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      • Open Access Article

        1 - Uncertainty in The exports of Non-Oil products and The Private Investment in Iran
        لیلا احمدی
        The purpose of this research is to study the impact of the level of Uncertainty in the exports of Non-Oil products on the investment of private sector in Iran during 1959-2007. To measure the degree of uncertainty in non-oil production, a Generalized Auto Regressive Co More
        The purpose of this research is to study the impact of the level of Uncertainty in the exports of Non-Oil products on the investment of private sector in Iran during 1959-2007. To measure the degree of uncertainty in non-oil production, a Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroscedaticity Model (GARCH (1, 2)) is used. The explanatory variables of this model are: the rate of inflation, Gross domestic product and imports. In this model, optimal lag and long-term relations are identified and the vector error correction model (VECM) is estimated. The results of our study indicate that both the uncertainty in the non-oil exports and the rate of inflation have a negative effects on the private domestic investment in long run, while GDP and imports are positively related to investment. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - Foreign Trade and Income Distribution: the case of Iran 1977-2007
        محمد بابازاده صالح قویدل حسن عموزاد خلیلی
        This research examines the factors affecting income distribution with emphasis on foreign trade. We investigate the significance of international trade on distribution of income in Iran from 1977to 2007. We begin our study with explanation of the theoretical relationshi More
        This research examines the factors affecting income distribution with emphasis on foreign trade. We investigate the significance of international trade on distribution of income in Iran from 1977to 2007. We begin our study with explanation of the theoretical relationship between foreign trade and income distribution and demonstrate that the economic structure of the country is an important factor in the explanation of the connection between trade and income distribution. Using empirical evidence from Iran, the examination of the link between foreign trade and income distribution, shows that international trade will reduce the income inequality in Iran but the impact is not noteworthy. We also discover that while the non-oil exports have no significant effect on income distribution the export of crude oil increases the income inequality in Iran even though the increase in imports financed by petrodollars has let to an  improvement of the index for income distribution. Furthermore, this study indicates an overall increase in GDP per-capita and its distribution is such that the share of upper income groups has increased relative to those in lower income brackets. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        3 - Policies on Non-Oil Export of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the Age of Globalization (With Emphasis on Paintings)
        Tooran Taghdimi Asghar Moshabaki Isfahani Reza Salehi Amiri Mehrdad Navabakhsh
      • Open Access Article

        4 - The Impact of Real Exchange Rate Changes on Non-oil Exports of Iran
        Soheila khoshnevis yazdi ramin rajabzadeh
        Setting Exchange rate in a good manner, paying attention to its changes and the factors affecting it in any circumstances, can be a topic of discussion. On the other hand, an increase in non-oil exports has been the main economic policy of the Iranian government in rece More
        Setting Exchange rate in a good manner, paying attention to its changes and the factors affecting it in any circumstances, can be a topic of discussion. On the other hand, an increase in non-oil exports has been the main economic policy of the Iranian government in recent decades. To get rid of single-product economy, the development of non-oil exports for the Iranian government is a necessity. Iran's share of global exports has not been dramatic over the past years, and this makes the development of non-oil exports necessary in order to reduce the country's economic dependence on oil revenues. In the present study, by stipulating appropriate model, from econometric method, ARDL model was used to examine the short-term and long-term effects of real exchange rate changes on Iran's non-oil exports during the period 1983-2013. Non-oil exports in this study have been measured using the variables of the real exchange rate, Iran's trading partners GDP, GDP and credit to the private sector. Estimation results suggest that symptoms of estimated coefficients are consistent with the theoretical basis of all variables, and results show that changes in the real exchange rate at level of 5% error in the short and long term have a positive effect on non-oil exports. Effect of Iran's trading partners GDP, GDP and credit to the private sector on non-oil exchange has been positive.   Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        5 - Investigation of effective factors on non-oil exports with emphasis on non-price variables
        Farhad Dejpasand Meysam Amiry1 Benyamin Saveh
        One of the ways for encouraging economic development in oil exporting countries like Iran (which is known as an oil-dependent economy) is moving toward diversification of export revenues rapidly by increasing non-oil exports. This goal is not accessible without a compre More
        One of the ways for encouraging economic development in oil exporting countries like Iran (which is known as an oil-dependent economy) is moving toward diversification of export revenues rapidly by increasing non-oil exports. This goal is not accessible without a comprehensive survey and examination of factors that affects non-oil exports condition. Although, in many developed countries, export and import analysis is performed in framework of relevant price variables (Also in our country most of the surveys have not gone beyond this framework).But it seems that institutional, scientific, technological and management factors have much greater effect on export variables in Iran in comparison to other countries. Hence, in this article we have tried to go beyond previous studies by adding real and non-price factors to quantitative model of non-oil export in order to estimate their impacts.In order to do this, we have considered non-oil exports to be a function of real exchange rate, total factor productivity, gross national product and the degree of openness of the economy. In addition, we have used ARDL for estimating the model and investigating the effects of each of these factors on non-oil export during 1975-2007. Finding of this paper shows that non-oil export is significantly and effectively, dependant on non-price variables. The results of our estimation show that productivity, degree of economic openness and GDP have positive effects on non-oil export. Albeit according to basic problems in production and export and according to our estimations, we claim that exchange rate does not have a significant impact on non-oil export. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        6 - تأثیر انحراف نرخ ارز واقعی بر صادرات صنعت فولاد در ایران
        هدی مشهدی محمدی عباس شاکری محمود محمودزاده
      • Open Access Article

        7 - بررسی اثر صادرات غیرنفتی بر نرخ ارز حقیقی در ایران
        بهمن طهماسبی احمد جعفری صمیمی غلامعلی فرجادی
      • Open Access Article

        8 - Investigating the Effect of Real Effective Exchange Rate on the Iranian Pistachio Export
        A. Barghandan K Barghandan S Golestaneh H Mirlashari
      • Open Access Article

        9 - Investigating the Effects of Real Effective Exchange Rate on Iranian Raisin Exports
        A. Barghandan S. Arianmehr H. Shahraki
        Increase in exchange rate may not always promote non-oil exports and various commodities exports may have different reactions to this rate. Hence, this study tried to consider the effects of real effective exchange rate on exports of Iranian raisin. For this purpose, Ir More
        Increase in exchange rate may not always promote non-oil exports and various commodities exports may have different reactions to this rate. Hence, this study tried to consider the effects of real effective exchange rate on exports of Iranian raisin. For this purpose, Iranian raisin export function was estimated using Autoregressive Distributed Lag method. The data were gathered from Statistical Yearbook of Foreign Trade, Statistical Yearbook of the International Monetary Fund, United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization and different issues of Central Bank of Iran over 1974-2007. The results showed that the real effective exchange rate, income of importer countries and domestic production have positive effects on raisin`s exports, but the ratio of domestic price index to export price index of raisin has been ineffective on the exports of this product. Manuscript profile