• صفحه اصلی
  • شناسایی عوامل کلیدی موثر بر حکمروایی خوب شهری با رویکرد سناریونویسی (مطالعه موردی: شهر فسا)

اشتراک گذاری

آدرس مقاله


کد مقاله : JUPM-2102-3786 (R1) بازدید : 81 صفحه: 123 - 140

10.30495/jupm.2021.27309.3786

20.1001.1.22285229.1402.14.52.8.0

نوع مقاله: پژوهشی

شناسایی عوامل کلیدی موثر بر حکمروایی خوب شهری با رویکرد سناریونویسی (مطالعه موردی: شهر فسا)

محورهای موضوعی : فصلنامه علمی و پژوهشی پژوهش و برنامه ریزی شهری

مهشید محمد ابراهیمی 1 , امیر اشنویی نوش آبادی 2

1 - مربی گروه معماری، دانشگاه پیام نور، تهران، ایران.
2 - استادیار گروه جغرافیا، دانشگاه لرستان، خرم آباد، ایران.

تاریخ دریافت : 1399/11/22 تاریخ پذیرش : 1400/06/01 تاریخ انتشار : 1402/02/01

کلید واژه: مدیریت شهری, سناریو نویسی, حکمروایی خوب شهری, شهر فسا,

چکیده مقاله :

حکمروایی خوب شهری به عنوان یکی از بااهمیت ترین و مؤثرترین رویکردهای عرصه مدیریت شهری در جهان مطرح است. از آنجا که درک وضعیت آینده حکمرانی خوب در شهرهای کشورمان میتواند در برنامه ریزی و تصمیمگیری مدیران بسیار موثر باشد و به دلیل وجود عدم قطعیت و نیاز به پیش بینی های محتمل؛ هدف پژوهش حاضر، شناسایی عوامل کلیدی موثر بر حکمروایی خوب شهری با رویکرد سناریونویسی در شهر فسا در افق 1430 در نظر گرفته شده است. این پژوهش به لحاظ هدف کاربردی و روش آن توصیفی – تحلیلی است. از نرم افزار میک مک برای تحلیل تأثیر عوامل بر همدیگر استفاده شده است. همچنین برای انجام محاسبات سناریونویسی (تدوین سناریو) از نرمافزار سناریو ویزارد استفاده شده است. جامعه آماری تحقیق را متخصصان و خبرگانی در زمینه مدیریت شهری، حکمروایی و آینده پژوهی از دانش و تجربه لازم و کافی برخوردار هستند، تشکیل داده است که تعداد آنها 22 نفر میباشد. نتایج نشان میدهد که عوامل کلیدی موثر بر آینده حکمروایی شهر فسا در افق 1430 شامل التزام مدیریت شهری به برابری در برابر قانون، مقاومت مدیریت شهری در برابر رفتارهای خلاف قانون شهروندان، احساس مسئولیت پذیری مدیران و مسئولان شهری، صادق بودن مدیریت شهری در ارائه برنامه ها، عدالت در توزیع برابر و عادلانه امکانات شهری، عدم وجود فساد در سیستم مدیریت شهری، استفاده معقولانه از منابع و امکانات، بهبود روشها و اقدامات براساس علم روز، شفافیت در ارائه عملکرد، تساهل و پذیرش رویکردهای متنوع، عدالت جنسیتی، کنترل و نظارت مناسب بر ساخت وسازهای شهری، مشارکت مردم در برنامهریزی، تصمیمسازی، تصمیمگیری و فعالیتها، شفافیت در تصمیمگیری است. همچنین، 7 سناریوی با ترکیب‌های متفاوتی از سه وضعیت، مطلوب، ایستا و بحرانی احتمال وقوع در حکمروایی خوب شهری در شهر فسا را دارند که وضعیت‌های بحرانی بخش عمده‌ای از صفحه سناریوها را به خود اختصاص داده‌اند و وضعیت‌های مطلوب و ایستا در الویتهای بعدی قرار دارند.

چکیده انگلیسی:

Good urban governance is considered as one of the most important and effective approaches in the field of urban management in the world. Because understanding the future of good governance in our country's cities can be very effective in the planning and decision-making of managers, and due to the uncertainty and the need for possible predictions, the present study aimed to identify the key factors affecting good urban governance with a scenario planning approach in Fasa city in the horizon of 1430. This research is descriptive-analytical in terms of applied purpose and method. MICMAC software has been used to analyze the effect of factors on each other. Scenario planning software has also been used to perform scenario calculations (scenario editing). The statistical population consists of 22 experts and scholars in the field of urban management, governance and future research with the necessary and sufficient knowledge and experience. The results indicated that the key factors affecting the future of the Fasa city governance in the horizon of 1430 have been the commitment of urban management to equality before the law, the resistance of urban management to illegal behaviors of citizens, the sense of responsibility of managers and city officials, the honesty of urban management in presenting programs, justice in equal and equitable distribution of urban facilities, absence of corruption in urban management system, reasonable use of resources and facilities, improvement of methods and actions based on modern science, transparency in performance, tolerance and acceptance of various approaches, gender justice, proper control and supervision of urban construction, public participation in planning, planning, decision-making and activities, and transparency in decision-making. In addition, seven scenarios with different combinations of three favorable, static and critical conditions are likely to occur in good urban governance in Fasa city.

منابع و مأخذ:


  1. Adams, R. B., & Ferreira, D. (2009). Women in the boardroom and their impact on
    governance and performance. Journal of Financial Economics, 94(2), 291-309.
    2.
  2. Ahani, M., Mousakhani, M., Afshar Kazemi, M. (2018). Future Studies of Good Governance in Iran: A Scenario Approach. Iranian journal of management sciences, 13(51), 61-80.
    3.
  3. Aldagji, Z., ebrahimi, A., shojaei, S., didehkhani, H. (2020). Scenario development of Golestan province tourism area with a futuristic approach. Geography And Development Iranian Journal, 18(58), 59-74.
    4.
  4. Alizadeh, K., Roshanaie, H. (2017). The Role of Good Governance in Urban Branding: A Case Study of Shandiz. Geography and Urban Space Development, 4(1), 115-137.
    5.
  5. Amiri, M. (2017). Inefficient Urban Texture in Fasa and the Need to Prepare Urban Regeneration Program with Emphasis on Informal Settlements. Modern Urban Management, 5(16), 109-132.
    6.
  6. Asadi, R., Rahnama, M. (2014). Determining situation of indices of good urban governance in Mashhad. Journal of Urban - Regional Studies and Research, 5(20), 143-162.
    7.
  7. Ashtianiaraghi, M., Sarvar, R., Zivyar, P., Fallahtabar, N. (2020). Realization of integrated urban management with emphasis on the role and power of actors’ different levels of Tehran's urban management. , 11(40), 31-46.
    8.
  8. Biswas, R., Jana, A., Arya, K., Ramamritham, K.‚ (2019). A good-governance framework for urban management. Journal of Urban Management.
    9.
  9. Dahiya, B., & Das, A. (Eds.). (2020). New Urban Agenda in Asia-Pacific. Advances in 21st Century Human Settlements. doi:10.1007/978-981-13-6709-0
    10.
  10. Imani, B. (2020). Regional Balanced Development Future Studies Based on Scenario Planning (Case Study: Ardabil Province). Geography And Development Iranian Journal, 18(58), 17-44.
    11.
  11. Fani, Z. (2017). Prefigure and Pre-arranged Scenario for Neighborhood development Planning with Systemic analysis the study Sanglaj Tehran neighborhood. Strategic Studies of public policy, 6(21), 15-29.
    12.
  12. Geneletti, D. (2012), Environmental Assessment of Spatial Plan Policies through Land Use Scenarios a Study in a Fast-Developing Town in Rural Mozambique, Environmental Impact Assessment Review, No. 32: 1- 10.
    13.
  13. Glasson, J. (2007), Regional Planning, London: Routledge.
    14.
  14. Gorbani, R., Teymouri, R. (2017). Ecological Analysis of Key Factors Influencing in Tabriz Green Space Planning Using Environmental Scanning and Structural Analysis. Geography and Planning, 21(61), 319-340.
    15.
  15. Grindle, S., M. (2017). Good Governance, R.I.P.: A Critique and an Alternative. Governance, 30(1): 17-22.
    16.
  16. HOSSEINI, S. (2016). Analysis of Good Governance Indicators in Torbat Haydarieh: Emphasizing on the citizens and urban managers' viewpoints. Motaleate Shahri, 5(20), 43-52.
    17.
  17. istgaldi M, shokouhi M A. Analysis of factors underlying good governance, case study : city of Bandar Torkaman. Arid Regions Geographic Studies. 2014; 4 (14) :31-49.
    18.
  18. Izadfar, E., sasanpoor, D., tavalaei, D., soleymani, D. (2020). --. Geography and Territorial Spatial Arrangement, 10(34), 45-68.
    19.
  19. Jacka, T. (2010). Women's activism, overseas funded participatory development, and governance: A case study from China. Women's Studies International Forum, 33(2), 99-112.
    20.
  20. Jafari, Firooz, Moazani, Mehdi, Badli, Ahad. (1399). The future of urban land use change research in the metropolis of Tabriz. Spatial Planning (Geography), 10 (2), pp. 1-22.
    21.
  21. Jiang, H., Geertman, S., & Witte, P. (2020). A Sociotechnical Framework for Smart Urban Governance. International Journal of E-Planning Research, 9(1), 1–19. doi:10.4018/ijepr.2020010101.
    22.
  22. Kadago, J., Sandholz, S., & Hamhaber J. (2010). Good urban governance, actor’s relations and paradigms: Lessons from Nairobi, Kenya, and Recife, Brazil. Paper presented at 46th ISOCARP Congres, Brazil.
    23.
  23. Komijani, A., Eivazi, M., Bozorgmehri, M., Nezamipoor, G. (2019). The Profile of Good Governance in Futures Studies: From Imaging to Shaping of the Future. Journal of Iran Future Studies, 4(1), 207-235.
    24.
  24. Lemanski, C. (2017): Unequal citizenship in unequal cities: participatory urban governance in contemporary South Africa, IDPR, 39 (1). Pp 15-35.
    25.
  25. Liu, G., Fu, X., Han, Q., Huang, R., & Zhuang, T. (2021). Research on the collaborative governance of urban regeneration based on a Bayesian network: The case of Chongqing. Land Use Policy, 109, 105640.‏
    26.
  26. Maroofi, A., Sajadi, J., Razavian, M. (2019). The Assessment of Participatory Scenario Planning in Future-Study of the Environment in District 1, Tehran City. Geography and Sustainability of Environment, 9(2), 97-114.
    27.
  27. Mazidi A, Narangifard M. Impact of urban development and land use changes on the climate of the city of Shiraz and Fasa. researches in Geographical Sciences. 2016; 16 (40) :131-154
    28.
  28. Meshkini, A., Rabbani, T., Eftehkari, R., Rafieian, M. (2019). Governance Foresight, a Concept Development and Future of Tehran Metropolitan Governance. Geographical Urban Planning Research (GUPR), 7(3), 431-453
    29.
  29. Meshkini, A, Pourmousavi, S, Moazen, S. (2013). Evaluation of neighborhood management model based on indicators of good urban governance Case study: Evin neighborhood, Tehran. Journal of Urban Studies, 2 (6), pp. 31-42.
    30.
  30. Minoia, P., & Jokela, S. (2021). Platform-mediated tourism: social justice and urban governance before and during Covid-19. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 1-15.‏
    31.
  31. Mousavi, M., Ghaderi, R., Taghilo, A., Kahaki, F. (2018). Scenario Development in Realizability Territorial Spatial Arrangement (Case Study: Khorasan-e-Razavi). Town and Country Planning, 10(1), 65-91.
    32.
  32. National Statistics Center of Iran (2016), General Census of Population and Housing in Fasa.
    33.
  33. Negahban Marvi, M, Eghbali, N, Hatami Nejad, H. (2020). Explaining the management of the first generation of new cities in Iran with the approach of good urban governance from the perspective of national divisions. Quarterly Journal of Geography and Urban-Regional Planning, 10 (35), pp. 1-26.
    34.
  34. Poorahmad A, Piri E, Mohammadi Y, Parsa S, Heydari S. Good Urban Governance in Urban Neighborhoods (Case: Marivan City). IUESA. 2018; 6 (24) :81-98
    35.
  35. PourAhmad, A., Abdali, Y., Allah Golipour, S. (2020). Spatial Analysis of the Impact of Favorable Governance on Urban Livability (Case Study: Crime Hot Spots of Regions 11 and 12 in Tehran). Spatial Planning, 10(2), 83-104.
    36.
  36. RABBANI T, eftekhari A R, meshkini A, rafiyan M. Analysis of future sustainable development governance institutional obstacles of Tehran metropolis. MJSP. 2018; 22 (1) :124-153
    37.
  37. rabbani, T., Meshkini, A., Roknoldin eftekhari, A., Rafieian, M. (2019). Explaining Urban Governance Issues in Future Metropolitan Scenarios of Tehran Based on Qualitative Scenario Conversion Approach. Sustainable city, 2(1), 45-62.
    38.
  38. rabbani, T., Meshkini, A., Roknoldin eftekhari, A., Rafieian, M. (2019). Explaining Urban Governance Issues in Future Metropolitan Scenarios of Tehran Based on Qualitative Scenario Conversion Approach. Sustainable city, 2(1), 45-62.
    39.
  39. Rahnama, Mohammad Rahim, Marufi, Ayub (2014) A Study of Bokan City's Spatial-Physical Development Scenarios. MJSP. 2015; 18 (3) :125-146
    40.
  40. Rouhani, Arash, Ajrlou, Saeed (2015) Teaching Mick Mac software that can be used in screenwriting projects - Futurology, Arena Publications.
    41.
  41. Salim, W., & Hudalah, D. (2019). Urban Governance Challenges and Reforms in Indonesia: Towards a New Urban Agenda. New Urban Agenda in Asia-Pacific, 163-181.
    42.
  42. Sasanpour F. Future Studies Urban bubble in Tehran metropolitan. researches in Geographical Sciences. 2017; 17 (47) :171-189
    43.
  43. Shahinifar, M., Charehjoo, F. (2019). The Evaluation of Effective Indicators in the Implementation of Good Urban Governance in Metropolises (Case Study of Kermanshah). Geography and Urban Space Development, 5(2), 201-219.
    44.
  44. shakarami, K., chharrahi, M., hasanvand, M. (2020). Assessment and Analysis of the Future Situation of the Favorable Urban Governance in Iranian Cities Based on Baseline Scenario (Case Study: Tehran City). Future study Management, 31(121), -.
    45.
  45. Tavakoli Nia, Jamileh, Eskandarpour, Majid, Barghomdi, Mojtaba. (2012). An Introduction to Good Urban Governance: Necessities, Requirements, and Challenges in Iran. Journal of New Attitudes in Human Geography, 5 (1), 135-152.
    46.
  46. Yaghfoori, H., Rafieyan, S. (2015). A Study of the Function of Urban Management Regarding the Participation of Citizens in Urban Affairs: The Case of Fasa. Journal of Urban - Regional Studies and Research, 7(27), 81-100.
    47.
  47. Zali, N., Zamanipoor, M. (2015). Systematic Analysis of Strategic Variables of Regional Development in Scenario- based Planning (Case: Mazandaran Province). Town and Country Planning, 7(1), 1-28.
    48.
  48. Ziari, K., Yadollahnia, H., yadollahnia, H. (2020). Urban Management Performance Analysis with Emphasis on Good Governance Indicators from the Citizen's Perspective (Case Study: Sari City). , 11(40), 1-16.
    49.
  49. Nouri, M, Rezaei, M, Yarahmadi, M. (2020). Significance Analysis - Performance of Good Governance Indicators in Yazd World Heritage City. Journal of Urban Research and Planning, (), 0-0.
    50.
  50. kazemian, G., barari, E., Sharif Zadeh, F., Ghorbanizadeh, V. (2021). Developing the appropriate good urban governance model for metropolises of Iran and the integrated analysis of current situation (Case study: Mashhad). , 12(44), 55-74.
    51.
  51. ziari, K., Yadollahnia, H., yadollahnia, H. (2020). Urban Management Performance Analysis with Emphasis on Good Governance Indicators from the Citizen's Perspective (Case Study: Sari City). , 11(40), 1-16.
    52.
  52. Aliakbari, E. (2020). Structural Analysis drving Forces Knowledge Based Urban Development Case study: Tehran Metropolis. , 11(42), 1-20.
    53.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                                             

_||_

مقالات مرتبط

حقوق این وب‌سایت متعلق به سامانه مدیریت نشریات دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی است.
حق نشر © 1403-1400

صفحه اصلی| عضویت/ ورود| درباره سند| تماس با ما|
[English] [العربية] [en] [ar]