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Open Access Article
1 - A dynamic modeling of future pricing for investment asset with known income
Reza Tehrani Amirali Abbaszadeh Asl masoud FekriThere are different ways of system analysis. System thinking is a novel and very effective method in this field. Actually, system dynamic approach offers a dynamic model of a process in the real world and systematically analyzes related factors. In other words, it indic MoreThere are different ways of system analysis. System thinking is a novel and very effective method in this field. Actually, system dynamic approach offers a dynamic model of a process in the real world and systematically analyzes related factors. In other words, it indicates the influence of changes on each effective factor on the entire system in each moment. In this paper, primarily, a dynamic model is proposed by investigating different effective factors on future price of assets which include known income and the way of arbitrage opportunities with non-correct prices are simulated. Thus, scenarios are offered to illustrate the changes of different effective factors on system and arbitrage opportunities made as a result to these changes Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
2 - آسیبشناسی طرح جامع شهرخوراسگان
حسن بیک محمدی فرشاد طهماسبی زاده رضا ابوالحسنی -
Open Access Article
3 - Evaluation of the effectiveness of group training based on Guttman cognitive-systemic couple therapy training and McMaster model training on communication patterns
Dina Abdollahi Farshad Mohsenzade Aboutaleb Seadatee ShamirPurpose: The aim of this study was to compare the effectiveness of group training based on Guttman cognitive-systemic couple therapy and McMaster model training on communication patterns. The research design was experimental with control group and random assignment. Met MorePurpose: The aim of this study was to compare the effectiveness of group training based on Guttman cognitive-systemic couple therapy and McMaster model training on communication patterns. The research design was experimental with control group and random assignment. Methodologhy: Statistical sample was selected by available sampling method from conflicting couples referring to private counseling and psychology centers in Tehran, Region 2 and 3. Couples were randomly assigned to three groups of couples therapy experiments with Guttman approach, experimental couples therapy group based on McMaster approach and control group. First, a pre-test was performed on all three groups with communication model questionnaires. Then, each of the experimental groups underwent ten sessions of couples therapy training based on Guttman theory, couple therapy therapy based on McMaster theory. At the end of the training sessions, post-test was taken from all three groups. In order to evaluate the duration of the training, one month after the training, both experimental groups were retested. Findings: The results showed that Guttman systemic-cognitive couple therapy training and McMaster model training improved communication patterns in conflicting couples. Conclusion: In general, there was no difference between the effectiveness of Guttmann's systemic-cognitive couple therapy training and Maxmaster model couple therapy training on communication patterns of conflicting couples. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
4 - Analysis of the impact of urbanization growth on land use change in Tehran using system dynamics approach
Leila Nasrolahi Vosta Mohammad Reza JalilvandRapid urbanization has led to changes in land use in urban areas. The purpose of this research is to investigate the impact of urbanization on land use change in Tehran using systemic thinking in order to gain a better understanding of the consequences of urbanization. MoreRapid urbanization has led to changes in land use in urban areas. The purpose of this research is to investigate the impact of urbanization on land use change in Tehran using systemic thinking in order to gain a better understanding of the consequences of urbanization. The city is a complex, open, and dynamic system, the study of which requires an interdisciplinary approach. The system dynamics approach provides these requirements to address the city. Therefore, a dynamic model will be designed, which will be quantitatively evaluated using the system dynamics approach. This study showed that with the increase in the population of Tehran, the use of agricultural and open land gradually changed until 1404 and it is predicted that the land used for construction will increase. This is the first study that examines the relationship between the phenomenon of urbanization and land use change in Tehran metropolis and is innovative in this respect. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
5 - Systemic Model of University Human Resource Productivity Improvement via Fuzzy Dimatel Approach: The Case of Islamic Azad University Branches in East Azerbaijan Province
mehrdad ghaffari zenuzi serajeddin mohebbi karamollah daneshfardThe purpose of the present study was to present a systematic model of promoting human resource productivity through fuzzy dimensional approach applicable at various branches of Islamic Azad University in Azerbaijan in the time span of 2018-2019. The research population MoreThe purpose of the present study was to present a systematic model of promoting human resource productivity through fuzzy dimensional approach applicable at various branches of Islamic Azad University in Azerbaijan in the time span of 2018-2019. The research population consisted of all faculty members at various branches of Islamic Azad University in East Azerbaijan province. The data collection instruments employed included two researcher-made questionnaires one initially designed as a five-point Likert scale to identify the factors affecting the promotion of human resource productivity in the university and the other desveloped subsequently based on paired comparisons required for fuzzy dimensional system approach. The questionnaires were validated in terms of their content and internal consistency and test-retest reliability estimates. Initially, the data obtained from the first questionnaire were statistically analysed through student t-test and the findings indicated five main factors that were perceived by the participating faculty members as effective in promoting the productivity of university human resources. Further, the second questionnaire was developed based on paired comparisons of the five identified factors and was distributed to the research sample. The findings emerging from DIMATEL systematic approach revealed creativity and innovation grounding, provision of targeted training and utilization of appropriate knowledge management strategies and practices as highly influential and influenceabl factors in the system under study. Targeted training was also identified as having a higher impact on other system factors. In addition, adherence to competency trends in personnel promotion as well as embracing creativity and innovation in the organization were identified as two factors highly influenced by others. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
6 - Border Cities Development Strategies Case Study Taybad
Kazem Zoghi Maryam Takroosta Naser Nasirian Mohammad Reza ArabIntroductionWhat is considered in this article is to pay attention to the development strategies of the border city of Taybad. Due to its special geopolitical features and the existence of deep cultural and trade ties between Khorasan and Afghanistan and the best way fo MoreIntroductionWhat is considered in this article is to pay attention to the development strategies of the border city of Taybad. Due to its special geopolitical features and the existence of deep cultural and trade ties between Khorasan and Afghanistan and the best way for Central Asian countries to access the high seas through Iran (Bandar Abbas) and access to the market of 13 million Central Asian countries, this city has a position Is privileged. Unfortunately, the resources and potentials of this region, especially the various functions of the border, have not been used properly and optimally, and also the limitations and solutions to address them have not been identified. Therefore, in this research, we seek to find urban development strategies appropriate to the conditions and situation of this border city, so that we can overcome the problems in this city by formulating effective strategies on urban development. In addition to maintaining the political, economic and cultural ties of the border region with the whole country, the considered strategies should be able to provide more freedom to the residents of this border region so that they can enjoy a greater share in the development and progress of central government programs. . Therefore, the present study was conducted to investigate the development strategies of the border city in the city of Taybad. So the main question of this research is what are the most important factors shaping the development strategy of border cities in Taybad?Research MethodsThe research method is documentary, analytical and survey. Based on the main topic of the research (Urban Development Strategies: Taybad) while reviewing the characteristics of urban development, the data obtained from theoretical studies and research, development and executive plans and documented reports of relevant organizations were reviewed and Basic information was collected and classified. Due to the fact that urban development is a systemic and integrated concept, Demethel technique was used to determine the cause and effect relationships between urban development variables. The purpose of the Demetel technique is to identify the pattern of causal relationships between a set of criteria. This technique scores the intensity of communication in a scoring manner, explores their critical feedback, and accepts non-transferable relationships. The basis of the Demethel method is based on the assumption that a system consists of a set of criteria {C = {c1, c2,… cn and the pairwise comparison of the relations between them can be modeled by mathematical equations. This technique is for constructing and analyzing structural models related to complex causal relationships between the factors of an issue. For this purpose, a pairwise comparison questionnaire was provided to 28 researchers in the fields of urban and political geography, political science and urban management. Field FindingsThe Dimtel technique was introduced by Fontal Gabos in 1971 and is one of the decision-making methods based on pairwise comparisons, the results of which will be obtained by referring to the elite. This technique is used in extracting systemic factors and systematic structuring. Since graphs well show the relationships of elements with a system, so this technique is based on graphs that can divide the factors involved into two groups of cause and effect and the relationship between them as Brought an understandable structural model. The researchers selected for this part of the study included six experts in geography and geopolitics. Border management was assessed based on 26 criteria and indicators according to Table (1). 28 experts were used to examine the criteria. Variables such as expanding the role of the private sector in infrastructure investment, attention to sector planning, regional cohesion strategy, linking the national to the local level, expanding foreign partnerships, establishing a city-level development fund, reducing poverty, Strengthening participation at both formal and informal levels in the region shows high interaction and strong systemic relationship with other variables. On the other hand, as can be seen, the vertical vector (J - R) shows the influence of each factor. Expanding the role of the private sector in investing infrastructure, creating a development fund at the city level, strengthening participation at both formal and informal levels, paying attention to social capital in border areas, creating new business areas, building capacity for officials, Education, transparency and accountability in border areas, etc. are the reasons for this system model. And factors such as paying attention to sectoral planning, linking the national level to the local level, creating a development fund at the city level, creating a border city landscape, establishing gender equality, tourism development strategy, etc. are shown as disabilities. In general, if J - R is positive, the variable is a causal variable, and if it is negative, it is a disability.ConclusionPlanning related to the development of border cities is very important. Because it is considered as an important and effective factor to improve the relationship between human beings, land and human activities. In the meantime, the border areas of Iran, especially the eastern borders of the country, face special features such as smoothness, proximity to Afghanistan's tense neighbors, smuggling of goods and drugs, population instability, cultural and social problems, and so on. Therefore, it is necessary to pay attention to the development in this region and formulate appropriate strategies with the existing conditions. Examination of library and field data and reference to experts' opinions show that variables are of great importance in the development of border cities. These variables were studied in 3 general strategies including socio-cultural, economic and political-government strategies with 26 general indicators. Findings showed that among these variables, the expansion of the role of the private sector in infrastructure investment (9.4644), attention to sectoral planning (9.1558), regional cohesion strategy (9.0245), Linking the national level to the local level (9.0078) has the most importance and variables such as paying attention to housing policies in border urban areas (5.5239), border city landscape (6.3666), institutionalization and professionalization of urban staff (6.8346) , Neighborhood-based management (6.9111) have the least importance. Therefore, it can be seen that the economic and investment index in this border city is considered as one of the important and influential factors on the development of the city. May be considered in the formulation of high-level policies and strategies by government officials and politicians. Very placed. Because economic development in this city can be directly related to the security of the eastern border areas of the country. Manuscript profile -
Open Access Article
7 - آسیبشناسی طرح جامع شهرخوراسگان
حسن بیک محمدی فرشاد طهماسبی زاده رضا ابوالحسنی -
Open Access Article
8 - آمادگی سازمانی برای تبدیل شدن به سازمان یادگیرنده جهت کسب مزیت رقابتی
محمدرضا حمیدی زاده آزاده اشرفی
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