Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty and Output Growth in Iran

Subject Areas :

Elham Farnaghi ¹ , Oranous Parivar ² , Hamid Tofighi ³

1 - M.A. in Economics
2 - Assistant Professor on South branch, Islamic Azad University South Tehran Branch
3 - Assistant Professor on South branch, Islamic Azad University South Tehran Branch

Received: 2015-09-25 Accepted : 2015-09-25 Published : 2014-06-22

Keywords: Iran, inflation, inflation uncertainty, output growth, EGARCH model,

Abstract :

This study explores the relationship between inflation, inflation uncertainty and output growth enjoying the quarterly data of consumer price index in Iran from1368:1 to 1387:2. For this purpose the exponential GARCH model and granger causality test were used. The results indicate a bilaterally causal relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty, while there is no significant relationship between inflation uncertainty and output growth and also between inflation and output growth

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Inflation, Inflation Uncertainty and Output Growth in Iran