Structural analysis of urban livability in Ahvaz metropolis with a future research approach
حسن حویزاوی
1
(
دانشجوی دکتری
)
نوبخت سبحانی
2
(
دانش اموخته دکتری برنامه ریزی شهری
)
Keywords: urban livability, Ahvaz Metropolis, Structural Analysis, futures research,
Abstract :
Nowadays, most metropolises are facing challenges in various dimensions, including economic, social, physical, environmental, etc., and a variety of approaches such as livability and future research have been proposed to solve the problems in the current situation. In addition to sustainable urban development, these two categories can be developed as a guiding principle in the framework of sustainable discourse in policy-making and urban planning. Therefore, it is important and necessary to take into account the dimensions and foresight of livability in the current situation. In this regard, this study is aimed at the structural analysis of urban livability in the metropolis of Ahvaz using a futures research approach. It is an applied study conducted using the analytical exploratory design based on the futures research method. The statistical population consists of 8 experts of futures research, urban planners and managers selected by purposive sampling. The Mic Mac method of cross-impact analysis was used to analyze the findings. The results showed that more than 2% of the variables had no influence, 24% of them were effective, 65% were reinforcing and finally about 8% were empowering. On the other hand, the variables of "having appropriate savings" and "access to urban facilities and services" were the most influencing and influenced variables, respectively. The results also showed that the variables of "savings" and "access to urban facilities and services" were the most influencing and influenced variables, respectively. In general, the distribution of variables in the dispersion map of 1410 Horizon shows that livability has an unstable status in the study area.
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