Futures Studies of the Factors Affecting Emigration from Ahvaz City

Subject Areas : Urban Sociological Studies

Majid Goodarzi ^{1 *} , Zahra Soltani ² , Ebtesam Albu Baledi ³

1 - Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Faculty of Letters and Humanities, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran
2 - Assistant Professor of Geography and Rural Planning, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran
3 - Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Faculty of Letters and Humanities, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran

Received: 2024-04-06 Accepted : 2024-08-15 Published : 2025-01-13

Keywords: future studies, emigration, intellectual and instrumental elites, Ahvaz city,

Abstract :

The present study aimed to do future studies of the factors affecting emigration from Ahvaz city. The applied study employed a descriptive-analytical research method. The results indicate the identification of 34 factors affecting the situation of emigration from Ahvaz city, which were classified into five components (social-cultural; economic; environmental; physical; and political-administrative) and into five categories of factors (effective, two-way, regulatory, affected, and independent) are identifiable. Finally, by examining the influence of the 34 mentioned factors on the situation of emigration from Ahvaz city with direct and indirect methods, it was determined that socio-cultural and physical factors had the greatest impact on the future studies of emigration from Ahvaz city. As a result of the matrix analysis and evaluation of the effectiveness and affectedness plan of key factors with direct and indirect methods, among the 34 effective factors, 15 key factors (citizenship rights, individual freedom, security, respect and commitment, social justice, job opportunity and diversity, criminality in antisocial behaviors, business reliability, prosperity, and economic profitability, hope for progress, water quality, urban sewage system, proper and efficient management, health facilities, and inflation rate) play a role in the state of future studies of the factors affecting the emigration from Ahvaz city.

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