Investigating the effect of reference groups on political loyalty using the Delphi technique (Kermanshah case study)

Subject Areas :

ABAS PIROOZMEHR ¹ (PhD Student in Political Science, Kermanshah Branch, Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah, Iran)
HamidReza Saeedinezhad ² (Head Od department of Political Science)
Ali Moradi ³ (Associated Professor of Sociology, Eslam Abad-E-Gharb Branch, Islamic Azad University, Eslam Abad-E-Gharb, Kermanshah, Iran.)
Edris Beheshti nia ⁴ (PhD in Political Science, Islamic Azad University of Kermanshah)
Iraj Ranjbar ⁵ (Department of Political Science, Kermanshah Branch, Islamic Azad University, Kermanshah, Iran)

Received: 2023-07-28 Accepted : 2023-09-11 Published : 2023-07-23

Keywords: literacy, Reference group, Delphi Technique, political loyalty, peer relationship network, Kendall's test,

Abstract :

One of the essential indicators for the survival of a political system is political loyalty, which dependsonseveral influential factors, including the economic status and welfare of the people, trust in officials, the legitimacy of the system, reference groups.The aim of the current research is to investigate the effect of reference groups on politica l loyalty.The method studied in this research is descriptive, analytical and based on the Delphi technique.The statistical population studied included 10 people from the governorate, university professors and political activists.The data collection tool was a researcher-made questionnaire that was developed by the panel members.The obtained results were analyzed using SPSS data analysis software.To analyze the findings, the percentage of frequency and averages, the score level of each index and the level of Kendall's correlation coefficient test were used, which in the third round with Kendall's test value (0.0) 87) and a significance level of 0.025, acceptable results were obtained. It can be concluded that among the confirmed and final indicators in the third round, according to the level of points and their average ranks, more important indicators can be prioritized in political loyalty. Insuch a way that peer social relations index with an agreement level of 45 and an average rank of 45.45 had the highest percentage of importance, in the social and cultural modernity section, literacy index with an agreement level of 45 and an average rank of 10.15 was the second most important index ofthe research.