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Open Access Article
1 - prioritization of factors and categories affecting the demand of foreign tourist
sayyad Irani Heris Majid vali Shariat Panahi bijan rahmaniForeign tourists and tourism demand are important in developing city tourism. Based on this, planners and city managers have always sought to measure tourism demand and identify the factors and categories that affect it and identify and prioritize these factors in order MoreForeign tourists and tourism demand are important in developing city tourism. Based on this, planners and city managers have always sought to measure tourism demand and identify the factors and categories that affect it and identify and prioritize these factors in order to make the planning based on each group And clusters of influential factors in the demand for foreign tourism.The city of Tabriz, with its diverse tourist attractions, is one of the destinations of tourism for foreign tourists. The necessity of optimal development of foreign tourism in Tabriz city is to identify the factors affecting the demand of the city's foreign tourism and its clustering and prioritization. Therefore, the main objective of the study is clustering factors affecting the demand for foreign tourism in Tabriz for strategic planning purposes.For this purpose, through library and field methods, a set of factors influencing Tabriz tourism demand has been identified and after evaluating the amount of these factors through 221 foreign tourists entering the city of Tabriz, a sample from the Cochran formula in this study, Was evaluated and finally, clustered and prioritized through the exploratory factor analysis model. The final results show the main effects of factors such as the quality Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
2 - نقش امنیت و ایجاد قوانین حمایتی از گردشگران خارجی در راستای توسعه اقتصادی وگردشگری به عنوان یک راهکار بینالمللی با استفاده از روش DEMATEL
فاطمه دوزنده ضیابری تیمور آمار -
Open Access Article
3 - ﺑﺮرﺳﯽ ﺗﺎﺛﯿﺮﺑﻌﺪ مسافت ﮔﺮدﺷﮕﺮان ﺑﺮ ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎی ﮔﺮدﺷﮕﺮی خارجی در شهر مشهد
فاطمه رحمانی مریم رسول زاده علی رهنما -
Open Access Article
4 - Designing a Dynamic Model for Iranian Tourism Industry Horizon in 2025 by Using System Dynamics Approach
Ali Hsein Samadi Ali Naghi Mosleh shirazi Anahita RoohiBy using SD approach in this study, we have developed a dynamic model for the future of Iranian tourism industry and simulated it during 2007-2025. Besides, to understand the dynamics involved, the purpose of this study is to forecast the industry’s future and to MoreBy using SD approach in this study, we have developed a dynamic model for the future of Iranian tourism industry and simulated it during 2007-2025. Besides, to understand the dynamics involved, the purpose of this study is to forecast the industry’s future and to observe the requirements to get the objectives in the horizon of 2025. The model designed includes three main sub-systems, namely; the demand for tourism, tourism activities, and tourism capacity building. By Vensim software, the simulation results of the model explain that, if the current rates of capacity development, advertisements, and human resource development activities continue in this industry, then, we will absorb only a demand about 5.5 million tourists in 2025, that is, well below the standard of 20 million tourists per year in the horizon of 2025. The results of the simulation reveal that, to reach the tourism objectives planned, firstly, 3 sub-systems mentioned above must be coordinated and worked well together, and secondly, some prompt actions should be planned to boost the effectiveness of advertisement, the training of workforce in this regard. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
5 - explanation of structural changes in the modeling of Iran's tourism demand
Javad BaratiThe expansion of statistics and the possibility of using time series information in tourism economics studies have led to the increasing use of time series models in research of tourism economics; also, due to the high impact of various factors such as disease, war, san MoreThe expansion of statistics and the possibility of using time series information in tourism economics studies have led to the increasing use of time series models in research of tourism economics; also, due to the high impact of various factors such as disease, war, sanctions, political events, economic shocks and many other international and national shocks on the tourism industry, structural changes occur in this industry which make the common results in time series surveys unreliable. To solve this problem, structural break points in tourism industry studies should be identified to be the basis for researchers' modeling in strategic studies and policy-making. The present study aimed to determine the structural break points in the Iranian tourism industry, using quarterly data from spring 2013 to summer 1399. All these tests have confirmed the existence of a structural break in the fall of 2019. However, if the coefficient decreases significantly, only the fall of 2019 would be recognized as a breakpoint in the Iranian economy. Due to the high volume of tourism and the growth of this sector in the spring and summer of 2019, it is expected that in the annual surveys, 2020 will be the only year that a structural break has occurred in tourism in Iran. Political events such as the Saudi Embassy or the referendum in Iraq Kurdistan, the signing of the UN Security Council, or the imposition of severe sanctions on Iran's economy have virtually failed to bring about structural changes in Iran's time series tourism models. There are more pervasive factors such as the Covid-19 epidemic that have caused a structural break in Iranian tourism. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
6 - نقش امنیت و ایجاد قوانین حمایتی از گردشگران خارجی در راستای توسعه اقتصادی وگردشگری به عنوان یک راهکار بینالمللی با استفاده از روش DEMATEL
فاطمه دوزنده ضیابری تیمور آمار