Management of energy carrier’s consumption and emission of pollutants using the Leap model in Lea Industrial Park of Qazvin province

Subject Areas : مدیریت ، برنامه ریزی و آموزش محیط زیست

mohammadsaied mohammadi ¹ , Seyed Mostafa Khezri ² , Alireza Vafaeinejad ³

1 - Ph.D. student, Department of environment Management, IslamicAzad University, Science and research branch, Tehran, Iran.
2 - Department of environment engineering, IslamicAzad University, Science and research branch, Tehran, Iran. *(Corresponding Author)
3 - Faculty of Civil ، Water and Environmental Engineering ، Shaid Beheshti University Tehran ، Iran.

Received: 2021-01-16 Accepted : 2021-08-04 Published : 2022-02-20

Keywords: Energy Carriers, Scenario analysis, Leap model, greenhouse gas emissions, country industries,

Abstract :

Background and Objective: Industrial-economic development in developing countries has created a double need for greater access to energy carriers compared to developed countries. In addition, improving living standards in developing societies in recent decades has led to an increase in the demand for energy carriers for access to greater facilities and amenities. In this study, the effect of applying different policies to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and energy savings in Iranian industries has been investigated and evaluated by the energy planning model. Material and Methodology: First the input values of various energy sources such as gas, electricity and fossil fuels in the industrial production process were investigated. Then, the factors affecting the production of greenhouse gases in industries were identified, then the past trend and the current state of Iranian industries and government policies to reduce carbon dioxide emissions as well as the development of new energy efficiency technologies in industry were used to estimate energy demand. In line with this goal, the amount of greenhouse gas emissions in a baseline scenario in accordance with the continuation of the current trend (BAU) in current industries and also to determine the current and future demand of Iranian industries during the years 2019 to 2035 has been studied. Findings: four alternative scenarios of energy saving technologies and reduction of carbon dioxide emissions were considered, including industry development and capacity building, possible increase in fuel and electricity prices, implementation of fuel consumption standards, and use of CHP technologies for a period of 15 years. Therefore, the combined implementation of these two policies will lead to a reduction of 8 million tons of emissions (equivalent to a 13% reduction in emissions) equivalent to total CO2. Discussion and Conclusion: The results show that the total CO2 emissions equivalent to the industry will increase from 61 million tons in the baseline scenario to 53 million tons in the 2035 emission reduction scenario. However, due to the implementation of the fuel change policy, the total amount of carbon dioxide emissions has been reduced to 58 million tons (equivalent to 4.9% reduction) and also the implementation of energy efficiency policy has led to the emission of 55 million tons (equivalent to 9.8% reduction) equivalent CO2 will run until 2035.

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