بازنگری رابطهی میان شدت انرژی و ارزش افزوده در بخش کشاورزی ایران؛ شواهدی جدید بر پایه رهیافت خودرگرسیون برداری پانلی
محورهای موضوعی : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزی
معین نقشبندی
1
(فارغ التحصیل کارشناسی ارشد، اقتصاد انرژی،دانشکده علوم اقتصادی و اداری، دانشگاه مازندران)
یوسف محنت فر
2
(استادیار، دانشکده علوم اقتصادی و اداری، دانشگاه مازندران)
سعید راسخی
3
(استاد، دانشکده علوم اقتصادی و اداری، دانشگاه مازندران)
کلید واژه: شدت مصرف انرژی, رهیافت خودرگرسیون برداری پانلی, ارزشافزودهی بخش کشاورزی,
چکیده مقاله :
مقدمه و هدف: از کشاورزی به عنوان یکی از بخشهای مهم در رشد و توسعه یاد میشود. از اینرو، بررسی رابطه میان ارزش افزودهی بخش کشاورزی و تعیینکنندههای آن مورد توجه محققین و سیاستگذارن اقتصادی بوده است. در این میان، ارتباط متقابل میان شدت مصرف انرژی در بخش کشاورزی و ارزشافزودهی آن یکی از موارد مناقشهآمیز است. مواد و روشها: پژوهش حاضر با به کارگیری رهیافت خودرگرسیون برداری پانل رابطهی علّی میان متغیرهای مذکور را در استانهای ایران طی سالهای 1394 – 1384 مورد بازبینی قرار دادهاست. یافتهها: نتایج نشان میدهد یک رابطهی دو طرفه میان شدت مصرف انرژی و ارزش افزوده در بخش کشاورزی برقرار است. تحلیل توابع واکنش آنی نشاندهنده پاسخ مثبت شدت مصرف انرژی به تکانهی ارزش افزوده است، اما ارزش افزودهی بخشکشاورزی در رویارویی با تکانهی شدت مصرف انرژی واکنش منفی نشان میدهد. با استفاده از تجزیهی واریانس مشخص شد مقدار اندکی از تغییرات ارزش افزودهی بخش کشاورزی توسط شدت مصرف انرژی توضیح داده میشود. در عین حال، ارزش افزوده سهم نسبی بیشتری در تغییرات شدت مصرف انرژی دارد. بحث و نتیجهگیری: پیشنهاد میشود که جهت استفادهی بهتر از انرژی در بخش کشاورزی، بهجای سیاستهای مبتنی بر کاهش کمی در مصرف انرژی، در زمینه افزایش کارایی و بهرهوری انرژی سرمایهگذاریهای لازم صورت گیرد.
Introduction: Agriculture is considered as one of the important sectors in the process of growth and development. Hence, the study of the relationship between the value added of the agricultural sector and its determinants has been of interest to researchers and economic policy makers.
Materials and Methods: In this regard, the present study, using the Panel Vector Auto regression approach, reviewed the causal relationship between these variables in the Iranian provinces during the years 2005 -2015.
Findings: The analysis of the instantaneous response functions indicates a positive response of the energy consumption intensity to the value added shock, but the added value of the agricultural sector is negative in response to the energy consumption intensity impulse. Using variance analysis, a small amount of agricultural sector value added changes are explained by energy intensity. At the same time, value added has a greater relative contribution to energy intensity changes.
Conclusion: Therefore, it is recommended that investments be made to increase energy efficiency and productivity in order to make better use of energy in agriculture rather than policies based on quantitative reduction in energy consumption.
Abangah, S, S. (2016). The effect of energy consumption on the performance of industrial workshops in the provinces of Iran. Master Thesis, Faculty of Economics, university of Mazandaran. (In Persian).
Ahangari, A. & Kamaranpour, S. (2016). The Impact of Financial Development and Value Added on Energy Consumption in Iran's Industrial and Agricultural Sectors. Iranian Journal of Applied Economic Studies, 5: 269-286. (In Persian).
Amade, H. Ghazi, M. & Abbasifar, Z. (2009). Investigating the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth and employment in different sectors of the Iranian economy. Journal of Economic Research, (86): 1-38. (In Persian).
Asid, R. Kogid, M. Mulok, D. & Lily, J. (2012). Intellectual Property Rights Protection, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Malaysia: An ARDL Bound Test Approach. Asian Journal of Empirical Research, 2(2): 9-19.
Baranzini, A. Weber, S. Bareit, M. & Mathys, N.A. (2013). The causal relationship between energy use and economic growth in Switzerland. Energy Economics, 36: 464-470.
Ben Jebli, M. & Ben Youssef, S. (2017). Renewable energy consumption and agriculture: evidence for cointegration and Granger causality for Tunisian economy. International Journal of Sustainable Development & World Ecology, 24(2): 149-158.
Bouoiyour, J. & Selmi, R. (2014). The Nexus between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in MENA Countries. Energy Studies Review, 20(2): 25-44.
Chontanawat, J. Hunt, L. C. & Pierse, R. (2008). Does energy consumption cause economic growth?: Evidence from a systematic study of over 100 countries. Journal of policy modeling, 30(2): 209-220.
Fei, R. & Lin, B. (2016). Energy efficiency and production technology heterogeneity in China's agricultural sector: A meta-frontier approach. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 109: 25-34.
Guest, R. I. & McDonald, M. (2001). Ageing, optimal national saving and future living standards in Australia. The Economic Record, 77: 117–134.
Hao, Y. Zhu, L. & Ye, M. (2018). The dynamic relationship between energy consumption, investment and economic growth in China's rural area: New evidence based on provincial panel data. Energy, 154: 374-382.
Hasan, M. (2010). The Long-run Relationship Between Population And Per Capita Income.
Hondroyiannis, G. & Papapetrou, E. (2005). Fertility and output in Europe: New evidence from panel cointegration. Journal of Policy Modeling, 27: 143–156.
Leiva, F.R. & Morris, J. (2001). Mechanization and sustainability in arable farmin in England. Journal of agricultural Engineering Research 79(1): 81-90.
Lotfalipour, M. Mahdaviadeli, M. & Rezai, H. (2016). Investigating the relationship between energy consumption, economic growth and exports in Iran's industrial sector (analysis based on panel data). Journal of Economic Growth and Development Research, 6: 13-35. (In Persian).
Maleki, R. (2004). Investigating the causal relationship between energy consumption and domestic production in Iran. Journal of Planning and Budgeting, (86): 81-121. (In Persian).
Moghaddasi, R & Pour, A. A. (2016). Energy consumption and total factor productivity growth in Iranian agriculture. Energy Reports, 2: 218-220.
Mortazavi, S, A. Elahi, M. & Asadi, M, A. (2018). The effect of economic growth on energy consumption in different sectors of the Iranian economy. Quarterly Journal of Economic Application Theories, 5(3): 1-20. (In Persian).
Nasrollahi, Z. & Hadian, A. (2018). The effect of population growth on the environment in Iran and other countries in the Mena region. Quarterly Journal of Strategic and Macro Policies, 6: 51-67. (In Persian).
Ockwell, D. G. (2008). Energy and economic growth: Grounding our understanding in physical reality. Energy Policy, 36(12): 4600-4604.
Ouedraogo, N. S. (2013). Energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from the economic community of West African States (ECOWAS). Energy economics, 36: 637-647.
Ozkan, B. Akcaoz, H. & Fert, C. (2004). Energy input–output analysis in Turkish agriculture. Renewable energy, 29(1): 39-51.
Pao, H. T. Li, Y. Y. & Fu, H. C. (2014). Causality relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Brazil. Smart Grid and Renewable Energy, 5(08), 198.
Pimentel, D. (1992). Energy Inputs in Production Agriculture. Energy in Farm Production, Elsevier and Amsterdam. Pp; 13-29.
Prasannakumar, P. S. (2016). Energy Use in Agriculture-An Econometric Analysis (Doctoral dissertation, uuniversity of agricultural sciences Gkvk, bengalur university).
Sameti, M. Sameti, M. & Mola esmaeeli dehshiri, H. (2014). Analysis of the role of legal structure and security of property rights in attracting foreign direct investment with the approach (P-VAR): Case of oil exporting countries. Journal of Economic Policy, 6(12): 155-177. (In Persian).
Savas, B.,( 2008). The Relationship Between Population and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence From The Central Asian Economies: 161-183.
Sepahvand, A. Niroomand, R. & Nabieian, S. (2015). Investigating the effect of consumption of petroleum products on the growth of the agricultural sector in Iran. Quarterly Journal of Economic Development Research, (17): 117-132. (In Persian).
Shabanzadeh, M. Taheririkandeh, A. & Riahi dorcheh, F. (2017). Investigating the relationship between economic development, diversity of activities and trade liberalization with energy intensity in the agricultural sector. Journal of Economic Growth and Development Research, 7: 143-156. (In Persian).
Shahbaz, M. Abosedra, S. & Sbia, R. (2013). Energy consumption, financial development and growth: evidence from cointegration with unknown structural breaks in Lebanon.
Shahnazi, R. Hadian, A. & Jorgani, L. (2017). Investigating the causal relationship between energy consumption, economic growth and carbon dioxide in Iran's economic sectors. Journal of Economic Growth and Development Research, 7(28): 51-70. (In Persian).
Stern, D.I. & Enflo, K. (2013). Causality between energy and output in the long-run. Lund Papers inEconomic History, 126.
Stern, I. & Cleveland, J. (2004) Energy and Economic Growth, Rensselaer Working Papers, no.0410.
Tabar, S. Montazer, H, A., & Anvari, A. (2015). Investigating the Relationship between GDP, Export and Import and Energy Consumption in Selected Countries of the Organization of the Islamic Conference. master thesis, faculty of economics, university of ahvaz. (In Persian).
Tang, C. F. Tan, B. W. & Ozturk, I. (2016). Energy consumption and economic growth in Vietnam. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 54: 1506-1514.
Tehranchian, A. Mojaverian, M. & Halajfard, A. (2015). The relationship between energy consumption and value added growth of the agricultural sector in Iran. The first annual conference of Iranian agricultural research, Kharazmi Higher Institute of Science and Technology, Shiraz, Iran. (In Persian).
Zhang, W. & Yang, S. (2013). The influence of energy consumption of China on its real GDP from aggregated and disaggregated viewpoints. Energy Policy, 57: 76-81.
objective function. Fuzzy set and systems, 1: 45-55.
_||_