Forecasting Auto Spare Parts Demand in Iran: A Hybrid Neural Network Approach with Meta-heuristic Optimization
Subject Areas : Journal of Computer & Robotics
Hanyeh Zareian
1
,
Vahid Baradaran
2
*
,
AliReza Rashidi Komijan
3
1 - a PhD Candidate, Department of Industrial Engineering, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
2 - Department of Industrial Engineering, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
3 - Department of Industrial Engineering, Firoozkooh Branch, Islamic Azad University, Firoozkooh, Iran
Keywords: Auto spare parts, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Genetic Algorithm (GA),
Abstract :
The automotive industry serves as a cornerstone of Iran's economy, with auto spare parts demand playing a vital role in its transportation infrastructure. Traditional forecasting methods often struggle to capture the intricacies of Iran's dynamic market dynamics, prompting the adoption of advanced computational techniques. This study explores the efficacy of hybrid neural networks, particularly the combination of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, optimized with genetic algorithm, in forecasting auto spare parts demand. Empirical evaluation demonstrates the superiority of the CNN-LSTM-GA model over traditional algorithms, showcasing its potential to drive operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness in the automotive supply chain. The findings underscore the significance of embracing innovative methodologies and present avenues for future research to explore broader applicability and scalability in diverse contexts.
Chandriah, K. K., & Naraganahalli, R. V. (2021). RNN/LSTM with modified Adam optimizer in deep learning approach for automobile spare parts demand forecasting. Multimedia Tools and Applications, 80(17), 26145-26159.
Cheng, Y.-M., Gao, D.-X., Zhao, F.-M., & Yang, Q. (2024). A Thermal Runaway Early Warning Method for Electric Vehicles Based on Hybrid Neural Network Model. Journal of Electrical Engineering & Technology, 1-14.
Fattahi, A., Dasu, S., & Ahmadi, R. (2022). Mass Customization and the “Parts-Procurement Planning Problem”. Management Science, 68(8), 5778-5797.
Gamasaee, R., & Fazel Zarandi, M. (2018). Incorporating demand, orders, lead time, and pricing decisions for reducing bullwhip effect in supply chains. Scientia Iranica, 25(3), 1724-1749.
Gehret, G. H., Weir, J. D., Johnson, A. W., & Jacques, D. R. (2020). Advancing stock policy on repairable, intermittently-demanded service parts. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 71(9), 1437-1447.
Huang, K., & Wang, J. (2023). Short-term auto parts demand forecasting based on EEMD—CNN—BiLSTM—Attention—combination model. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems, 45(4), 5449-5465.
Kattenborn, T., Leitloff, J., Schiefer, F., & Hinz, S. (2021). Review on Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) in vegetation remote sensing. ISPRS journal of photogrammetry and remote sensing, 173, 24-49.
Kuroiwa, I., Techakanont, K., & Keola, S. (2024). Evolution of production networks and the localisation of firms: evidence from the Thai automotive industry. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 29(1), 260-281.
Ma, Z., Wang, C., & Zhang, Z. (2021). Deep Learning Algorithms for Automotive Spare Parts Demand Forecasting. Paper presented at the 2021 International Conference on Computer Information Science and Artificial Intelligence (CISAI).
Mallik, N., Bergman, E., Hvarfner, C., Stoll, D., Janowski, M., Lindauer, M., . . . Hutter, F. (2024). Priorband: Practical hyperparameter optimization in the age of deep learning. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 36.
Mamoudan, M. M., Jafari, A., Mohammadnazari, Z., Nasiri, M. M., & Yazdani, M. (2023). Hybrid machine learning-metaheuristic model for sustainable agri-food production and supply chain planning under water scarcity. Resources, Environment and Sustainability, 14, 100133. doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resenv.2023.100133
Mamoudan, M. M., Mohammadnazari, Z., Ostadi, A., & Esfahbodi, A. (2022). Food products pricing theory with application of machine learning and game theory approach. International Journal of Production Research, 1-21.
Matsumoto, M., & Komatsu, S. (2015). Demand forecasting for production planning in remanufacturing. The International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology, 79, 161-175.
Mehdizadeh, M. (2020). Integrating ABC analysis and rough set theory to control the inventories of distributor in the supply chain of auto spare parts. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 139, 105673.
Mousapour Mamoudan, M., Ostadi, A., Pourkhodabakhsh, N., Fathollahi-Fard, A. M., & Soleimani, F. (2023). Hybrid neural network-based metaheuristics for prediction of financial markets: a case study on global gold market. Journal of Computational Design and Engineering, 10(3), 1110-1125. doi:10.1093/jcde/qwad039
Muttio, E. J., Dettmer, W. G., Clarke, J., Perić, D., Ren, Z., & Fletcher, L. (2024). A supervised parallel optimisation framework for metaheuristic algorithms. Swarm and Evolutionary Computation, 84, 101445.
Pourkhodabakhsh, N., Mamoudan, M. M., & Bozorgi-Amiri, A. (2023). Effective machine learning, Meta-heuristic algorithms and multi-criteria decision making to minimizing human resource turnover. Applied Intelligence, 53(12), 16309-16331. doi:10.1007/s10489-022-04294-6
Salais-Fierro, T. E., Saucedo-Martinez, J. A., Rodriguez-Aguilar, R., & Vela-Haro, J. M. (2020). Demand prediction using a soft-computing approach: a case study of automotive industry. Applied Sciences, 10(3), 829.
Singh, J., Sandhu, J. K., & Kumar, Y. (2024). Metaheuristic-based hyperparameter optimization for multi-disease detection and diagnosis in machine learning. Service Oriented Computing and Applications, 1-20.
Steuer, D., Hutterer, V., Korevaar, P., & Fromm, H. (2018). A similarity-based approach for the all-time demand prediction of new automotive spare parts.
Sun, Y., Wu, C., Bo, W., Duan, L., & Zhang, C. (2019). Sales-Forecast-Based Auto Parts Multiple-Value Chain Collaboration Mechanism and Verification. Paper presented at the Human Centered Computing: 5th International Conference, HCC 2019, Čačak, Serbia, August 5–7, 2019, Revised Selected Papers 5.
Xiao, X., Cao, S., Wang, L., Cheng, S., & Yuan, E. (2024). Deep hashing image retrieval based on hybrid neural network and optimized metric learning. Knowledge-Based Systems, 284, 111336.
Yang, Q., & Chen, Y. (2012). Auto parts demand forecasting based on nonnegative variable weight combination model in auto aftermarket. Paper presented at the 2012 International Conference on Management Science & Engineering 19th Annual Conference Proceedings.