Study the Effect of Misery Index and Inflation Uncertainty on Life Expectancy and Child Mortality Under Five in Iran

Subject Areas : medical documents

roya aleemran ¹ (Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Tabriz Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tabriz, Iran)
seyed ali aleemran ² (Ph.D. in Economics, Department of Economic Development and Planning, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran)

Received: 2019-09-13 Accepted : 2019-11-19 Published : 2019-10-23

Keywords: Inflation Uncertainty, life expectancy, : Misery index, Child mortality under five,

Abstract :

Introduction: Given the importance of life expectancy and child mortality as indicators of society health and also the importance of misery index and inflation uncertainty, the present study aimed to assess the impact of misery index and inflation uncertainty on life expectancy and child mortality under five in Iran. Methods: This research method is an analysis-causal and its target is application and statistics and data about the variables used in this study are extracted from economic time series database of Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran and World Development Indicators. Also, Econometric tools used in research are Eviews and Microfit Softwares and the econometric methods are GARCH and ARDL methods over the period of first quarter of 1996 to fourth quarter of 2018 for country of Iran. The level of significant is 5 percent. Results: According to research findings, in the long run, one unit increase in each of the variables of misery index and inflation uncertainty decrease life expectancy by 0.07 and 21.30 unit respectively. Also, one unit increase in each of the variables of misery index and inflation uncertainty increase child mortality under five by 0.20 and 43.01 unit respectively. Conclusion: given the results of study, it is recommended that policy makers with the use of proper economic policies to reduce the misery index and inflation uncertainty, take a step toward improving health in the society.

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