ارزیابی اثر ساختار بازار واردکنندگان اتحادیه اروپا بر صادرات کشمش ایران
محورهای موضوعی : فصلنامه علمی -پژوهشی تحقیقات اقتصاد کشاورزیمیلاد امینی زاده 1 , حامد رفیعی 2 , احمد قاسمی 3 , محمدرضا رمضانی 4
1 - دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد.
2 - استادیار گروه اقتصاد کشاورزی دانشگاه تهران
3 - دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد
4 - دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد کشاورزی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد
کلید واژه: ایران, الگوی جاذبه, اتحادیه اروپا, صادرات کشمش,
چکیده مقاله :
کشمش یکی از محصولات مهم صادراتی ایران است که همواره از مزیت صادراتی برخوردار است. با این وجود، میزان صادرات ایران به اتحادیه اروپا به عنوان بزرگترین واردکننده کشمش دنیا بسیارپایین است. از اینرو هدف پژوهش حاضر، ارزیابی مؤلفههای اثرگذار با تاکید بر نقش ساختار بازار وارداتی کشورهای عضو اتحادیه اروپا بر صادرات کشمش ایران به این اتحادیه در دوره زمانی 2016-2001 است. به منظور دستیابی به هدف پژوهش حاضر، از الگوی جاذبه با استفاده از دادههای تابلویی نامتوازن استفاده شده است. براساس نتایج، متغیر درآمد سرانه شرکای تجاری، اثر مثبت و معنیدار بر صادرات کشمش ایران داشته است. درحالیکه تفاوت اقتصادی میان ایران و شرکای تجاری و بحران اقتصادی جهانی اثری منفی و معنیدار بر صادرات کشمش ایران داشته است. همچنین ساختار بازار وارداتی شرکای تجاری اثری معنیدار بر صادرات کشمش ایران ندارد. در نتیجه ساختار بازار وارداتی عامل محدودکننده جدی به شمار نمیرود. براین اساس پیشنهاد میشود صادرکنندگان بابرنامههای مناسب بازاریابی، نفوذ به بازارهای کشورهای اتحادیه اروپا را به عنوان یکی از مهمترین و پردرآمدترین بازارهای هدف در برنامههای صادراتی پیشرو قرار دهند.
Raisin is one of the most important agricultural export products of Iran, which has always been an export advantage. However, Iran's raisin export to the EU as the largest raisin importer in the world is very low. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the effective factors with emphasis on the role of import market structure on Iran’s raisin exports to EU during period of 2001-2016. To achieve the objective of this study, gravity model was carried out based on unbalanced panel data. Findings indicate that per-capita income of the EU countries has a positive and significant effect on Iran's exports while the effect of economic difference between Iran and its partners and the economic crisis turned out to be negative and significant. Also, import market structure of trading partners has no significant effect on Iran’s raisin export. As a result import market structure is not a serious limiting factor. Accordingly, it is recommended that raisin exporters penetrate into the EU market as one of the most important and profitable destination markets in future export programs.
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