Future Studies of Key Uncertainties in Equestrian Sports in Iran

Subject Areas : Sport Sciences Quarterly

Zeinab Al-Sadat Seyed Abdollahi ¹ , علی محمد صفانیا ^{2 *} , سیدصلاح الدین نقشبندی ³ , mohsen baqerian ⁴

1 - 1. PhD student in Sports Management, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran.
2 - گروه تربیت بدنی و علوم ورزشی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران
3 - دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم و تحقیقات تهران
4 - استادیار مدیریت ورزشی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، تهران، ایران

Received: 2023-09-30 Accepted : 2024-06-23 Published : 2025-01-01

Keywords: Future Studies, Strategic Planning, Equestrian Sports, Uncertainties.,

Abstract :

This study explores the future studies of key uncertainties in equestrian sports in Iran. The research is based on a quantitative method and a future-oriented strategy. The participants were experts who were selected based on their expertise and purposefulness. In order to identify and extract uncertainties, a questionnaire was used, and a 36-factor matrix was used for structural analysis. Moreover, measures were taken to evaluate the validity and reliability of the results in terms of credibility, transferability, conformability, and dependability. Finally, the data from the questionnaire were analyzed using coding, structural analysis, and the Micmac software. The findings show that 36 uncertainties can be categorized into two main clusters: cognitive and normative uncertainties that affect the future of equestrian sports in Iran. Among these uncertainties, four key uncertainties were identified, namely, Iran's isolation in international equestrian sports, horse exports and imports, migration of equestrians, and the extinction of Iranian horse breeds. Therefore, it is recommended that managers, policymakers, and stakeholders in the equestrian sports industry manage these uncertainties, since the future of equestrian sports in Iran revolves around them.