Effect of Oil Revenues on the Military Burden in Oil-Rich Countries of Middle East
Subject Areas : Bi-quarterly Journal of development economics and planning
1 - PhD of Public Sector Economics,Department of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Lorestan University, Khoramabad, Iran
Keywords: oil revenues, Generalized Method of Moments (GMM), Military Burden, Oil Countries of Middle East,
Abstract :
The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effect of oil revenues on the military expenditures in nine oil-rich countries of Middle East during the years 1995-2018. For this purpose, a general model of military expenditures designed for these countries and to estimate it the generalized method of moments (GMM) is used in the form of dynamic panel data. The results of the model estimation show that the oil revenues have a positive and significant effect on the military expenditures in the studied countries. So that with an increase of 1 percent in the share of oil revenues to GDP, the ratio of military spending to GDP (military time) increased in this country about 0.16 percent. On this basis, it can be said that the oil plays a significant role in providing military expenditure and security in the oil-rich countries of Middle East
طیبی، کمیل؛ حاجیکرمی، مرضیه و سریری، هما (1390)، تحلیل درجه بازبودن مالی و تجاری روی توسعه مالی ایران و شرکای تجاری، فصلنامه تحقیقات اقتصادی راه اندیشه، شماره 4، 60-39.
هارتلی، کیت و ساندلر، تاد (1383)، منتخبی از موضوعات در کتاب اقتصاد دفاع، ترجمه ابراهیم بیضایی، تهران، انتشارات سمت.
Ali H.E. & Abdellatif, O.A. (2020), Natural Resource Rents and Military Expenditures in the Middle East and North Africa: a Long-run Perspective, Research Handbook on the Arms Trade, Chapter 8. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781789900996
Ali H.E. & Abdellatif, O.A. (2013), Military Expenditures and Natural Resources: Evidence from Rentier States in the Middle East and North Africa, Defense and Peace Economics, 26, 5-13.
Al-Mawali, M. (2015), Do Natural Resources of Rentier States Promote Military Expenditures? Evidence from GCC Countries, Journal of Economic & Financial Studies, 03(03), 49-53.
Arellano, M. & Bond, S. (1991), Some Test of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and Application to Employment Equations, Review of Economic Studies, 58, 277-297.
Arellano, M. & Bover, O. (1995), another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error Component Models", Journal of Econometrics, 68, 29-51.
Baltagi, B. (2005), Econometric Analysis of Panel Data, 3rd Edition, McGraw-Hill.
Bannon, I. and Collier, P., (2003), Natural Resources and Conflict: What can we do? In Natural Resources and Violent Conflict, Edited by I. Bannon and P. Collier. Washington, DC: World Bank, 1–16.
Blundell, R. & Bond, S. (1998), Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models, Journal of Econometrics, 87, 115-143.
Bond, R. (2002), Dynamic Panel Data Model: A Guide to Micro Data Methods and Practice, the Institute for Fiscal Studies, Department of Economics.
Chun, C.K.S. (2010), do oil Exports Fuel Defense Spending? Strategic Studies Institute (SSI), United States Army War College.
Degger, S. (1986), Economic Development and Defense Expenditure, Economic Development and Cultural Change, 179-196.
Dunne, J.P. & Perlo-Freeman, S. (2003), The Demand for Military Spending in Developing Countries, International Review of Applied Economics, 17(1), 23-48.
Farzanegan, M.R. (2011), Oil Revenue Shocks and Government Spending Behavior in Iran, Energy Economics, 33, 1055-1069.
Farzanegan, M.R. (2018), O The Impact of Oil Rents on Military Spending in the GCC Region: Does Corruption Matter?, Journal of Arabian Studies, 8, 87-109.
Fonfria, A. & Marin, R. (2012), Determinants of the demand for Defense Expenditure in the NATO Countries, Journal of the Higher School of National Defense Studies.
Green, W.H. (2012), Econometric Analysis. New Jersey, Upper Saddle River: Pearson International.
Guesnet, L. (2013), Oil, Conflict and Military Expenditure: The Chad Example, Conference Paper Presented at 17th Annual International Conference on Economics and Security SIPRI, Stockholm.
Hasan N.A. (2014), Military Spending and Natural Resources: Evidence from Global Data, Department of Public Policy and Administration In partial fulfillment of the requirements for The degree of Master of Public Policy and Administration.
Im, K.S., Pesaran, M.H. & Shin, Y. (2003), Testing for Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels, Journal of Econometrics, No. 115, 53-74.
Kao, C. (1999), Spurious Regression and Residual-Based Tests for Co-integration in Panel Data, Journal of Econometrics, No. 90, 1- 44.
Le Billon, P. (2005), Fueling War: Natural Resources and Armed Conflict. New York, NY: Routledge for the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).
Pedroni, P. (2004), Panel Co-integration, Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Tests with an Application to the PPP Hypothesis, Econometric Theory, 3, 597-625.
Perlo-Freeman, S. & Brauner, J. (2012), Natural Resources and Military Expenditure: The Case of Algeria, the Economics of Peace and Security Journal, 7(1), 15–21.
Pedroni, P. (2004). Panel Co-integration: Asymptotic and Finite Sample Properties of Pooled Time Series Test with an Application to the PPP Hypothesis, Econometric Theory, 20(3), 597-625.
Pesaran, M. H. (2004), General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. Working Paper.
Ross, M. (2004), what do We Know About Natural Resources and Civil War? Journal of Peace Research, 41(3): 337–356. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022343304043773
SIPRI (Stockholm International Peace Research Institute). (2014), Yearbooks Armaments and Disarmaments and International Security, SIPRI-Oxford University Press, New York, Various Issues.
Trung, K. D. (2021), Resource Curse or Rentier Peace? The Impact of Natural Resource Rents on Military Expenditure, Resources Policy, 71. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.101989
Varisco, A. E. (2010), A Study on the Inter-Relation between Armed Conflict and Natural Resources and its Implications for Conflict Resolution and Peacebuilding, Journal of Peace, Conflict and Development, 15.
_||_