تحلیل سیاست‌های اقتصادسیاسی دولت‌های بعد از انقلاب اسلامی بر مبنای الگوی حکمرانی خوب، مطالعه موردی دولت احمدی نژاد
محورهای موضوعی : کالبدیحسین علی نودیجه 1 , مسعود مطلبی 2 , عبدالرضا بای 3
1 - دانشجوی دکترای علوم سیاسی ،واحد آزادشهر،دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، ، ایران ،و مدرس دانشگاه فرهنگیان و آزاد گرگان
2 - استادیار گروه علوم سیاسی، واحد آزاد شهر، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، آزاد شهر، ایران
3 - استادیار علوم سیاسی، واحد آزاد شهر، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، آزاد شهر، ایران
کلید واژه: تورم, کارآفرینی, حکمرانی خوب, اشتغال, مسکن مهر,
چکیده مقاله :
بانک جهانی شاخص‌هایی برای حکمرانی خوب در نظر گرفته که بر اساس این شاخص‌ها دولت احمدی نژاد ارزیابی می‌گردد. موارد بررسی شده شامل مسکن مهر، هدفمندی یارانه، تورم و نقدینگی، کارآفرینی و ایجاد اشتغال است که داده‌های موجود نشان می‌دهد که با تعریف حکمرانی خوب انطباق ندارد. نتایج حاصل از برسی و تحلیل نشان می دهد: 1- در بخش مسکن و مخصوصاً با تصویب قانون مسکن مهر در سال 1386؛ طی 8 سال میانگین قیمت مسکن در تهران از مترمربعی 648 هزار تومان به 2 میلیون و 61 هزار تومان افزایش پیدا کرد و در دولت دوم وی، عرضه مسکن با رکورد مواجه شد و تولید مسکن مهر باعث ارزانی و ثابت ماندن قیمت مسکن نشد. 2- میزان درآمد حاصل از هدفمندی یارانه‌ها نشان دهنده کسری ۳۲ هزار میلیارد تومانی درآمد است. کاهش درآمد نیز موجب شد تا دولت به چاپ و انتشار اسکناس روی بیاورد که موجبات افزایش نقدینگی و تورم گردید. 3- در بخش کارآفرینی و ایجاد اشتغال بین سال‌های ۱۳۸۴ تا ۱۳۹۱، معادل تفاوت جمعیت شاغلان در این سال‌ها است و به عبارتی برای ۹ هزار نفر ایجاد اشتغال شد که رقم خوبی نیست. 4- در موضوع تورم به دلیل عدم توانایی قوه مجریه در حفظ تعادل عرضه و تقاضا در بازار، تورم فزاینده ای شکل گرفت. رابطه عرضه و تقاضا بیش از پیش به هم خورد طی هشت سال دولت احمدی نژاد کمترین نرخ تورم به سال 1384 با نرخ 10.4 درصد مربوط بود و بیشترین نرخ تورم به سال 1391 با 30.5 درصد بوده است.
References
Bakhshaishi Ardestani،Ahmad. Yeko Rezaei Jozani (2017) Quarterly Journal of Political Research in the Islamic World, Year 7, Issue 2, Summer 2017, pp. 79-5
Alwani, Seyed Mehdi. Mohsen Alizadeh Thani (2007) An Analysis of the Quality of Good Governance in Iran, Volume 14, Number 53, Spring 2007, Page 1-2
Shahramnia،AmirMassoud, Safariani Ruhollah (2016), Quarterly Journal of Political Science, Islamic Azad University, Volume 12, Number 36, Fall 2016, Page 7-40
Beheshti,Mohammad (1983) Islamic Economics, Tehran: Islamic Culture Publishing Office.
Poor Mohammadi, Mohammad Reza (2000) Housing Planning, Samat Publications, First Edition, Tehran.
Tavassoli, Gholam abbas. (1375). Sociology of work and occupation, Samat Publications, Tehran.
haghighi. iman(1385). Ups and downs in theories of development economics, Yas strategy, second year, fifth issue.
dehghan. Fathollah.(1380)The Role of Employment in Reducing Rural Migration (Case Study of Mamashani Village Elders), Tarbiat Modares University, Tehran.
Diriaz, Asghar; Economic Justice in the Theology and Life of Ali (AS), Journal of Hozeh and University, 2001, Vol. 27, p. 152.
Razavian, Mohammad Taghi (2002) Urban Land Use Planning, Secretary Publishing, Tehran.
riazi.Davoodi, Mahmoud. (1357). National Income and Employment, National University of Iran Press, Tehran.
Zarei, Bahador, Zamani, Mohsen, Zamani, Abolfazl Nader, Abbas Khalil,Pathology of Mehr Housing Project as a Step Towards Land Social Justice in Iran
Saei, Ahmad (1998), Political-Economic Issues of the Third World, Tehran: Samt Publications
Sameti, Morteza. (1382). Employment, labor market, economic policies - Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs, Institute of Labor and Social Affairs, Tehran.samt Publications
Sepehr, Jafar. (1345). Unemployment, Tehran, Amir Kabir Publications
Sadr, Mohammad Baqer (1981,) Our Economy, Volume 2, Translator: A. Espahbodi, Tehran: Islamic Publications
Seidaei,Eskandar, Bahari, Issa, Zarei, Amir (2011), A Study of Employment and Unemployment in Iran during 1335-1389, Yas Strategy, No. 25.
Tabatabai Yazdi, Roya (2011) Employment and Unemployment in Iran, Rahbard Magazine, No. 20
Tabatabaei Yazdi, Roya and Meysam Shahbazi (2012) The most important economic indicators of the country from the beginning of the first plan to the first two years of the fifth plan, Deputy of Economic Research, Strategic Research Center of the Expediency Council, Strategic Report, No. 162, pp. 36-34
Tayeb Nia, 1392. The ninth and tenth governments repeated the mistakes of the 50s. Shargh newspaper website 27 August
Ataiee, A. (2008) Evaluation of household economic data collection questionnaire. Research Center of the Islamic Consultative Assembly, serial number of report 9225
Aqli Moghaddam, Hadi. (1374). Employment and its role in the rural development process, Journal of Y Economics, Jihad (Agricultural Promotion and Rural Development, No. 180 and 181, pp. 12-17.
fathaniT.ali; Economic Justice and Concept-Based Strategies, Economic Monthly Review of Economic Issues and Policies, 2009, pp. 89 and 90, p. 59.
fanni.zohreh. (1375). Poverty-causing factors in the mirror of theories, collection of articles on economic analysis and study of poverty, Tehran Institute of Business Studies and Research.
Ghaderi, Farid, jafar Razmi and Asgar Sedighi (2005), The effect of direct energy subsidy payment on macroeconomic indicators with a systemic approach, Journal of the Faculty of Engineering, University of Tehran, Volume 93. Shamah 4, pp. 310 to 390
Ghadiri Masoom, Mojtaba eØt al. (1384). Statistical study of employment growth and developments in rural areas of Isfahan province, Journal of Geographical Research, No. 54.
Ghanbari, Ali, Majid Aghaei and Mahdieh Reza Gholizad (1390) A Study of the Impact of Financial Development on Income Distribution in Iran «Economic Research Journal, Year 11, Issue 1,
Keikha, Najmeh (2002) "Mechanisms for the realization of economic justice from the perspective of Imam Khomeini". Attendance Magazine. Issue 43.
Social, Economic, Scientific and Cultural Monthly of Labor and Society 1392. Report on the 100-Day Performance of the Government in the Economic Sector, No. 269
Hossein Zarei, Mohammad (2004) Good Governance, Sovereignty and Government of Iran, Article 3, Volume 7, Number 133, Summer 2004.
Masood. Mahdavi, (1380). Study and recognition of handicrafts (carpet weaving) ...., Geographical Research, No. 41.
Mosaybi,Samaneh(1390).Spatial Analysis of Employment and Unemployment Indicators Using GIS Case Study of Isfahan Province, Master Thesis in Geography and Rural Planning, University of Isfahan, Faculty of Geographical Sciences and Planning.
Mosalla Nejad, Abbas. Mohammad Reza Yazdani Zazrani; A posteriori evaluation of the implementation of the first phase of the implementation of the targeted subsidies law from the perspective of results, Iranian Journal of Social Development Studies, Year 6 / Issue 1, Winter 2017, p.18
Mosalla nejad, Abbas, Yazdani Zazarani, Mohammad Reza (2012) A posteriori evaluation of the implementation of the first phase of the implementation of the law on targeted subsidies from the perspective of results, Iranian Journal of Social Development Studies, Year 6 / Issue 1 / Winter.
Institute for Business Studies and Research 2009 Report on the employment and unemployment situation in major economic countries, Deputy Minister of Research and Education, Department of Internal Business Studies and Research.
Mo'meni, Ahmad. (1375). Employment and Human Resources Development - Population Quarterly - No. 18.
Maidari, Ahmad, 2006, Allameh Tabatabai University, Journal of Social Welfare, Fall, Volume 6, Number 22, Pages 287-261
Mir Moezi, Seyed Hossein, (2006). Islamic Economics (Mahnazar Kahf) Tehran
Nazari, Mohsen, (2008), Subsidies and its types, pp. 2 and 3
Nili, Masoud 1394 Comparison of the performance of governments in the last thirty years, Tehran: Higher Institute of Management Education and Research and Planning.
Widel, Saleh. (1387). Self-employment versus unemployment (Iran case), Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, Year 8, Number One.
- Elizabeth Meehan, From Government to Governance, Civic Participation and ‘New Politics’; the Context of Potential Opportunities for the Better Representation of Women, Queen's University Belfast, School of Politics and International Studies, October 2003. (: http://www.qub.ac.uk/cawp/research/meehan.pdf )
- Kumssa, Asfaw and Mbeche, Isaac M. The role of institutions in the development process of African countries, International Journal of Social Economics, vol,31 No 9, 2004, PP 840-85438
- Rudra P. Pradhan and Sanyal G.S. (2011), Good Governance and Human Development: Evidence from Indian States, Journal of Social and Development Sciences, 1(1), pp. 1-8
- The World Bank, 2006.
