Management of energy carrier’s consumption and emission of pollutants using the Leap model in Lea Industrial Park of Qazvin province
Subject Areas :
مدیریت ، برنامه ریزی و آموزش محیط زیست
mohammadsaied mohammadi
1
,
Seyed Mostafa Khezri
2
,
Alireza Vafaeinejad
3
1 - Ph.D. student, Department of environment Management, IslamicAzad University, Science and research branch, Tehran, Iran.
2 - Department of environment engineering, IslamicAzad University, Science and research branch, Tehran, Iran. *(Corresponding Author)
3 - Faculty of Civil ، Water and Environmental Engineering ، Shaid Beheshti University Tehran ، Iran.
Received: 2021-01-16
Accepted : 2021-08-04
Published : 2022-02-20
Keywords:
Energy Carriers,
Scenario analysis,
Leap model,
greenhouse gas emissions,
country industries,
Abstract :
Background and Objective: Industrial-economic development in developing countries has created a double need for greater access to energy carriers compared to developed countries. In addition, improving living standards in developing societies in recent decades has led to an increase in the demand for energy carriers for access to greater facilities and amenities. In this study, the effect of applying different policies to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and energy savings in Iranian industries has been investigated and evaluated by the energy planning model.
Material and Methodology: First the input values of various energy sources such as gas, electricity and fossil fuels in the industrial production process were investigated. Then, the factors affecting the production of greenhouse gases in industries were identified, then the past trend and the current state of Iranian industries and government policies to reduce carbon dioxide emissions as well as the development of new energy efficiency technologies in industry were used to estimate energy demand. In line with this goal, the amount of greenhouse gas emissions in a baseline scenario in accordance with the continuation of the current trend (BAU) in current industries and also to determine the current and future demand of Iranian industries during the years 2019 to 2035 has been studied.
Findings: four alternative scenarios of energy saving technologies and reduction of carbon dioxide emissions were considered, including industry development and capacity building, possible increase in fuel and electricity prices, implementation of fuel consumption standards, and use of CHP technologies for a period of 15 years. Therefore, the combined implementation of these two policies will lead to a reduction of 8 million tons of emissions (equivalent to a 13% reduction in emissions) equivalent to total CO2.
Discussion and Conclusion: The results show that the total CO2 emissions equivalent to the industry will increase from 61 million tons in the baseline scenario to 53 million tons in the 2035 emission reduction scenario. However, due to the implementation of the fuel change policy, the total amount of carbon dioxide emissions has been reduced to 58 million tons (equivalent to 4.9% reduction) and also the implementation of energy efficiency policy has led to the emission of 55 million tons (equivalent to 9.8% reduction) equivalent CO2 will run until 2035.
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Wang, Y., Gu, A., Zhang, A., (2010). Recent development of energy supply and demand in China, and energy sector prospects through 2030. Energy Policy.
Yophy, H., Jeffrey, B.Y., Chieh-Yu, P., (2010). The long-term forecast of Taiwan’s energy supply and demand: LEAP model application. Energy Policy.
Zamani, M., (2007). Energy consumption and economic activities in Iran. Energy Economics, 29, 1135–1140
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Sadeghi, 1994, Greenhouse gases, Study of emission factors and limiting technologies, Office of Environmental Research. (In Persian)
Abdoli, 1997. Estimation of greenhouse gas emissions in Iran. The First National Energy Conference of Iran (Strategic Energy Issues) Tehran, pp. 41-55. (In Persian)
Taqdisian,. Minapur. 2003. Climate change, what we need to know. Tehran: Publications of the Environmental Research Center of the Environmental Protection Organization, National Water Plan Office. (In Persian)
Danesh,. 2003. An Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Different Subdivisions of the Country, Environmental Research Center of the Environmental Protection Organization. (In Persian)
Turkmani et al., 2005. Policy-making of energy resources in the industrial sector with environmental standards, Office of National Climate Change Plan, Environmental Protection Organization. (In Persian)
Rahimi Nastaran 2002. Investigating the trend of greenhouse gas emissions in the domestic-commercial, agricultural and transportation sectors. Department of Environment Planning Office of the Deputy Minister of Energy of the Ministry of Energy, Science and Technology of the Environment, pp. 63-78. (In Persian)
Sadeghi 2003. Energy resources policy in the industrial sector with environmental standards, Sharif University of Technology. (In Persian)
Iran Energy Productivity Organization (SABA). 2005. Investigating the needs of technology transfer in order to deal with the effects of climate change. Ministry of Energy - Deputy Minister of Energy. (In Persian)
Environmental Protection Agency. 2000. Set of Iranian Environmental Protection Laws and Regulations, Text of the Kyoto Protocol to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, Legal Office and Parliamentary Affairs. (In Persian)
Environmental Protection Agency in cooperation with the United Nations Development Program. 2003. First National Climate Change Report, published by the Environmental Protection Agency. (In Persian)
International Energy Study Institute. 2004. Forecast of the country's energy demand by segments of energy carriers, Ministry of Oil. (In Persian)
Ebrahimi 2008. Methods to reduce emissions of non-energy group of industrial processes, Environmental Protection Organization. (In Persian)
Shakeri et al. Journal of Iran Energy Economics Research Year 8, Issue 2, Winter 1397 Pages 1-4 Simulation of Iran Energy Balance Sheet for Year 1 and Designing Demands for Demand and Supply Management Using LEAP Modeling. (In Persian)
Eshraghi, Hadi, Maleki, Abbas and Vakili, Ali (1, (Simulation of demand and supply of energy carriers up to year 3 in Iran using LEAP modeler, energy planning and policy research, first year, number 3, pp. 113-136. (In Persian)
Moradi, Mohammad, Ahmadi, Somayeh and Amidpour, Majid (2017, Development of energy demand model at the national level using LEAP modeler, Energy Planning and Policy Research, First Year, No. 3, pp. 5-82. (In Persian)
Wang, Y., Gu, A., Zhang, A., (2010). Recent development of energy supply and demand in China, and energy sector prospects through 2030. Energy Policy.
Yophy, H., Jeffrey, B.Y., Chieh-Yu, P., (2010). The long-term forecast of Taiwan’s energy supply and demand: LEAP model application. Energy Policy.
Zamani, M., (2007). Energy consumption and economic activities in Iran. Energy Economics, 29, 1135–1140
Wang, K. 2007. Scenario analysis on CO2 emissions reduction potential in Chinas iron and steel industry. Energy Policy.No:35. pp. 2320-2335