Investigating the physical-spatial developments of the settlements in the southern suburbs of Tehran and presenting a development model with a future research approach (Case study: Islamshahr County)
Shima Dadfar
1
(
Assistant Professor in Department of Architecture and urbanism, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
)
Hamidreza Sabbaghi
2
(
Assistant Professor Islamic Azad University, North Tehran Branch
)
Mohammadreza Farzde Behtash
3
(
Assistant Professor in Department of Architecture and urbanism, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
)
Alireza Ebrahimpour
4
(
Doctoral student of urbanism in Department of Architecture and Urban Planning, North Tehran Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
)
Keywords: Physical-spatial changes, Development pattern, Around the city, Future research, Islamshahr city,
Abstract :
Tehran metropolis has undergone rapid physical growth and development due to the recent developments of rapid population migrations. Especially the southern area of Tehran has become the arena of invasion of various factors due to population and activity overflows; Therefore, it requires a comprehensive understanding and management of the existing space forces in this field. For this purpose, in this research, urban development scenarios have been identified with future research. The research method is descriptive-analytical and its type is applied. The statistical population of the research was experts and knowledgeable people in the area of Islamshahr city. The number of samples, 30 experts have been selected for qualitative review and cognitive interview using snowball. The method of analysis was using qualitative and quantitative analysis as well as analysis of key scenarios and drivers of development in the Meek software environment. The results show that the growth and development patterns of Islamshahr show that one of the future possibilities of the urban growth of Islamshahr is the continuation of the urban growth of this city. Islamshahr, as a region with various urban attractions and proximity to Tehran, will probably continue to grow its population and urban development. This growth may lead to further development of residential, commercial and industrial areas. Also, infrastructure development is another possibility for the future urban growth of Islamshahr. With the increase in population and urban needs, the development of public infrastructure such as roads, public transportation, service centers and water and electricity supply will become more important. More efforts will probably be made to improve and expand these infrastructures.