Tourism Climate of Ardabil Province Under Climate Change Scenario

Subject Areas :

Tohied Ahmadzadeh ¹ , Parviz Rezaei ^{2 *} , Youssef Zeinolabedin Amuqin ³

1 - Ph.D in Climatology, Department of Geography, Rasht Branch, Islamic Azad University, Rasht, Iran
2 - Associate Processor of Climatology, Department of Geography, Rasht Branch, Islamic Azad University, Rasht, Iran
3 - Associate Processor of Political Geography, Department of Geography, Rasht Branch, Islamic Azad University, Rasht, Iran

Received: 2024-12-03 Accepted : 2025-02-18 Published : 2025-03-21

Keywords: Tourism climate, Physiological equivalent temperature (PET), Climate change scenario, Ardabil province.,

Abstract :

The weather directly affects human activities, including tourism, and tourism, as a major part of the global economy, is affected by weather and climate. The purpose of this research is to investigate the climate and tourism of Ardabil province under climate change scenarios. In this research, using the physiological equivalent temperature (PET), the climate conditions of tourism in Ardabil Province were investigated in the reference period and under the climate change scenario. The required data were received from the Iranian Meteorological Organization for 8 synoptic stations for 30 years (1991 to 2020). The obtained results showed that out of the 9 climate categories  of the PET index, only 5 very cold, cold, relatively cool, cool and comfortable  categories exist in this region, and 4 relatively warm, warm, hot and very hot categories do not exist in this province. In this regard, it was found that very cold conditions prevailed over the entire area of this province in the 5 months of the cold season of the year, namely January, February, March, November and December, and the spatial distribution of these conditions is completely uniform. This matter is relatively heterogeneous in the summer season, and the variety of climate conditions of this area also greater in the hot season of the year. In general, in the months of June, July and August, ideal conditions prevailed in parts of this province. In addition to this, the conditions the PET index under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios for the period 2020 to 2050 showed that this index will show Strong change in both spatial and temporal dimensions in different months of the year, so that in addition to the five very cold conditions, "cold", "cool", "relatively cool" and "comfort" in the in the reference period of four "relatively warm", "warm", "hot" and "very hot" will appear in the warm months of the year, which is on indicates of drastic in conditions tourism climate of the Ardabil province in the future.

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