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      • Open Access Article

        1 - Investigating the Effects of Governmental Expenditure Shock on Gross Domestic Product Growth in Iran: ARDL Approach
        jafar haghighat nazila moharam joudi
        The aim of this paper is investigating the effects of governmental expenditure shock on GDP in Iran’s economy.  In order to achieve this aim, at first, the model of effective factors on governmental expenditure has been explained, and governmental expenditure More
        The aim of this paper is investigating the effects of governmental expenditure shock on GDP in Iran’s economy.  In order to achieve this aim, at first, the model of effective factors on governmental expenditure has been explained, and governmental expenditure shock is captured by the model residuals. Then the model of effective factors on GDP is estimated from 1971 to 2014. In estimating the models, autoregressive distributed Lag (ARDL) approach has been used. According to the results, the effect of governmental current expenditure on GDP is not significant. But lagged government expenditure shock has a positive and significant impact on GDP.  Error correction term is negative and significant, and indicates that when a shock occurs, 12 percent of short term imbalance is adjusted each period, to reach the long term equilibrium. It is purposed to government not to increase own expenditure, since this can cause an inverse relationship between government expenditure and GDP and it reduces economic growth. Manuscript profile
      • Open Access Article

        2 - The Effect of Accounting Earning Growth on Macroeconomic Indicator
        محسن عرب زاده ناصر ایزدی نیا سعید صمدی
        The main objective of this study is to investigate the effect of firms' cumulative accounting earning growth on macroeconomic indicators such as GDP and net investment in national accounts.In other words, the effect of firms' cumulative accounting earning growth on futu More
        The main objective of this study is to investigate the effect of firms' cumulative accounting earning growth on macroeconomic indicators such as GDP and net investment in national accounts.In other words, the effect of firms' cumulative accounting earning growth on future GDP and net future investment and also the future GDP growth forecast errors and the future growth in net investment forecast errors has been studied.This research, in terms of purpose is a kind of applied research. The method is based on correlation and regression based on actual financial statements of companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange and macroeconomic data such as GDP and net investment from national accounts.The statistical population of the study is all companies listed in Tehran Stock Exchange during the period 2005-2017.The results show that the firms' cumulative accounting earning has an impact on the growth of future GDP and net investment in national accounts. But the firms' cumulative accounting earning hasn’t an impact on the future GDP growth forecast errors and the future growth in net investment forecast errors. Manuscript profile