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    • List of Articles تحریم‌های اقتصادی

      • Open Access Article

        1 - Research on Iran's Economic Future Scenarios and Its Security Impacts: Critical Uncertainty Approach
        Hossein Esmaeili razi Alireza nasr esfahani
        Studying and planning to achieve a better economic future, plays an important role in the thinking of economic policymakers in every country, including Iran. But the achievement to the desirable and sustainable future requires answering these questions that the Iran's e More
        Studying and planning to achieve a better economic future, plays an important role in the thinking of economic policymakers in every country, including Iran. But the achievement to the desirable and sustainable future requires answering these questions that the Iran's economy has been influenced by what factors and policies? And what factors determine the future trend of Iran's economy? Accordingly, in this research, the study on past trends of the Iran's economy and the identification of factors that affecting the Iran's economy have been considered, in order to write the scenarios for the Iran's future economy and its security impacts. For this purpose, critical uncertainty approach were used.To write the future scenarios, Iran's economic factors with critical uncertainty were identified by using questionnaires that completed by economic experts. Accordingly, two uncertainties of "international economic sanctions" and "oil price" were selected as the critical uncertainties. Based on the results of these scenarios, the Iran's economy will face a decline in economic growth in three scenarios, and in only one scenario, conditions for economic growth and development will be provided without a serious impediment. From a security point of view, in three scenarios and due to changes in the economy, Iran will face security problems with regional, transnational and internal sources.   Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - A Study of the Security Consequences of Attracting Foreign Direct Investment to the Islamic Republic of Iran
        Shahram Saadatmand Hosein Ahmadi Masoud Hemmat
        The purpose of the present research is to study security consequences of attracting foreign direct investment to the Islamic Republic of Iran. The research method is descriptive-analytic and it emphasizes on the hypothesis that in addition to the advantages of attractin More
        The purpose of the present research is to study security consequences of attracting foreign direct investment to the Islamic Republic of Iran. The research method is descriptive-analytic and it emphasizes on the hypothesis that in addition to the advantages of attracting foreign direct investment to the country, the security consequences of this issue are among some of the most effective factors on how much foreign direct investments are attracted to the Islamic Republic of Iran. The research results reveal that efficient management and accurate planning by the executive organizations and the economic diplomacy in the country would moderate security concerns and thus attracting foreign direct investment can foster national security and solidarity in the country. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        3 - The impact of economic sanctions on foreign direct investment in Iran: A fuzzy approach
        Mostafa Elmimoghaddam Mostafa Shokri Yaqub Mahmoudian
        Foreign direct investment stands as a crucial economic variable, influenced by various factors that contribute to its attraction. Empirical studies reveal that both visible and invisible elements play a role in shaping FDI in any given country, often eluding straightfor More
        Foreign direct investment stands as a crucial economic variable, influenced by various factors that contribute to its attraction. Empirical studies reveal that both visible and invisible elements play a role in shaping FDI in any given country, often eluding straightforward inclusion in economic models. This research, recognizing the significance of this subject, delves into the impact of economic sanctions on the attraction of foreign direct investment in Iran over 44 years, employing a fuzzy approach. The findings underscore the substantial and moderate economic sanctions, characterized by high and robust fuzzy coefficients, exerting a notable negative effect on the allure of foreign direct investment in Iran. Additionally, the study reveals that variables such as the budget deficit, inflation rate, mild economic sanctions, adverse exchange rates, alongside factors like gross domestic product, economic openness, domestic interest rates, foreign direct investment with interruptions, governance quality index, and the effective tax rate on company profits, have exhibited a positive influence on the attraction of foreign direct investment in Iran. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        4 - The Investigating of Effect Economic Uncertainty and Economic Sanctions on Stock Price Crash Risk
        Reza Salehi Allah Karam Salehi
        Abstract: This study examines the impact of economic uncertainty and economic sanctions on stock price crash risk in the Tehran Stock Exchange during 2014 to 2020 using data from 119 selected companies. The results show that there is a positive and significant relations More
        Abstract: This study examines the impact of economic uncertainty and economic sanctions on stock price crash risk in the Tehran Stock Exchange during 2014 to 2020 using data from 119 selected companies. The results show that there is a positive and significant relationship between economic sanctions and stock price crash risk. In other words, in a situation where the country is facing economic sanctions, consequently, the costs of companies, including production, wages, and product costs, etc., increase, that in these circumstances, managers may keep the unfavorable economic news caused by these factors hidden for some time, and this will lead to an increase in the stock price crash. The results also showed that in case of economic uncertainty, stock price crash risk increased and the criteria of economic uncertainty have a positive and significant relationship with the stock price crash risk. In other words, in a situation where there is economic uncertainty due to rising exchange, inflation rates and slowing economic growth, firm managers prefer to maintain their jobs and professional reputation, hide the bad and negative news caused by these conditions (such as rising raw materials, cost of goods, declining sales, profits, and liquidity) from the view of shareholders and investors, which ultimately leads to an increase in the stock price crash. Manuscript profile