Key Factors Affecting the Future Status of Tehran Province Spatial Planning Based on Future Studies
Subject Areas : Spatial Planning
Babak
jafarian
1
(Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran)
Rahim
Sarvar
2
(Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran)
Reza
Borna
3
(Islamic Azad University, Science and Research Branch, Tehran)
Keywords: "Future Studies", "Cross-Impact Analysis", "Spatial Planning", "Tehran Province", "Planning",
Abstract :
Aiming at identifying the key factors which may affect the future status of Tehran Province spatial planning, this study was conducted with a future studies approach. This study is an applied study in terms of targeting strategy and its methodology is of descriptive-analytical and regarding the future studies methods it is an explanatory one. Following the Delphi method, the theoretical and practical data have been collected using documentary and survey research techniques, respectively. To carry out this study, a total of 20 urban experts who were professional in regional, spatial planning areas were chosen based on purposive sampling method. MIC MAC was used to analyze the gained information from Delphi methods and to carry out the cross-impact analysis. The results of this study indicated that the dispersion of key and effective variables of the future status of Tehran Province spatial planning has an unstable system. The study also showed that out of 64 examined factors in this study, 22 key factors may affect the future status of Tehran Province spatial planning. A great deal of such key factors has been concentrated in the effective and double variables group.
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