Agricultural Support Policies and the Evolutionary Cycles of Iranian Agricultural Economic Growth
Narges Tavakoli Dastjerdi
1
(
PhD Student, Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, University of Zabol, Zabol, Iran
)
Hamid Mohammadi
2
(
Associate Professor, Agricultural Economics, University of Zabol, Zabol, Iran
)
Ayatollah Karami
3
(
Professor, Rural Development Management, faculty of Agriculture, Yasouj University , Yasouj, Iran
)
Javadi Pashaki Kourosh
4
(
PhD in Agricultural Economics, Visiting Assistant Professor, Islamic Azad Univesity of Shahriar, Shahriar, Iran
)
Ali Reza Sargazi
5
(
Assistant Professor, Department of Agricultural Economics, Faculty of Agriculture, Zabol University, Zabol, Iran
)
Keywords: Agricultural development, Agricultural economic cycle, Agricultural policies,
Abstract :
Introduction: Government support policies play a key role in economic development, job creation, and increasing the competitiveness of various economic sectors. Due to the fragile nature of agricultural production, governments usually adopt support policies to maintain food security. By providing financial and legal incentives, governments can help reduce economic risks and create a safer and more attractive environment for investors.
Methodology: This study uses the nonlinear MS(M)-AR(p) model to identify agricultural growth from 2001 to 2018 under Iran’s agricultural support policies to distinguish the Iranian agricultural economic cycle into three fast, medium, and low growth regimes. And to examine the probability of shifting and maintaining between different regimes. We further calculated the average duration of each regime. In addition, we calculated the growth regime transition for specific times.
Findings: Based on the results of this study, we find that Iran’s agricultural economy has maintained a relatively stable growth trend, supported by Iran’s proactive agricultural policies. However, Iran’s agricultural economy tends to maintain a low growth status in the long run.
Conclusion and Discussion: Based on our findings, we provide recommendations for agricultural development that continue existing agricultural policies and strengthen support for agriculture, forestry, and animal husbandry.
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