Evaluation and Prediction of the Efficiency of Industrial Companies Using a Hybrid Model of Data Envelopment Analysis and Artificial Neural Networks
Subject Areas : Industrial Management
1 - Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Sanandaj Branch, Islamic Azad University, Sanandaj, Iran.
Keywords: Artificial Neural Network, Data Envelopment Analysis, Efficiency Evaluation, Hybrid Model, Performance Prediction, .,
Abstract :
This paper presents a hybrid model based on Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) to evaluate and predict the efficiency of 50 industrial companies operating in various sectors. Initially, DEA was employed to calculate the relative efficiency and identify efficient and inefficient decision-making units. Subsequently, the results obtained from DEA were used as target data to train the Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The ANN model, by uncovering hidden patterns in the data, was able to predict the future performance of companies with high accuracy. The results demonstrate that the DEA-ANN hybrid model not only provides a precise assessment of companies' current efficiency but also predicts efficiency changes in the event of input variations. Additionally, by utilizing the trained neural network, it is possible to predict the efficiency of companies that have not been directly evaluated. This approach, combining the strengths of DEA in efficiency analysis and the capabilities of ANN in modeling nonlinear relationships, offers an effective tool for managers and decision-makers to improve performance and optimize resource allocation.
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