واکاوی مفهوم و ارائه مدل مفهومی باخت‌استراتژیک جهت مهار بحران بیماری‌های همه‌گیر (مورد مطالعه: کووید-19)
محورهای موضوعی : مدیریت صنعتی
افروز امینی هرندی
1
,
سید محمد رضا داودی
2
,
رضا مداحی
3
,
رسول عسگرپور
4
1 - دانشجوی دکتری، گروه مدیریت، واحد نجف‌آباد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، نجف‌آباد، ایران
2 - دانشیار، گروه مدیریت صنعتی، واحد دهاقان، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، دهاقان، ایران
3 - استادیار، گروه ریاضی، واحد نجف‌آباد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، نجف‌آباد، ایران
4 - گروه مدیریت، واحد نجف آباد، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، نجف آباد، ایران
کلید واژه: Strategic Loss, Crisis Containment, Epidemics, COVID-19,
چکیده مقاله :
در پژوهش حاضر، مدل مفهومی باخت‌استراتژیک از طریق توسعه‌ی مدل DMDU ارائه شده‌است. محققان در این پژوهش سعی داشته‌اند که مدل ارائه شده، در حالی که مزایای دیگر استراتژی‌ها را دارا بوده، متعادل‌تر و قابلیت استفاده در کشورها و مناطق مختلف را داشته باشد. همچنین، مطلوبیت اکثریت جامعه را با صرف هزینه و تلفات کم‌تر، به حداکثر رساند. روش پژوهش حاضر، توصیفی _ تحلیلی و روش گردآورى داده‌ها، به روش كتابخانه‌اى و اسنادى می‌باشد. شيوه تجزيه و تحليل داده‌ها نیز از نوع كيفى مى‌باشد. در این راستا، ضمن بررسی رایج‌ترین استراتژی‌ها جهت مهار بحران بیماری‌های همه‌گیر و درنظرگرفتن مزایا و معایب و کارکردهایشان، به واکاوی مفهوم باخت‌استراتژیک پرداخته شده و با دیگر استراتژی‌ها نیز قیاس شده‌است. همچنین، با توجه به اینکه برخی از مهم‌ترین درس‌های مهار کووید-19 در مورد مدیریت بیماری‌های همه‌گیر آینده است، طبق یافته‌های پژوهش؛ باخت‌استراتژیک، احتمالاً استراتژی ارجح برای پاسخ به بیماری‌های عفونی نوظهور با پتانسیل همه‌گیری و هر چیزی بیش از شدت متوسط، می‌باشد. از این رو، پیشنهاد می‌گردد که تصمیم‌گیرندگان و سیاستمداران جهت عبور از بحران بیماری‌های همه‌گیر با حداقل آسیب‌پذیری، از نتایج این پژوهش استفاده کنند.
Outbreaks of epidemics have been both catastrophic and manageable. In addressing the crisis posed by epidemic diseases such as COVID-19, non-pharmacological interventions are often the primary and most prioritized measures available. This study presents a conceptual model of strategic loss through the development of the Decision-Making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) model. The researchers aimed to create a model that, while incorporating the advantages of existing strategies, is more balanced and applicable across different countries and regions. Furthermore, the model seeks to maximize societal utility by minimizing both costs and casualties.The research employs a descriptive-analytical method, with data collected through library and document reviews. Qualitative analysis is used to assess the data. In this context, the study examines the most prevalent strategies for containing epidemic crises, evaluating their advantages, disadvantages, and effectiveness. The concept of strategic loss is analyzed and compared to other strategies. Importantly, the findings suggest that some of the key lessons learned from managing COVID-19 pertain to the management of future epidemics. According to the research, a strategy of defeat may be the preferred approach for responding to emerging infectious diseases with pandemic potential and moderate to high severity. Thus, it is recommended that decision-makers and policymakers utilize the results of this research to effectively navigate the crisis of epidemic diseases while minimizing vulnerability.
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