بررسی عوامل موثر بر مدیریت خشکسالی کشاورزان شهرستان اردکان
محورهای موضوعی : آب و محیط زیست
هما پورحسینی
1
,
مریم امیدی نجف آبادی
2
,
سید جمال فرج الله حسینی
3
1 - ارشد ترویج و اموزش کشاورزی گروه اقتصاد، ترویج و آموزش کشاورزي، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، تهران، ایران
2 - دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، ترویج و آموزش کشاورزي دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، تهران، ایران. *(مسوول مکاتبات)
3 - دانشیار گروه اقتصاد، ترویج و آموزش کشاورزي دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، تهران، ایران.
کلید واژه: شاخص‌های اجتماعی- فرهنگی, شاخص‌های اقتصادی, عامل فنی, رگرسیون گام به گام.,
چکیده مقاله :
زمینه و هدف: خشکسالی پدیده‌ایست اجتناب‌ناپذیر که به عنوان یکی از بلایای طبیعی شناخته می‌شود. کشور ایران هم در طول تاریخ از این آسیب در امان نبوده است. در تحقیق حاضر هدف شناخت مدیریت خشکسالی و ارائه راهکارهایی برای مقابله با خشکسالی می‌باشد. روش بررسی: این پژوهش به لحاظ هدف کاربردی، به لحاظ نحوه گرداوری داده ها توصیفی غیرازمایشی و همبستگی می¬باشد. ابتدا شاخص‌های فردی، اجتماعی، اقتصادی، آموزشی، فنی و سیاستگذاری در روستاهای شهرستان اردکان که بیشترین مقدار خشکسالی را داشته‌اند بررسی شد. جامعه آماری این تحقیق کشاورزان شهرستان اردکان هستند (3130¬=N) که از این میزان 418 نمونه طبق روش نمونه‌گیری کوکران برای جمع‌آوری اطلاعات مورد سنجش از طریق پرسشنامه قرار گرفته¬اند. یافته ها: نتایج به دست آمده از تحلیل رگرسیون گام به گام نشان داد که در مجموع چهار متغیر وارد شده در معادله (اجتماعی¬ و فرهنگی، اقتصادی، آموزشی ترویجی، سیاست¬گذاری) توانسته¬اند که 3/65 درصد از تغییرات واریانس متغیر وابسته (مدیریت خشکسالی) را تبیین نمایند که در این میان شاخص اجتماعی و فرهنگی 1/46 درصد از تغییرات متغیر وابسته را به خود اختصاص داد و به عنوان تاثیرگذارترین شاخص در این پژوهش مطرح شده است. بحث و نتیجه گیری: در زمینه شاخص اجتماعی و فرهنگی در جهت مدیریت خشکسالی پیشنهادت می شود که با ترویج فرهنگ استفاده از آب و استفاده از ابزار فرهنگی و تبلیغی در زمان بروز خشکسالی در بین کشاورزان و همچنین فراهم آوردن شرایط برای در اختیار قرار دادن بهتر اطلاعات مدیریت خشکسالی به روستاییان توسط راه‌های ارتباطی به مدیریت هرچه بهتر خشکسالی کمک کنند.
Background and Objective: Drought is an inevitable phenomenon known as a natural disaster. Iran has not been immune to this damage in history. Material and Methodology: The purpose of this study is to identify drought management and thus provide solutions to drought management. At first, individual, social, economic, educational, technical and policy indicators were surveyed in villages of Ardakan city with the highest drought. The statistical population of this research is Ardakan farmers (N=3130), of which 418 samples were collected by Cochran sampling method for collecting information through a questionnaire. A questionnaire was used to collect the data and for its reliability, the preliminary test was confirmed by completing 30 questionnaires and the Cronbach's alpha coefficient for its different parts was calculated to be between 0.702 and 0.805. Findings: The results of stepwise regression analysis indicate that social and cultural indicators explain 46.1 percent of variance dependent changes (drought management) and have been considered as the most influential indicator in this research. Disscusion and Conclusion: In the field of social and cultural indicators in the direction of drought management, it is suggested that by promoting the culture of using water and using cultural and promotional tools during drought among farmers and also providing conditions for providing better drought management information to the villagers Help manage the drought as best as possible through communication channels.
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