برآورد نوسانات کشش درآمدی مخارج سلامت در خانوارهای شهری و روستایی استان¬های ایران
محورهای موضوعی : -اقتصاد بهداشت و درمان
المیراسادات طاهائی
1
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انیسه نیک روان
2
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لیلا ریاحی
3
1 - کارشناسی ارشد، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
2 - استادیار اقتصاد سلامت، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
3 - دانشیار گروه مدیریت خدمات بهداشتی و درمانی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
کلید واژه: کشش درآمدی, مخارج سلامت, خانوارهای شهری و روستایی.,
چکیده مقاله :
مقدمه و زمینه: برآورد کشش درآمدی مخارج سلامت در حوزه سلامت، اهمیت خاصی دارد. مطالعات گذشته با فرض اطمینان مدل انجام شده است؛ بیتوجهی به مسئله نااطمینانی مدل، میتواند منجر به کارایینداشتن در برآورد پارامترها شود . در این راستا هدف پژوهش حاضر برآورد نوسانات کشش درآمدی مخارج سلامت خانوارهای شهری و روستایی استان های ایران می باشد.
روش: پژوهش حاضر با توجه به نتیجه جزء پژوهشهای کاربردی و از نوع پس رویدادی است. دادهها برگرفته از بانکهای اطلاعاتی وزارت بهداشت و درمان و مرکز آمار ایران بین سال های 1370 تا 1400 است.جهت تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها از آزمون رگرسیون خطی و نرم افزار stata استفاده شد.
یافته ها: یافتهها نشان داد در ضریب در متغیر Log GDP 0.24455، برای متغیر PCH 0.32467، برای متغیرLog government HE 0.21455، برای متغیر Log OOP 0.18872، برای متغیر Log Pop O 0.45394، برای متغیر Log Pop C 0.338784، برای متغیر Log Life Exp 0.218233و برای متغیر Log infant mortality 0.328733جهت استانهای با درامد بالا است که نشان میدهد این متغیرها بر روی مخارج سلامت تاثیر دارند و همچنین این تاثیر در استان های با درامد پایین بیشتر است.
نتیجه گیری: نتایح نشان داد کشش درآمدی کالای سلامت در ایران بین صفر و یک است،کشش درآمدی کالای سلامت در استان های با درآمد بالا بین صفر و یک می باشد و کشش درآمدی کالای سلامت در استان های با درآمد پایین بزرگتر از یک میباشد.
Introduction and Background: Estimating the income elasticity of health expenditures is of particular importance in the health sector. Previous studies have been conducted assuming model reliability; ignoring the issue of model uncertainty can lead to inefficiency in estimating parameters. In this regard, the aim of the present study is to estimate the fluctuations in income elasticity of health expenditures of urban and rural households in Iranian provinces.
Method: The present study is an applied and post-event research, considering the results. The data are taken from the databases of the Ministry of Health and the Statistical Center of Iran between 1370 and 1400. Linear regression test and stata software were used to analyze the data.
Findings: The findings showed that the coefficient in the Log GDP variable is 0.24455, for the PCH variable is 0.32467, for the Log government HE variable is 0.21455, for the Log OOP variable is 0.18872, for the Log Pop O variable is 0.45394, for the Log Pop C variable is 0.338784, for the Log Life Exp variable is 0.218233, and for the Log infant mortality variable is 0.328733 for the high-income provinces, which shows that these variables have an effect on health spending and this effect is also greater in low-income provinces.
Conclusion: The results showed that the income elasticity of health goods in Iran is between zero and one, the income elasticity of health goods in high-income provinces is between zero and one, and the income elasticity of health goods in low-income provinces is greater than one.
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