ارزیابی سودمندی درتصمیم افشاء اطلاعات مولفه های ریسک
محورهای موضوعی : مهندسی مالیاکبر خیام بور 1 , سینا خردیار 2 , فرزین رضایی 3 , محمدرضا وطن پرست 4
1 - گروه حسابداری، واحد قزوین، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، قزوین ، ایران
2 - گروه حسابداری، واحد رشت، دانشگاه آزاداسلامی، رشت، ایران
3 - گروه حسابداری ، واحد قزوین، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، قزوین، ایران
4 - گروه حسابداری، واحد رشت، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، رشت، ایران.
کلید واژه: خطر سقوط قیمتسهام, همزمانی قیمت بازار سهام, مولفه های ریسک شرکت,
چکیده مقاله :
افشاء اطلاعات مولفه های ریسک حاوی پیام های موثر در ارزیابی وپیش بینی رخدادهای آتی در شرکت هاست.لذا قضاوت آگاهانه استفاده کنندگان درگرو سودمندی ارائه اطلاعات تکمیلی از مولفه های ریسک درسطوح مختلف طبقه بندی شده ومتناسب با عملکردهای رودرروی شرکت ها و بهبود کیفیت تهیه وارائه اطلاعات حسابداری است. ازاین رو هدف پژوهش ،ارزیابی سودمندی در تصمیم برای سرمایه گذاران با افشاء اطلاعات مولفه های ریسک و پیامدهای اقتصادی عملکرد شرکت ها می باشد.بدین منظور این پژوهش با 87 شرکت نمونه و در بازه زمانی 7 ساله 1396-1390 به شیوه توصیفی- همبستگی با اجرای آزمون کروسکال والیس والگوی رگرسیون چندگانهصورت پذیرفت.نتایج نشان داد که، افشاء اطلاعات مولفه های ریسک درسطح شرکت حاوی اطلاعات سودمند در پیش بینی خطر سقوط قیمت بازار سهام شرکت ها است اما در سطح صنعت رابطه معناداری یافت نشد. افشاء اطلاعات مولفه های ریسک در سطح شرکت ودرسطح صنعت حاوی اطلاعات سودمند در پیش بینی رفتار همزمانی قیمت بازار سهام شرکت ها است.هرچه افشای مولفه های ریسک دارای شفافیت واطلاعات سودمند بیشتری باشد تاثیر زیادتری درافزایش قدرت پیش بینی وتوضیح دهندگی خطرسقوط قیمت سهام وهمزمانی قیمت سهام دارند.
The disclosure of risk elements contained effective messages in assessing the impact of future events in the company. Therefore, the conscious judgment of consumers is the usefulness of providing supplementary information from the risk elements of categorized factors on the different functions of firms and improving the quality of accounting information . thus , the purpose of this study is to evaluate the usefulness in decision makers with disclosure of risk elements and economic consequences of companies performance . for this purpose , the research with 87 sample companies and in the 7 - year period of 1396 - 1390 in the descriptive - correlation method showed that the disclosure of data elements of firm - level risk elements contained useful information in predicting the risk of fall of stock market prices but no significant relationship was found at the industry level . The disclosure of risk elements at the firm level of the industry contains useful information in predicting the synchronization behavior of firms ' stock market prices. The greater the disclosure of the risk elements has greater advantage, making a greater impact on the prediction and explanatory power of stock price and stock price appreciation.
_||_
1) Ebrahimi Kardler, Ali; Mehdi Mohammadabadi and Reza Hisarzadeh. (1387). Investigating the relationship between the conflict of interests between shareholders and creditors with the distribution of dividends and restrictions on financing. Stock Exchange Quarterly. Volume 1. Number 4, pp. 74-53.
2) Taghizadeh Khanqah, Vahid and Talibnia, God's power. (2017). The impact of debt maturity on stock price crash risk with emphasis on information asymmetry. Asset management and financing. Volume 6, Number 3 - Serial Number 22, Page 87-104.
3) Heydari, Mahdi; Mansoorfar, Gholamreza and Rezaei Firouzjaei, Mehdi. (2015). Investigating the qualitative effect of corporate risk disclosure components on information asymmetry with regard to the variables that modify risk conditions, stagnation and analysis of Tehran institutional price in Tehran Stock Exchange. Financial research. Volume 18, Number 3, pp. 391-414.
4) Khodamipour, Ahmed; Mahrodani, Ramin. (2012). The effect of voluntary disclosure on the relevance of profit per share. Management Accounting. Volume 14, Number 5, pp. 1-12.
5) Satish, Mohammad Hossein; Roosta, Manouchehr and Alizadeh, Vahid (2014). Investigating the relationship between voluntary disclosure and the performance of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. Experimental accounting research. Volume 4, No. 1, pp. 153-168.
6) Sheari, Saber and Amiri, Ilham. (2012) Adequacy of disclosure of transactions with related parties. Financial accounting empirical studies. Volume 37, Number 11, pp. 39-57.
7) Falahzadeh Abargoui, Ahmed; Taftian, Akram; Hirani, Forough. (2016). Investigating the mutual relationship between voluntary disclosure of information with synchronicity and the risk of falling stock prices. Financial Accounting Quarterly. Year 9. Number 36. pp. 53-75.
8) Miri Qahdrijani, Nazanin and Arbabian, Ali Akbar (2017). The effect of corporate governance mechanisms on risk reporting. Financial Accounting and Audit Research Quarterly. Volume 10, Number 40, Pages 111-136.
9) Mirasgari, Seyyed Reza; Mahfovi, Gholamreza and Matin Shabani Nejad Masuleh. (2017) Examining the simultaneous relationship between stock price and return distribution. Journal of asset management and financing. Volume 6, Number 3, Number 22, pp. 51-66.
10) Malekian, Esfandiar; Fakhari, Hossein; Ghasemi, Jamal; Farzad, Sarveh. (2017). Forecasting the risk of falling stock prices using meta-heuristic methods (accumulative particle motion optimization algorithm) and logistic regression comparison. Journal of Financial Engineering and Securities Management. Number 36.
11) Namazi, Mohammad and Ebrahimi Meimand, Mahdi. (2016) Investigating the impact of corporate governance mechanisms on risk disclosure. Financial Accounting Quarterly. eighth year No. 30. pp. 1-39.
12) Anagnostopoulou, Seraina C. Tsekrekos, Andrianos E. (2017). Accounting quality, information risk and the term structure of implied volatility around earnings announcements. Research in International Business and Finance 41 May 2017 with 46 Reads, DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.04.046
13) Abdallah, A, A-N, Hassan, M, K, McClelland, P, L. (2015). Islamic financial institutions, corporate governance, and corporate risk disclosure in Gulf Cooperation Council countries. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 31: 63–82.
14) Cabedo, J.D., and J.M. Tirado. (2004). the disclosure of risk in financial statements. Accounting Forum, 28 (2):181-200.
15) Chen, J., Hong, H., Stein, J.C., 2001. Forecasting crashes: trading volume, past returns, and conditional skewness in stock prices. Journal of Financial Economics 61 (3), 345–381.
16) Chan, K., A. Hameed, and W. Kang. (2013). Stock price synchronicity and liquidity. Journal of Financial Markets 16(3): 414-438.
17) Grewal, J., C. Hauptmann, and G. Serafeim. (2017). Stock price synchronicity and material sustainability information. Available at URL: http://(www.ssrn.com).
18) Gul, F.A., J.B. Kim, and A.A. Qiu. (2010). Ownership concentration, foreign shareholding, audit quality, and stock price synchronicity: Evidence from China. Journal of Financial Economics 95(3): 425-442.
19) Hutton, A.P., Marcus, A.J., Tehranian, H., 2009. Opaque financial reports, R2, and crash risk. Journal of Financial Economics 94 (1), 67–86.
20) Haggard, K.S., X. Martin, and R. Pereira. (2008). Does voluntary disclosure improve stock price informativeness? Financial Management 37(4): 747-768.
21) Jin, Y., M. Yan, Y. Xi, and C. Liu. (2016). Stock price synchronicity and stock price crash risk: Based on the mediating effect of herding behavior of QFII. China Finance Review International 6(3): 230-244.
22) Kim, Hyonok, Yasuda, Yukihiro, (2017). Business risk disclosure and firm risk: Evidence from Japan. Research in International Business and Finance http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.172
23) Liang Song, (2015), "Accounting disclosure, stock price synchronicity and stock crash risk", International Journal of Accounting & Information Management, Vol. 23 Iss. 4 pp. 349 - 363 Permanent link to this document: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/IJAIM-02-2015-0007.
24) Nguyen, N. H., & Truong, C. (2013). The information content of stock markets around the world: A cultural explanation. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money. 26. 1-29..
25) Rodríguez Domínguez., L and Ligia Gámez, C, N. (2014). Corporate reporting on risks: Evidence from Spanish companies. Spanish Accounting Review, 17 (2): 116–129.
26) Santhosh Abraham, Philip J. Shrives.(2014) Improving the relevance of risk factor disclosure in corporate annual reports. The British Accounting Review 46 (2014) 91–107.
27) Xing, X., & Anderson, R. (20
11). Stock price synchronicity and public firm-specific information. Journal of Financial Markets. 14 (2), 259–276.