1396/04/01
کلید واژه:
تصمیم گیری چند معیاره,
ارزش افزوده,
ویکور,
ظرفیت های مناطق,
چکیده مقاله :
آگاهی از منابع و پتانسیلهای اقتصادی مناطق در جهت رشد و پیشرفت آنها، ضروری است. یکی از شاخصهای مهم اقتصادی، که نشان دهندهی نحوهی بهرهگیری از ظرفیت منابع انسانی و طبیعی متناسب با هر منطقه در جهت رشد اقتصادی و تولید آن است، ارزش افزوده بخشهای مختلف اقتصادی میباشد. از اینرو هدف پژوهش حاضر، دستیابی به مزیتهای نسبی هر استان از طریق رتبهبندی ارزشافزوده ایجادشده فعالیتهای اقتصادی مختلف است. بدین منظور ابتدا با استفاده از روش آنتروپی شانون به وزن دهی هر یک از 15 زیر بخش اقتصادی پرداخته، سپس به منظور دستیابی به نتایج تحقیق، با استفاده از دادههای موجود در مرکز آمار و استفاده از تکنیک تصمیمگیری چندمعیاره (VIKOR) برای دادههای سال1390 تحلیلی صورت گرفته است. نتایج حاصل از تحقیق نشان داد که استان خوزستان به دلیل سهم بالای 48 درصدی ارزشافزوده در بخش معدن و مقدار عددی شاخص ویکور معادل 290/0 بالاترین رتبه را به خود اختصاص داده است، تهران به دلیل داشتن سهم زیاد در بخش «واسطه گری مالی» و «مستغلات، کرایه و خدمات کسب و کار»، با مقدار عددی 472/0 از شاخص ویکور، رتبه دوم را به خود اختصاص داده است و استان کهگیلویه و بویراحمد به دلیل دارا بودن سهم بالا (11درصدی) بخش معدن و مقدار عددی 538/0 شاخص ویکور، رتبه سوم را به خود اختصاص داده است. استانهای قم (مقدار شاخص 993/0)، سمنان (993/0) و چهارمحال و بختیاری (993/0) به دلیل پایین بودن سهم آنها از بخشهای مختلف اقتصادی، کمترین رتبهها را به خود اختصاص دادهاند. بنابراین در راستای سیاست عدالت اجتماعی، به عنوان هدف محوری برنامههای توسعه کشور، لازم است که وضعیت مناطق مختلف کشور (استانهای کشور) از نظر نحوه پخشایش خدمات و میزان برخورداری از شاخصهای مختلف اقتصادی-اجتماعی و زیربنایی، بررسی شود و نارسائیها برای برنامههای آتی توسعه در نظر گرفته شود.
چکیده انگلیسی:
Awareness of resources and potential economic of regions is essential for their development and growth. One important economic indicator is the economic value of different sections that shows how each region has used its human and natural resources capacities to improve its own economic growth and production. The aim of this study is to achieve the relative merits of each region by the rankings of the value added created by the different economic activities. For this purpose, the Entropy Shanon method for weighting each of the 15 economic sub-sectors was used. Then, the data related to year of 1390 was analysed by the statistical data and multi criteria decision making techniques (VIKOR). The results showed that, Khuzestan has the highest rank because of the high share of value added in the mining sector (48%) and (VIKOR index equal to /290). Tehran because of having lots of share in ‘financial intermediation’ and ‘real estate’, rent and business service’ and (VIKOR index equal to. /472), and Kohgiluyeh Boyer Ahmad because of high share (11%) in the mining sector and (VIKOR index equal to. /538) have been ranked as the second and the third; respectively. The provinces of Qom (VIKOR index was equal to. /993), Semnan (. /993), Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari (. /993) because of the low contribution of the different economic sectors have the lowest rate. Therefore along with the policy of social justice as a central objective of national development programs, It is necessary to investigate different regions of the country (provinces of the country) in the point of view of distribution of Service and access to various socio-economic and infrastructure index. In addition, the insufficiency of future development should be considered.
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